Liverpool vs Manchester City — Premier League
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Liverpool and Manchester City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Liverpool have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Manchester City have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Liverpool and 1.65 for Manchester City. The models give Liverpool a 28% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Manchester City win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool—
Manchester City8º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
3.00
25%
Win %
100%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
57%
BTTS %
56%
43%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.8
Avg corners
5.7
15.6
Avg shots
14.0
5.2
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.6
Avg fouls
11.0
57.4%
Avg possession
64.0%
Home vs Away
Liverpool
Home (2)
—
Manchester City
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
60%
BTTS %
40%
40%
Clean sheet %
40%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.8
Avg corners
5.7
15.6
Avg shots
14.0
5.2
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
57.4%
Avg possession
64.0%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 60% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 60% | 100% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 40% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 40% | 50% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS | 57% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool (H)D
Fulham0–0
Fulham0–0W
Atletico Madrid2–1
Atletico Madrid2–1D
Nottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2D
Como0–0
Como0–0L
Monaco2–3
Monaco2–3L
Leeds2–4
Leeds2–4Manchester City (A)W
Manchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0W
FC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0W
Crystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1L
Arsenal0–3
Arsenal0–3W
K-League Stars3–1
K-League Stars3–1D
Bournemouth1–1
Bournemouth1–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
9.1
40 games
9.0
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Liverpool | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 83% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 17% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 33% |
Head to Head · 43 matches
17
Liverpool
40%
13
Draws
30%
13
Manchester City
30%
91%
Over 1.5
39/43
72%
Over 2.5
31/43
44%
Over 3.5
19/43
65%
BTTS
28/43
04/04/26Liverpool
Manchester City
4–0Liverpool08/02/26Manchester City
Liverpool
1–2Manchester City09/11/25Liverpool
Manchester City
3–0Liverpool23/02/25Liverpool
Manchester City
0–2Liverpool01/12/24Manchester City
Liverpool
2–0Manchester City10/03/24Manchester City
Liverpool
1–1Manchester City25/11/23Liverpool
Manchester City
1–1Liverpool01/04/23Liverpool
Manchester City
4–1Liverpool22/12/22Liverpool
Manchester City
3–2Liverpool16/10/22Manchester City
Liverpool
1–0Manchester City30/07/22Manchester City
Liverpool
3–1Manchester City16/04/22Liverpool
Manchester City
2–3Liverpool10/04/22Liverpool
Manchester City
2–2Liverpool03/10/21Manchester City
Liverpool
2–2Manchester City07/02/21Manchester City
Liverpool
1–4Manchester City08/11/20Liverpool
Manchester City
1–1Liverpool02/07/20Liverpool
Manchester City
4–0Liverpool10/11/19Manchester City
Liverpool
3–1Manchester City04/08/19Manchester City
Liverpool
1–1Manchester City03/01/19Liverpool
Manchester City
2–1Liverpool| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 |  Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Liverpool- ●Liverpool have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●67% of Liverpool's points have been earned away.
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of Manchester City's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
LiverpoolDHFulham0–0
Fulham0–0WAIpswich2–0
Ipswich2–0DHNottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2–ABournemouth20/09
Bournemouth20/09–HManchester City11/10
Manchester City11/10–ABrentford17/10
Brentford17/10Manchester CityWAManchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0WHCoventry1–0
Coventry1–0WACrystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1WHBournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1–HSunderland20/09
Sunderland20/09–ALiverpool11/10
Liverpool11/10–HIpswich17/10
Ipswich17/10Top Scorers
LiverpoolAlexander Isak2 ⚽
C. Gakpo2 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
Dominik Szoboszlai1 ⚽
F. Wirtz1 ⚽
J. Jacquet1 ⚽
Manchester CityErling Haaland4 ⚽
O. Marmoush2 ⚽
R. Ait-Nouri2 ⚽
R. Cherki2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
Cards Given
LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister2 🟨
Alisson1 🟨
D. Szoboszlai1 🟨
F. Wirtz1 🟨
J. Frimpong1 🟨
Jérémy Jacquet1 🟨
Manchester CityJ. Gvardiol2 🟨
Josko Gvardiol2 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
Enzo Fernández1 🟨
Erling Haaland1 🟨
Gianluigi Donnarumma1 🟨