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Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W — USL Super League

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United States · USL Super League · Group Stage
Lexington W
Lexington W
5º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 0h
vs
–
–
Tampa Bay Sun W
Tampa Bay Sun W
6º · 1.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
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Lexington W and Tampa Bay Sun W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Lexington W have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Tampa Bay Sun W have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Lexington W and 1.14 for Tampa Bay Sun W. The models give Lexington W a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Tampa Bay Sun W win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Lexington W
—
Tampa Bay Sun W
5º
Position
6º
1.43
PPG
1.29
43%
Win %
29%
1.43
Goals / game
1.29
0.86
Conceded / game
1.57
43%
BTTS %
86%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Lexington W
Home (4)
—
Tampa Bay Sun W
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.25
50%
Win %
25%
1.75
Goals / game
1.50
0.75
Conceded / game
1.50
25%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Lexington WHomeAwayTampa BayHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored86%75%100%86%67%100%
Over 1.5 Scored29%50%0%43%33%50%
Over 2.5 Scored29%50%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score14%25%0%14%33%0%

Goals Conceded

Lexington WHomeAwayTampa BayHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded57%50%67%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%25%33%29%33%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%29%33%25%
Clean Sheets43%50%33%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Lexington WTampa Bay
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.571%100%
Over 2.557%57%
Over 3.50%14%
Over 4.50%14%
BTTS43%86%
BTTS & Win0%29%
BTTS & Draw14%43%
BTTS & Over 2.529%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.529%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Lexington WTampa Bay
Win 1st Half0%29%
Draw 1st Half71%43%
Loss 1st Half29%29%
Scored 1st Half14%43%
Conceded 1st Half43%43%
Win 2nd Half43%14%
Draw 2nd Half43%57%
Loss 2nd Half14%29%
Scored 2nd Half71%71%
Conceded 2nd Half43%71%
Over 0.5 HT43%71%
Over 1.5 HT14%29%

Recent Venue Form

Lexington W (H)
WDallas Trinity W3–0
LCarolina Ascent W0–1
LDC Power W1–2
WBrooklyn W3–0
WCarolina Ascent W3–1
WDallas Trinity W2–0
Tampa Bay (A)
DDC Power W1–1
WCarolina Ascent W2–1
LSporting JAX W2–3
DDallas Trinity W1–1
LLexington W0–1
WFort Lauderdale United W2–1

Head to Head · 8 matches

2
Lexington W
25%
2
Draws
25%
4
Tampa Bay
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
04/10/26
Tampa Bay Sun W
1–1
Lexington W
16/05/26
Lexington W
1–0
Tampa Bay Sun W
18/04/26
Lexington W
4–0
Tampa Bay Sun W
23/11/25
Tampa Bay Sun W
1–1
Lexington W
10/05/25
Lexington W
0–3
Tampa Bay Sun W
12/04/25
Tampa Bay Sun W
4–1
Lexington W
02/11/24
Tampa Bay Sun W
3–1
Lexington W
08/09/24
Lexington W
2–3
Tampa Bay Sun W
USL Super League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W8611+1019
2Sporting JAX W7322+211
3Dallas Trinity W8323-211
4DC Power W7322+311
5Lexington W7313+410
6Tampa Bay Sun W7232-29
7Brooklyn W8215-97
8Fort Lauderdale United W8206-66

Team Insights

Lexington W
  • ●70% of Lexington W's goals have been scored at home.
Tampa Bay
  • ●Tampa Bay Sun W have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tampa Bay Sun W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Tampa Bay Sun W have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●67% of Tampa Bay Sun W's goals have been scored away.
Lexington WLexington W
LAFort Lauderdale United W8º1–2
DATampa Bay Sun W6º1–1
WHDallas Trinity W3º3–0
WASporting JAX W2º1–0
LHCarolina Ascent W1º0–1
LHDC Power W4º1–2
WHBrooklyn W7º3–0
WHCarolina Ascent W3º3–1
WHCarolina Ascent W3º3–1
WHDallas Trinity W5º2–0
Tampa Bay Sun WTampa Bay Sun W
LHCarolina Ascent W1º0–3
DHLexington W5º1–1
DADC Power W4º1–1
WHFort Lauderdale United W8º2–1
WACarolina Ascent W1º2–1
LASporting JAX W2º2–3
DADallas Trinity W3º1–1
LALexington W2º0–1
LALexington W1º0–1
LHDallas Trinity W5º0–2

Season Schedule

Lexington W
LAFort Lauderdale United W1–2
DATampa Bay Sun W1–1
WHDallas Trinity W3–0
WASporting JAX W1–0
LHCarolina Ascent W0–1
LHDC Power W1–2
–HTampa Bay Sun W17/10
–HSporting JAX W23/10
–ACarolina Ascent W31/10
Tampa Bay
LHCarolina Ascent W0–3
DHLexington W1–1
DADC Power W1–1
WHFort Lauderdale United W2–1
WACarolina Ascent W2–1
LASporting JAX W2–3
–ALexington W17/10
–ABrooklyn W24/10
–HDC Power W01/11

Top Scorers

Lexington W
A. Mccain3 ⚽
C. Barry3 ⚽
H. White2 ⚽
M. J. Midgley1 ⚽
M. Weinert1 ⚽
Tampa Bay
S. Connors5 ⚽
T. Waldeck-Zierenberg2 ⚽
J. Zade1 ⚽
S. Nasello1 ⚽

Cards Given

Lexington W
H. White2 🟨
A. Bourgeois1 🟨
A. Elizabeth Brown1 🟨
G. Falla1 🟨
M. Weinert1 🟨
R. Steigleder1 🟨
Tampa Bay
K. Hill3 🟨
L. Scarpelli2 🟨
R. Raabe1 🟨
S. Connors1 🟨
S. McNeill1 🟨
D. Torbert1 🟨