Queen of the South vs Ross County — League One
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Palmerston Park·Dumfries·Scotland·8,690
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Queen of the South and Ross County meet in the League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Queen of the South have recorded 4 wins from 18 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Ross County have won 77% of their 22 matches, with 3.09 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Queen of the South and 1.40 for Ross County. The models give Queen of the South a 30% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ross County win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Queen of the South—
Ross County10º
Position
1º
0.50
PPG
2.71
13%
Win %
86%
0.75
Goals / game
3.14
3.00
Conceded / game
0.57
61%
BTTS %
59%
17%
Clean sheet %
36%
56%
Over 2.5 %
82%
2.0
Avg corners
6.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.7
9.0
Avg fouls
0.0
37.0%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Queen of the South
Home (4)
—
Ross County
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
2.50
25%
Win %
75%
0.75
Goals / game
2.00
1.25
Conceded / game
0.75
55%
BTTS %
64%
18%
Clean sheet %
36%
36%
Over 2.5 %
79%
2.0
Avg corners
6.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.7
37.0%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Queen of | Home | Away | Ross County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 73% | 86% | 95% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 18% | 14% | 86% | 75% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 9% | 14% | 55% | 63% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 13% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Queen of | Home | Away | Ross County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 82% | 86% | 64% | 63% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 27% | 71% | 23% | 25% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 9% | 57% | 14% | 25% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 18% | 14% | 36% | 38% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Queen of | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 27% |
| BTTS | 61% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Queen of | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 85% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 95% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Queen of (H)D
Annan Athletic1–1
Annan Athletic1–1D
East Fife1–1
East Fife1–1W
Airdrie United2–1
Airdrie United2–1W
Hibernian U211–0
Hibernian U211–0L
Alloa Athletic0–2
Alloa Athletic0–2W
Cumbernauld Colts4–0
Cumbernauld Colts4–0Ross County (A)W
Clachnacuddin5–1
Clachnacuddin5–1W
Cove Rangers2–0
Cove Rangers2–0DEast Fife2–2
East Fife2–2WAirdrie United3–1
Airdrie United3–1W
Dunfermline2–1
Dunfermline2–1W
Elgin City2–1
Elgin City2–1Number of Corners
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
9.7
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Queen of | Ross County | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 67% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Queen of | Ross County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 33% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
3
Queen of
21%
4
Draws
29%
7
Ross County
50%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
29%
Over 3.5
4/14
36%
BTTS
5/14
15/09/26Queen of the South
Ross County
8–0Queen of the South19/07/25Ross County
Queen of the South
0–1Ross County26/04/19Queen of the South
Ross County
4–0Queen of the South12/01/19Ross County
Queen of the South
4–0Ross County08/12/18Queen of the South
Ross County
1–1Queen of the South15/09/18Ross County
Queen of the South
0–0Ross County05/05/12Ross County
Queen of the South
3–5Ross County03/03/12Queen of the South
Ross County
2–1Queen of the South14/01/12Ross County
Queen of the South
0–0Ross County20/08/11Queen of the South
Ross County
2–0Queen of the South26/04/11Ross County
Queen of the South
0–1Ross County19/03/11Queen of the South
Ross County
1–2Queen of the South30/10/10Queen of the South
Ross County
1–1Queen of the South28/08/10Ross County
Queen of the South
3–0Ross County| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +18 | 19 |
| 2 |  Hamilton Academical | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 3 |  Montrose | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 |  East Kilbride | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Alloa Athletic | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Airdrie United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Peterhead | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Queen of- ●Queen of the South have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Queen of the South failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Queen of the South have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Queen of the South have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●79% of Queen of the South's goals conceded were conceded away.
Ross County- ●Ross County have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ross County have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Ross County have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ross County have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ross County have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ross County have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ross County have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ross County have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ross County have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Ross County's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Queen ofLAHamilton Academical1–4
Hamilton Academical1–4LARoss County0–8
Ross County0–8DHEast Fife1–1
East Fife1–1WHAirdrie United2–1
Airdrie United2–1LAMontrose1–2
Montrose1–2LHAlloa Athletic0–2
Alloa Athletic0–2–HCove Rangers03/10
Cove Rangers03/10–APeterhead10/10
Peterhead10/10–HRoss County17/10
Ross County17/10Ross CountyWACove Rangers2–0
Cove Rangers2–0WHQueen of the South8–0
Queen of the South8–0DAEast Fife2–2
East Fife2–2WHEast Kilbride4–0
East Kilbride4–0WAAirdrie United3–1
Airdrie United3–1WHMontrose2–1
Montrose2–1–HAlloa Athletic03/10
Alloa Athletic03/10–AMontrose10/10
Montrose10/10–AQueen of the South17/10
Queen of the South17/10Top Scorers
Queen ofL. Smith5 ⚽
N. Clark4 ⚽
C. Young3 ⚽
C. Coughlin3 ⚽
T. Charters2 ⚽
B. Dair2 ⚽
Ross CountyB. Graham12 ⚽
K. Phillips8 ⚽
J. Lindsay6 ⚽
L. McCarvel5 ⚽
R. Chin5 ⚽
A. Emslie3 ⚽
Cards Given
Queen ofL. Smith5 🟨
Z. MacKenzie4 🟨
C. Goldie3 🟨
N. Clark2 🟨
A. Davis2 🟨
C. Young1 🟨
Ross CountyL. Strapp3 🟨
R. Docherty3 🟨
B. Graham3 🟨
D. Smith3 🟨
A. Wright3 🟨
J. Lindsay2 🟨