Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd — Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
Ochilview Park·Stenhousemuir·Scotland·5,267
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Stenhousemuir and Ayr Utd meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Stenhousemuir have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Ayr Utd have won 57% of their 21 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Stenhousemuir and 0.97 for Ayr Utd. The models give Stenhousemuir a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ayr Utd win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Stenhousemuir—
Ayr Utd4º
Position
7º
1.77
PPG
1.25
54%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.08
0.92
Conceded / game
1.17
30%
BTTS %
48%
45%
Clean sheet %
33%
35%
Over 2.5 %
43%
2.0
Avg corners
5.0
4.0
Avg shots
12.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
17.0
Avg fouls
13.0
32.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Stenhousemuir
Home (7)
—
Ayr Utd
Away (5)
1.86
PPG
1.40
57%
Win %
40%
1.14
Goals / game
1.00
0.86
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
44%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 %
33%
2.0
Avg corners
5.0
4.0
Avg shots
12.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
32.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 75% | 81% | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 33% | 38% | 57% | 58% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 24% | 33% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 33% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 38% | 24% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stenhousemuir | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 19% |
| BTTS | 30% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stenhousemuir | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Stenhousemuir (H)W
Berwick Rangers4–1
Berwick Rangers4–1L
Livingston0–3
Livingston0–3L
Dunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1D
Raith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1W
Arbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0W
Partick1–0
Partick1–0Ayr Utd (A)W
Annan Athletic2–0
Annan Athletic2–0WLivingston2–1
Livingston2–1W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LPartick0–1
Partick0–1LRaith Rovers0–2
Raith Rovers0–2L
Kilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3Number of Corners
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Stenhousemuir | Ayr Utd | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stenhousemuir | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Stenhousemuir
13%
0
Draws
0%
7
Ayr Utd
88%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
63%
Over 3.5
5/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
25/09/26Stenhousemuir
Ayr Utd
0–1Stenhousemuir23/07/24Ayr Utd
Stenhousemuir
1–4Ayr Utd18/07/23Stenhousemuir
Ayr Utd
1–0Stenhousemuir24/07/18Stenhousemuir
Ayr Utd
5–0Stenhousemuir16/04/16Ayr Utd
Stenhousemuir
0–4Ayr Utd08/03/16Stenhousemuir
Ayr Utd
4–1Stenhousemuir24/10/15Ayr Utd
Stenhousemuir
0–1Ayr Utd01/09/15Stenhousemuir
Ayr Utd
5–2Stenhousemuir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 9 |  Morton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Stenhousemuir- ●Stenhousemuir have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Stenhousemuir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Stenhousemuir have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Ayr Utd- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Ayr Utd's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ayr Utd have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ayr Utd have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
StenhousemuirLHLivingston0–3
Livingston0–3LHDunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1LAPartick0–3
Partick0–3DHRaith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2WAAyr Utd1–0
Ayr Utd1–0–AMorton07/11
Morton07/11–HQueen's Park14/11
Queen's Park14/11–AArbroath21/11
Arbroath21/11Ayr UtdWHQueen's Park3–2
Queen's Park3–2LHPartick0–1
Partick0–1DHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1WALivingston2–1
Livingston2–1LHStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1WAQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0–AArbroath07/11
Arbroath07/11–HRaith Rovers14/11
Raith Rovers14/11–AInverness CT20/11
Inverness CT20/11Top Scorers
StenhousemuirL. O'Donnell4 ⚽
M. Anderson3 ⚽
E. O'Reilly3 ⚽
G. Buchanan3 ⚽
D. Carrick2 ⚽
L. Hodgkiss2 ⚽
Ayr UtdO. Stirton7 ⚽
R. Taylor6 ⚽
L. McBeth4 ⚽
J. Murphy2 ⚽
K. Shanks2 ⚽
B. Summers2 ⚽
Cards Given
StenhousemuirL. Grant8 🟨
M. Gillies5 🟨
M. Anderson5 🟨
K. Bilham4 🟨
S. Young4 🟨
C. Penman3 🟨
Ayr UtdS. McMann4 🟨
L. McBeth4 🟨
K. Holt3 🟨
O. Stirton2 🟨
K. Shanks2 🟨
N. McAllister2 🟨