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Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W — USL Super League

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Sporting JAX W
Sporting JAX W
2º · 1.57 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 55d 23h
vs
–
–
Carolina Ascent W
Carolina Ascent W
1º · 2.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 0h
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Sporting JAX W and Carolina Ascent W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Sporting JAX W have recorded 7 wins from 16 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Carolina Ascent W have won 75% of their 8 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 63%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Sporting JAX W and 1.34 for Carolina Ascent W. The models give Sporting JAX W a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Carolina Ascent W win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Sporting JAX W
—
Carolina Ascent W
2º
Position
1º
1.57
PPG
2.38
43%
Win %
75%
1.71
Goals / game
2.00
1.43
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
38%
31%
Clean sheet %
63%
38%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Sporting JAX W
Home (3)
—
Carolina Ascent W
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
1.67
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.25
29%
BTTS %
25%
43%
Clean sheet %
75%
29%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Sporting JAXHomeAwayCarolina AscentHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%43%89%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored44%43%44%50%50%50%
Over 2.5 Scored25%14%33%50%50%50%
Failed To Score31%57%11%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

Sporting JAXHomeAwayCarolina AscentHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded69%57%78%38%50%25%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%14%33%25%50%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%0%22%13%25%0%
Clean Sheets31%43%22%63%50%75%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Sporting JAXCarolina Ascent
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.563%63%
Over 2.538%63%
Over 3.531%25%
Over 4.531%13%
BTTS50%38%
BTTS & Win25%13%
BTTS & Draw19%13%
BTTS & Over 2.538%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Sporting JAXCarolina Ascent
Win 1st Half27%50%
Draw 1st Half55%38%
Loss 1st Half18%13%
Scored 1st Half55%63%
Conceded 1st Half36%25%
Win 2nd Half36%38%
Draw 2nd Half55%63%
Loss 2nd Half9%0%
Scored 2nd Half64%75%
Conceded 2nd Half55%38%
Over 0.5 HT64%75%
Over 1.5 HT27%50%

Recent Venue Form

Sporting JAX (H)
LLexington W0–1
WDallas Trinity W2–0
WTampa Bay Sun W3–2
LTLH Reckoning W0–1
DMiami City W0–0
WFort Lauderdale Utd II W2–1
Carolina Ascent (A)
WTampa Bay Sun W3–0
WLexington W1–0
WDallas Trinity W3–1
WDC Power W1–0
LLexington W1–3
WSporting JAX W1–0

Head to Head · 6 matches

2
Sporting JAX
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Carolina Ascent
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
26/09/26
Carolina Ascent W
3–3
Sporting JAX W
24/05/26
Sporting JAX W
0–1
Carolina Ascent W
16/05/26
Carolina Ascent W
3–1
Sporting JAX W
31/01/26
Sporting JAX W
1–0
Carolina Ascent W
28/09/25
Carolina Ascent W
3–4
Sporting JAX W
13/09/25
Sporting JAX W
2–2
Carolina Ascent W

Team Insights

Sporting JAX
  • ●Sporting JAX W have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●70% of Sporting JAX W's goals conceded were conceded away.
Carolina Ascent
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have won their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●63% of Carolina Ascent W's points have been earned away.
  • ●Carolina Ascent W have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.

Season Schedule

Sporting JAX
DACarolina Ascent W3–3
LHLexington W0–1
LABrooklyn W2–3
DADC Power W1–1
WHDallas Trinity W2–0
WHTampa Bay Sun W3–2
–HFort Lauderdale United W16/10
–ALexington W23/10
–HBrooklyn W31/10
Carolina Ascent
WATampa Bay Sun W3–0
DHSporting JAX W3–3
WHBrooklyn W1–0
WALexington W1–0
WHFort Lauderdale United W3–0
LHTampa Bay Sun W1–2
–HDC Power W16/10
–AFort Lauderdale United W22/10
–HLexington W31/10

Top Scorers

Sporting JAX
B. DeSmit7 ⚽
A. Hennessey1 ⚽
A. Puerta1 ⚽
M. Illig1 ⚽
P. Kenton1 ⚽
S. Boman1 ⚽
Carolina Ascent
J. Aguilera3 ⚽
S. Groom2 ⚽
R. Tappan2 ⚽
A. Coleman2 ⚽
M. Corbin2 ⚽
R. Baisden2 ⚽

Cards Given

Sporting JAX
A. Hennessey1 🟨
B. DeSmit1 🟨
M. Hughes1 🟨
M. Illig1 🟨
M. Teater1 🟨
S. Jones1 🟨
Carolina Ascent
J. Aguilera2 🟨
J. Butler2 🟨
R. Tappan2 🟨
S. Groom2 🟨
M. Corbin2 🟨
A. Cook2 🟨