Dunfermline vs Arbroath — Championship
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Dunfermline and Arbroath meet in the Championship 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Dunfermline have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Arbroath have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Dunfermline and 0.70 for Arbroath. The models give Dunfermline a 57% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arbroath win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Dunfermline—
Arbroath5º
Position
8º
1.63
PPG
1.10
38%
Win %
30%
0.88
Goals / game
0.70
0.63
Conceded / game
1.50
41%
BTTS %
44%
41%
Clean sheet %
22%
41%
Over 2.5 %
61%
5.0
Avg corners
3.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
13.0
50.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Dunfermline
Home (3)
—
Arbroath
Away (5)
2.33
PPG
0.60
67%
Win %
20%
1.33
Goals / game
0.40
0.33
Conceded / game
2.20
57%
BTTS %
25%
43%
Clean sheet %
13%
57%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.0
Avg corners
3.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
50.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Arbroath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 100% | 60% | 61% | 80% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 29% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 0% | 40% | 39% | 20% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Arbroath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 57% | 60% | 78% | 70% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 29% | 20% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 14% | 10% | 22% | 10% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 43% | 40% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dunfermline | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS | 41% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dunfermline | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Dunfermline (H)L
Aberdeen1–4
Aberdeen1–4W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0W
Raith Rovers1–0
Raith Rovers1–0L
Ross County1–2
Ross County1–2D
Ayr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1W
Cove Rangers5–0
Cove Rangers5–0Arbroath (A)L
Partick0–3
Partick0–3L
Stenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1LRaith Rovers0–4
Raith Rovers0–4W
Morton2–1
Morton2–1LAyr Utd0–2
Ayr Utd0–2L
Dundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
5.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Dunfermline | Arbroath | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dunfermline | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
9
Dunfermline
39%
6
Draws
26%
8
Arbroath
35%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
48%
Over 2.5
11/23
30%
Over 3.5
7/23
43%
BTTS
10/23
05/09/26Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–1Dunfermline08/05/26Dunfermline
Arbroath
0–0Dunfermline05/05/26Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–0Arbroath01/05/26Arbroath
Dunfermline
0–0Arbroath21/02/26Dunfermline
Arbroath
4–2Dunfermline06/12/25Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–2Arbroath13/09/25Dunfermline
Arbroath
0–5Dunfermline30/03/24Dunfermline
Arbroath
2–3Dunfermline17/02/24Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–1Arbroath23/12/23Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–1Dunfermline28/11/23Arbroath
Dunfermline
3–0Arbroath09/12/22Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–5Dunfermline05/03/22Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–0Dunfermline26/12/21Arbroath
Dunfermline
0–3Arbroath30/10/21Dunfermline
Arbroath
4–2Dunfermline28/08/21Arbroath
Dunfermline
0–3Arbroath24/04/21Arbroath
Dunfermline
4–3Arbroath06/02/21Dunfermline
Arbroath
2–0Dunfermline26/12/20Arbroath
Dunfermline
1–0Arbroath28/11/20Dunfermline
Arbroath
1–3Dunfermline| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 |  Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Dunfermline- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Arbroath- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Arbroath have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Arbroath's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
DunfermlineDAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1WAMorton1–0
Morton1–0WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0DAArbroath1–1
Arbroath1–1WHRaith Rovers1–0
Raith Rovers1–0LALivingston0–2
Livingston0–2–HLivingston17/10
Livingston17/10–HPartick20/10
Partick20/10–AQueen's Park24/10
Queen's Park24/10ArbroathLHMorton1–2
Morton1–2LAPartick0–3
Partick0–3WHQueen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1LAStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1LARaith Rovers0–4
Raith Rovers0–4DHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1–AInverness CT17/10
Inverness CT17/10–ALivingston24/10
Livingston24/10–HRaith Rovers31/10
Raith Rovers31/10Top Scorers
DunfermlineA. Tod6 ⚽
J. Cooper6 ⚽
K. Bray3 ⚽
O. Shaw3 ⚽
R. MacLeod1 ⚽
A. Oyirwoth1 ⚽
ArbroathG. Reilly2 ⚽
R. Dow2 ⚽
A. Winter2 ⚽
M. McKenna1 ⚽
R. Flynn1 ⚽
R. Molotnikov1 ⚽
Cards Given
DunfermlineA. Amade4 🟨
C. Kane3 🟨
S. Cleall-Harding2 🟨
O. Adams2 🟨
J. Cooper1 🟨
C. Gilmour1 🟨
ArbroathS. Constable6 🟨
S. Stewart3 🟨
S. Mackie3 🟨
T. O'Brien2 🟨
T. Beadling2 🟨
Ryan Dow1 🟨