Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical — League One
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Airdrie United and Hamilton Academical meet in the League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Airdrie United have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Hamilton Academical have won 67% of their 21 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 62%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.98 for Airdrie United and 1.41 for Hamilton Academical. The models give Airdrie United a 26% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hamilton Academical win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Airdrie United | Home | Away | Hamilton Academical | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 70% | 86% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 17% | 50% | 52% | 45% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 17% | 20% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 17% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Airdrie United | Home | Away | Hamilton Academical | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 58% | 90% | 38% | 45% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 33% | 50% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 25% | 20% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 42% | 10% | 62% | 55% | 70% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Airdrie United | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS | 59% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Airdrie United | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 24% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Airdrie United | Hamilton Academical | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Airdrie United | Hamilton Academical |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +26 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 15 | |
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 13 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 10 | |
| 7 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 | |
| 10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Airdrie United have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Airdrie United have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Airdrie United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Airdrie United have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Airdrie United have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Airdrie United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Airdrie United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Hamilton Academical have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Hamilton Academical have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.