Brentford vs Liverpool — Premier League
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Brentford and Liverpool meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Brentford have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 3.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Liverpool have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Brentford and 1.27 for Liverpool. The models give Brentford a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Liverpool win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Brentford—
Liverpool4º
Position
9º
1.67
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
1.17
70%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
40%
80%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.6
Avg corners
4.6
17.0
Avg shots
14.4
5.4
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.3
14.9
Avg fouls
13.8
49.9%
Avg possession
53.9%
Home vs Away
Brentford
Home (3)
—
Liverpool
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
2.33
67%
Win %
67%
2.33
Goals / game
1.67
0.33
Conceded / game
0.67
25%
BTTS %
33%
75%
Clean sheet %
67%
75%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.6
Avg corners
4.6
17.0
Avg shots
14.4
5.4
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.3
49.9%
Avg possession
53.9%
Goals Scored
| Brentford | Home | Away | Liverpool | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 70% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 83% | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 33% | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 43% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Brentford | Home | Away | Liverpool | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 25% | 100% | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 75% | 0% | 40% | 29% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brentford | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brentford | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Brentford (H)W
Chelsea3–0
Chelsea3–0D
Sunderland1–1
Sunderland1–1W
Tottenham3–0
Tottenham3–0W
Eintracht Frankfurt7–0
Eintracht Frankfurt7–0D
Crystal Palace2–2
Crystal Palace2–2W
West Ham3–0
West Ham3–0Liverpool (A)W
Bournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0W
Ipswich2–0
Ipswich2–0D
Newcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2L
Aston Villa2–4
Aston Villa2–4L
Manchester United2–3
Manchester United2–3W
Everton2–1
Everton2–1Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
9.9
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Brentford | Liverpool | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 88% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 75% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 50% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 38% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 13% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brentford | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 63% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Brentford
20%
2
Draws
20%
6
Liverpool
60%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
24/05/26Brentford
Liverpool
1–1Brentford25/10/25Liverpool
Brentford
3–2Liverpool18/01/25Liverpool
Brentford
0–2Liverpool25/08/24Brentford
Liverpool
2–0Brentford17/02/24Liverpool
Brentford
1–4Liverpool12/11/23Brentford
Liverpool
3–0Brentford06/05/23Brentford
Liverpool
1–0Brentford02/01/23Liverpool
Brentford
3–1Liverpool16/01/22Brentford
Liverpool
3–0Brentford25/09/21Liverpool
Brentford
3–3Liverpool| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Brentford- ●Brentford have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Brentford have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Brentford have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Brentford have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Liverpool- ●Liverpool have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Liverpool's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
BrentfordDAAston Villa2–2
Aston Villa2–2WHChelsea3–0
Chelsea3–0DABournemouth2–2
Bournemouth2–2DHSunderland1–1
Sunderland1–1DALeeds1–1
Leeds1–1WHTottenham3–0
Tottenham3–0–HLiverpool17/10
Liverpool17/10–AHull City25/10
Hull City25/10–HNottingham Forest31/10
Nottingham Forest31/10LiverpoolLHManchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3WABournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0DHFulham0–0
Fulham0–0WAIpswich2–0
Ipswich2–0DHNottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2–ABrentford17/10
Brentford17/10–HBrighton25/10
Brighton25/10–HArsenal01/11
Arsenal01/11Top Scorers
BrentfordI. Thiago4 ⚽
K. Schade3 ⚽
K. Lewis-Potter2 ⚽
C. Wilson2 ⚽
Fabio Carvalho2 ⚽
D. Ouattara2 ⚽
LiverpoolAlexander Isak3 ⚽
Alexis Mac Allister2 ⚽
Dominik Szoboszlai2 ⚽
C. Gakpo2 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
V. Munoz1 ⚽
Cards Given
BrentfordIgor Thiago3 🟨
Vitaly Janelt2 🟨
V. Janelt2 🟨
Mamadou Sangare2 🟨
K. Andrews1 🟨
J. Anthony1 🟨
LiverpoolRonald Araujo2 🟨
Ryan Gravenberch2 🟨
Alexis Mac Allister2 🟨
Milos Kerkez2 🟨
Dominik Szoboszlai1 🟨
Alisson1 🟨