Morton vs Inverness CT — Championship
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Cappielow Park·Greenock·Scotland·11,612
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Morton and Inverness CT meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Morton have recorded 3 wins from 18 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Inverness CT have won 50% of their 24 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Morton and 1.42 for Inverness CT. The models give Morton a 29% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Inverness CT win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Morton—
Inverness CT9º
Position
6º
0.83
PPG
1.46
25%
Win %
38%
1.00
Goals / game
1.31
1.67
Conceded / game
1.23
39%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
42%
39%
Over 2.5 %
46%
2.0
Avg corners
4.0
5.0
Avg shots
9.0
1.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.5
10.0
Avg fouls
8.0
33.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Home vs Away
Morton
Home (6)
—
Inverness CT
Away (7)
0.50
PPG
1.14
17%
Win %
29%
0.83
Goals / game
1.43
1.67
Conceded / game
1.86
30%
BTTS %
71%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
30%
Over 2.5 %
71%
2.0
Avg corners
4.0
5.0
Avg shots
9.0
1.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.5
33.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Goals Scored
| Morton | Home | Away | Inverness CT | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 40% | 50% | 83% | 70% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 10% | 25% | 46% | 30% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 60% | 50% | 17% | 30% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Morton | Home | Away | Inverness CT | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 30% | 75% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Morton | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS | 39% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Morton | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Morton (H)L
Kelty Hearts0–1
Kelty Hearts0–1W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0L
Raith Rovers1–2
Raith Rovers1–2L
Dunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1L
Livingston1–4
Livingston1–4L
Arbroath1–2
Arbroath1–2Inverness CT (A)LDunfermline1–5
Dunfermline1–5WRaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0LQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2DLivingston2–2
Livingston2–2W
Ayr Utd3–1
Ayr Utd3–1L
Stenhousemuir1–3
Stenhousemuir1–3Number of Corners
4.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
6.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Morton | Inverness CT | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Morton | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
8
Morton
26%
8
Draws
26%
15
Inverness CT
48%
74%
Over 1.5
23/31
48%
Over 2.5
15/31
32%
Over 3.5
10/31
52%
BTTS
16/31
25/09/26Morton
Inverness CT
2–0Morton25/07/26Inverness CT
Morton
0–1Inverness CT03/05/24Morton
Inverness CT
3–1Morton02/03/24Inverness CT
Morton
0–2Inverness CT30/12/23Morton
Inverness CT
0–0Morton12/12/23Inverness CT
Morton
2–1Inverness CT01/04/23Inverness CT
Morton
1–2Inverness CT04/02/23Morton
Inverness CT
2–2Morton28/10/22Inverness CT
Morton
4–0Inverness CT27/08/22Morton
Inverness CT
0–1Morton23/04/22Inverness CT
Morton
0–1Inverness CT05/02/22Morton
Inverness CT
0–1Morton11/12/21Inverness CT
Morton
1–6Inverness CT07/12/21Inverness CT
Morton
1–1Inverness CT27/11/21Morton
Inverness CT
1–1Morton16/10/21Morton
Inverness CT
2–0Morton06/04/21Inverness CT
Morton
1–4Inverness CT09/03/21Morton
Inverness CT
0–1Morton27/01/21Inverness CT
Morton
2–2Inverness CT03/03/20Morton
Inverness CT
3–2Morton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Morton- ●Morton have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Morton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Morton have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Morton have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Morton's points have been earned away.
Inverness CT- ●Inverness CT have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Inverness CT have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Inverness CT have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Inverness CT failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Inverness CT have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●81% of Inverness CT's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Inverness CT have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MortonWAPartick3–2
Partick3–2WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0WAArbroath2–1
Arbroath2–1LHRaith Rovers1–2
Raith Rovers1–2LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2LHDunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1–HStenhousemuir07/11
Stenhousemuir07/11–ALivingston14/11
Livingston14/11–ADunfermline21/11
Dunfermline21/11Inverness CTLADunfermline1–5
Dunfermline1–5WARaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0WHArbroath2–0
Arbroath2–0LAQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2WHStenhousemuir2–0
Stenhousemuir2–0WHMorton2–0
Morton2–0–HLivingston07/11
Livingston07/11–APartick14/11
Partick14/11–HAyr Utd20/11
Ayr Utd20/11Top Scorers
MortonM. Garrity3 ⚽
G. Gillespie2 ⚽
C. Sandilands2 ⚽
M. O'Halloran1 ⚽
L. Fairnie1 ⚽
D. Black1 ⚽
Inverness CTA. Bavidge7 ⚽
A. Stewart5 ⚽
R. Duncan4 ⚽
P. Allan3 ⚽
A. Mackinnon3 ⚽
L. Longstaff3 ⚽
Cards Given
MortonG. Gillespie5 🟨
L. Fairnie4 🟨
H. Cochrane4 🟨
I. Wilson4 🟨
C. Okike2 🟨
E. Brophy2 🟨
Inverness CTA. Stewart6 🟨
R. Duncan2 🟨
A. Mackinnon2 🟨
G. Shinnie2 🟨
M. Bates2 🟨
R. MacGregor2 🟨