Dunfermline vs Morton — Championship
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Dunfermline and Morton meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Dunfermline have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Morton have won 13% of their 16 matches, with 0.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Dunfermline and 0.74 for Morton. The models give Dunfermline a 57% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Morton win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Dunfermline—
Morton5º
Position
9º
1.64
PPG
0.64
36%
Win %
18%
0.82
Goals / game
0.82
0.55
Conceded / game
1.64
40%
BTTS %
38%
45%
Clean sheet %
13%
35%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
10.0
50.0%
Avg possession
33.0%
Home vs Away
Dunfermline
Home (5)
—
Morton
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
0.80
0.40
Conceded / game
1.60
56%
BTTS %
43%
44%
Clean sheet %
0%
44%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
50.0%
Avg possession
33.0%
Goals Scored
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Morton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 89% | 64% | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 11% | 36% | 56% | 56% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Dunfermline | Home | Away | Morton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 56% | 55% | 88% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 18% | 50% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 44% | 45% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dunfermline | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 6% |
| BTTS | 40% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dunfermline | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 19% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 6% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Dunfermline (H)D
Partick1–1
Partick1–1D
Livingston0–0
Livingston0–0L
Aberdeen1–4
Aberdeen1–4W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0W
Raith Rovers1–0
Raith Rovers1–0L
Ross County1–2
Ross County1–2Morton (A)W
Arbroath2–1
Arbroath2–1L
Inverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2LQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2D
Ayr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1L
Stenhousemuir0–2
Stenhousemuir0–2L
ST Johnstone0–3
ST Johnstone0–3Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
4.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Dunfermline | Morton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dunfermline | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 43 matches
15
Dunfermline
35%
12
Draws
28%
16
Morton
37%
70%
Over 1.5
30/43
51%
Over 2.5
22/43
33%
Over 3.5
14/43
53%
BTTS
23/43
19/09/26Dunfermline
Morton
0–1Dunfermline04/04/26Morton
Dunfermline
3–1Morton17/02/26Dunfermline
Morton
2–0Dunfermline22/11/25Morton
Dunfermline
1–0Morton02/08/25Dunfermline
Morton
0–0Dunfermline02/05/25Dunfermline
Morton
2–0Dunfermline01/03/25Morton
Dunfermline
2–1Morton21/12/24Dunfermline
Morton
2–0Dunfermline19/10/24Morton
Dunfermline
0–0Morton23/03/24Dunfermline
Morton
0–1Dunfermline03/02/24Morton
Dunfermline
0–5Morton03/11/23Dunfermline
Morton
1–2Dunfermline23/09/23Morton
Dunfermline
3–1Morton18/03/22Morton
Dunfermline
1–1Morton08/01/22Dunfermline
Morton
5–0Dunfermline06/11/21Morton
Dunfermline
1–3Morton31/07/21Dunfermline
Morton
2–2Dunfermline23/03/21Dunfermline
Morton
0–0Dunfermline13/03/21Morton
Dunfermline
1–0Morton15/01/21Dunfermline
Morton
0–0Dunfermline| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Dunfermline- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Morton- ●Morton have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Morton have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
DunfermlineWAQueen's Park1–0
Queen's Park1–0DHPartick1–1
Partick1–1DHLivingston0–0
Livingston0–0DAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1WAMorton1–0
Morton1–0WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0–AStenhousemuir27/10
Stenhousemuir27/10–HInverness CT31/10
Inverness CT31/10–ARaith Rovers06/11
Raith Rovers06/11MortonWHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0WAArbroath2–1
Arbroath2–1LHRaith Rovers1–2
Raith Rovers1–2LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2LHDunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1LHLivingston1–4
Livingston1–4–APartick31/10
Partick31/10–HStenhousemuir07/11
Stenhousemuir07/11–ALivingston14/11
Livingston14/11Top Scorers
DunfermlineA. Tod7 ⚽
J. Cooper6 ⚽
K. Bray3 ⚽
O. Shaw3 ⚽
R. MacLeod2 ⚽
Z. Rudden1 ⚽
MortonG. Gillespie2 ⚽
M. Garrity2 ⚽
D. Black1 ⚽
E. Brophy1 ⚽
L. Fairnie1 ⚽
M. O'Halloran1 ⚽
Cards Given
DunfermlineA. Amade4 🟨
C. Kane3 🟨
O. Adams3 🟨
A. Tod2 🟨
D. Lobban2 🟨
S. Cleall-Harding2 🟨
MortonG. Gillespie5 🟨
L. Fairnie4 🟨
H. Cochrane3 🟨
I. Wilson3 🟨
C. Okike2 🟨
E. Brophy2 🟨