Bournemouth vs Sunderland — Premier League
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Bournemouth and Sunderland meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Bournemouth have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Sunderland have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Bournemouth and 1.24 for Sunderland. The models give Bournemouth a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Sunderland win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Bournemouth—
Sunderland16º
Position
14º
0.75
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
25%
1.50
Goals / game
0.75
1.75
Conceded / game
1.25
83%
BTTS %
50%
8%
Clean sheet %
40%
83%
Over 2.5 %
40%
5.2
Avg corners
5.7
17.7
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.2
Avg fouls
12.2
49.5%
Avg possession
49.5%
Home vs Away
Bournemouth
Home (2)
—
Sunderland
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
67%
BTTS %
80%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.2
Avg corners
5.7
17.7
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
49.5%
Avg possession
49.5%
Goals Scored
| Bournemouth | Home | Away | Sunderland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Bournemouth | Home | Away | Sunderland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 17% | 83% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bournemouth | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS | 83% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bournemouth | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 73% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 91% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 9% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 64% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 82% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Bournemouth (H)L
Liverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1D
Brentford2–2
Brentford2–2W
Lincoln4–0
Lincoln4–0D
Everton1–1
Everton1–1W
Genoa10–1
Genoa10–1W
FC St. Pauli4–1
FC St. Pauli4–1Sunderland (A)L
Manchester City3–5
Manchester City3–5DBrentford1–1
Brentford1–1L
Ipswich1–2
Ipswich1–2W
Lens2–0
Lens2–0W
Wrexham1–0
Wrexham1–0LLiverpool2–4
Liverpool2–4Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.4
46 games
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Bournemouth | Sunderland | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 33% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 33% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 33% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bournemouth | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Bournemouth
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Sunderland
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
28/02/26Sunderland
Bournemouth
1–1Sunderland29/11/25Bournemouth
Sunderland
3–2Bournemouth29/04/17Bournemouth
Sunderland
0–1Bournemouth05/11/16Sunderland
Bournemouth
1–2Sunderland23/01/16Bournemouth
Sunderland
1–1Bournemouth19/09/15Sunderland
Bournemouth
2–0Sunderland| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 7 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Team Insights
Bournemouth- ●Bournemouth have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Bournemouth failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
Sunderland- ●Sunderland have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●80% of Sunderland's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
BournemouthLHLiverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2DHEverton1–1
Everton1–1LAManchester City1–2
Manchester City1–2–AChelsea10/10
Chelsea10/10–HSunderland18/10
Sunderland18/10–AManchester United25/10
Manchester United25/10SunderlandLAManchester City3–5
Manchester City3–5LHArsenal0–2
Arsenal0–2DABrentford1–1
Brentford1–1WHFulham1–0
Fulham1–0LAIpswich1–2
Ipswich1–2–HBrighton10/10
Brighton10/10–ABournemouth18/10
Bournemouth18/10–HLeeds25/10
Leeds25/10Top Scorers
BournemouthM. Tavernier3 ⚽
Ryan Christie3 ⚽
Marcus Tavernier2 ⚽
Evanilson2 ⚽
B. Gannon-Doak2 ⚽
Justin Kluivert2 ⚽
SunderlandBrian Brobbey3 ⚽
E. Le Fee3 ⚽
T. Hume2 ⚽
W. Isidor2 ⚽
N. Angulo1 ⚽
T. Proctor1 ⚽
Cards Given
Bournemouth4 🟨
Justin Kluivert3 🟨
Antonio Silva2 🟨
Adrien Truffert2 🟨
Adam Smith2 🟨
A. Scott2 🟨
SunderlandGranit Xhaka2 🟨
Reinildo Isnard Mandava2 🟨
Dan Ballard1 🟨
Dayann Methalie1 🟨
L. O'Nien1 🟨
D. Ballard1 🟨