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Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting JAX W — USL Super League

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United States · USL Super League · Group Stage
Tampa Bay Sun W
Tampa Bay Sun W
6º · 1.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 1h
vs
–
–
Sporting JAX W
Sporting JAX W
2º · 1.57 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 63d 0h
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Tampa Bay Sun W and Sporting JAX W meet in the USL Super League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Tampa Bay Sun W have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Sporting JAX W have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Tampa Bay Sun W and 1.54 for Sporting JAX W. The models give Tampa Bay Sun W a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Sporting JAX W win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Tampa Bay Sun W
—
Sporting JAX W
6º
Position
2º
1.29
PPG
1.57
29%
Win %
43%
1.29
Goals / game
1.71
1.57
Conceded / game
1.43
86%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
31%
57%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Tampa Bay Sun W
Home (3)
—
Sporting JAX W
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
1.25
33%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.75
1.67
Conceded / game
1.75
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
22%
67%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Tampa BayHomeAwaySporting JAXHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored86%67%100%69%43%89%
Over 1.5 Scored43%33%50%44%43%44%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%25%14%33%
Failed To Score14%33%0%31%57%11%

Goals Conceded

Tampa BayHomeAwaySporting JAXHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded100%100%100%69%57%78%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%33%25%25%14%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%33%25%13%0%22%
Clean Sheets0%0%0%31%43%22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Tampa BaySporting JAX
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.5100%63%
Over 2.557%38%
Over 3.514%31%
Over 4.514%31%
BTTS86%50%
BTTS & Win29%25%
BTTS & Draw43%19%
BTTS & Over 2.543%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Tampa BaySporting JAX
Win 1st Half29%27%
Draw 1st Half43%55%
Loss 1st Half29%18%
Scored 1st Half43%55%
Conceded 1st Half43%36%
Win 2nd Half14%36%
Draw 2nd Half57%55%
Loss 2nd Half29%9%
Scored 2nd Half71%64%
Conceded 2nd Half71%55%
Over 0.5 HT71%64%
Over 1.5 HT29%27%

Recent Venue Form

Tampa Bay (H)
LCarolina Ascent W0–3
DLexington W1–1
WFort Lauderdale United W2–1
LDallas Trinity W0–2
LCarolina Ascent W1–2
LDC Power W0–2
Sporting JAX (A)
DCarolina Ascent W3–3
LBrooklyn W2–3
DDC Power W1–1
WFort Lauderdale United W1–0
LMiami City W0–2
WMiami AC W6–1

Head to Head · 5 matches

0
Tampa Bay
0%
1
Draws
20%
4
Sporting JAX
80%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
60%
Over 3.5
3/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
22/08/26
Sporting JAX W
3–2
Tampa Bay Sun W
20/12/25
Sporting JAX W
3–1
Tampa Bay Sun W
07/12/25
Tampa Bay Sun W
0–3
Sporting JAX W
18/10/25
Sporting JAX W
1–1
Tampa Bay Sun W
31/08/25
Tampa Bay Sun W
2–3
Sporting JAX W
USL Super League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W8611+1019
2Sporting JAX W7322+211
3Dallas Trinity W8323-211
4DC Power W7322+311
5Lexington W7313+410
6Tampa Bay Sun W7232-29
7Brooklyn W8215-97
8Fort Lauderdale United W8206-66

Team Insights

Tampa Bay
  • ●Tampa Bay Sun W have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tampa Bay Sun W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Tampa Bay Sun W have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●67% of Tampa Bay Sun W's goals have been scored away.
Sporting JAX
  • ●Sporting JAX W have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Sporting JAX W have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●70% of Sporting JAX W's goals conceded were conceded away.
Tampa Bay Sun WTampa Bay Sun W
LHCarolina Ascent W1º0–3
DHLexington W5º1–1
DADC Power W4º1–1
WHFort Lauderdale United W8º2–1
WACarolina Ascent W1º2–1
LASporting JAX W2º2–3
DADallas Trinity W3º1–1
LALexington W2º0–1
LALexington W1º0–1
LHDallas Trinity W5º0–2
Sporting JAX WSporting JAX W
DACarolina Ascent W1º3–3
LHLexington W5º0–1
LABrooklyn W7º2–3
DADC Power W4º1–1
WHDallas Trinity W3º2–0
WHTampa Bay Sun W6º3–2
WAFort Lauderdale United W8º1–0
LHTLH Reckoning W2º0–1
LAMiami City W4º0–2
DHMiami City W4º0–0

Season Schedule

Tampa Bay
LHCarolina Ascent W0–3
DHLexington W1–1
DADC Power W1–1
WHFort Lauderdale United W2–1
WACarolina Ascent W2–1
LASporting JAX W2–3
–ALexington W17/10
–ABrooklyn W24/10
–HDC Power W01/11
Sporting JAX
DACarolina Ascent W3–3
LHLexington W0–1
LABrooklyn W2–3
DADC Power W1–1
WHDallas Trinity W2–0
WHTampa Bay Sun W3–2
–HFort Lauderdale United W16/10
–ALexington W23/10
–HBrooklyn W31/10

Top Scorers

Tampa Bay
S. Connors5 ⚽
T. Waldeck-Zierenberg2 ⚽
J. Zade1 ⚽
S. Nasello1 ⚽
Sporting JAX
B. DeSmit7 ⚽
A. Hennessey1 ⚽
A. Puerta1 ⚽
M. Illig1 ⚽
P. Kenton1 ⚽
S. Boman1 ⚽

Cards Given

Tampa Bay
K. Hill3 🟨
L. Scarpelli2 🟨
R. Raabe1 🟨
S. Connors1 🟨
S. McNeill1 🟨
D. Torbert1 🟨
Sporting JAX
A. Hennessey1 🟨
B. DeSmit1 🟨
M. Hughes1 🟨
M. Illig1 🟨
M. Teater1 🟨
S. Jones1 🟨