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Everton vs ChelseaPremier League

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Everton
Everton
9º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 19h
vs
Chelsea
Chelsea
6º · 1.75 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 21h
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Everton and Chelsea meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Everton have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Chelsea have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 2.83 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Everton and 1.72 for Chelsea. The models give Everton a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chelsea win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Everton
Chelsea
Position
1.50
PPG
1.75
25%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
2.50
0.75
Conceded / game
2.25
50%
BTTS %
75%
42%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
83%
5.2
Avg corners
5.7
17.6
Avg shots
17.0
6.2
Avg shots on target
6.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
8.0
Avg fouls
8.8
46.8%
Avg possession
48.8%

Home vs Away

Everton
Home (2)
Chelsea
Away (2)
2.00
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
100%
5.2
Avg corners
5.7
17.6
Avg shots
17.0
6.2
Avg shots on target
6.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
46.8%
Avg possession
48.8%

Goals Scored

EvertonHomeAwayChelseaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%100%67%92%89%100%
Over 1.5 Scored50%67%44%75%78%67%
Over 2.5 Scored25%0%33%58%56%67%
Failed To Score25%0%33%8%11%0%

Goals Conceded

EvertonHomeAwayChelseaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded58%67%56%83%78%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded17%33%11%67%56%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%11%33%33%33%
Clean Sheets42%33%44%17%22%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

EvertonChelsea
Over 0.583%100%
Over 1.575%92%
Over 2.550%83%
Over 3.542%58%
Over 4.50%42%
BTTS50%75%
BTTS & Win17%42%
BTTS & Draw25%17%
BTTS & Over 2.533%75%
BTTS No & Over 2.517%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

EvertonChelsea
Win 1st Half50%25%
Draw 1st Half33%58%
Loss 1st Half17%17%
Scored 1st Half50%75%
Conceded 1st Half17%75%
Win 2nd Half33%50%
Draw 2nd Half42%17%
Loss 2nd Half25%33%
Scored 2nd Half67%75%
Conceded 2nd Half50%67%
Over 0.5 HT67%83%
Over 1.5 HT8%67%

Recent Venue Form

Everton (H)
DManchester United22
WCrystal Palace20
DLille11
LSunderland13
DManchester City33
LLiverpool12
Chelsea (A)
LArsenal12
WFulham32
DJohor Darul Takzim FC33
LSunderland12
DLiverpool11
LBrighton03

Number of Corners

9.4
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
9.1
40 games
10.7
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersEvertonChelseaLeague Avg
Over 680%100%90%
Over 760%100%65%
Over 840%67%45%
Over 940%67%40%
Over 1040%50%30%
Over 1120%33%20%
Over 1220%17%15%
Over 1320%17%8%

Team Corners

Team CornersEvertonChelsea
Corners Earned / Match5.25.7
Corners Against / Match4.25.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For60%33%
Over 2.5 Corners Against80%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against40%83%
Over 4.5 Corners Against40%67%

Head to Head · 34 matches

10
Everton
29%
7
Draws
21%
17
Chelsea
50%
71%
Over 1.5
24/34
44%
Over 2.5
15/34
26%
Over 3.5
9/34
35%
BTTS
12/34
21/03/26
Everton
30
Chelsea
13/12/25
Chelsea
20
Everton
26/04/25
Chelsea
10
Everton
22/12/24
Everton
00
Chelsea
15/04/24
Chelsea
60
Everton
10/12/23
Everton
20
Chelsea
18/03/23
Chelsea
22
Everton
06/08/22
Everton
01
Chelsea
01/05/22
Everton
10
Chelsea
16/12/21
Chelsea
11
Everton
08/03/21
Chelsea
20
Everton
12/12/20
Everton
10
Chelsea
08/03/20
Chelsea
40
Everton
07/12/19
Everton
31
Chelsea
17/03/19
Everton
20
Chelsea
11/11/18
Chelsea
00
Everton
23/12/17
Everton
00
Chelsea
25/10/17
Chelsea
21
Everton
27/08/17
Chelsea
20
Everton
30/04/17
Everton
03
Chelsea
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal4400+712
2Manchester City4400+612
3Leeds4220+48
4Hull City4220+38
5Brighton4211+87
6Chelsea4211+17
7Brentford4130+36
8Liverpool4130+26
9Everton4130+26
10Ipswich4202-36
11Nottingham Forest412105
12Newcastle4121-15
13Manchester United411204
14Sunderland4112-24
15Bournemouth4031-13
16Crystal Palace4103-53
17Tottenham4022-52
18Fulham4013-31
19Aston Villa4013-61
20Coventry4004-100

Team Insights

Everton
  • Everton have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
Chelsea
  • Chelsea have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
DATottenham17º00
DABournemouth15º11
WAPreston40
WHCrystal Palace16º20
DHLille11
WANewcastle31
LAStoke City01
DHHull City4º22
WHLeeds63
LAArsenal1º12
WHBrighton5º43
WHLuton20
WAFulham18º32
WHAC Milan30
LHJuventus01

Season Schedule

Everton
DATottenham00
DHManchester United22
DABournemouth11
WHCrystal Palace20
HIpswich19/09
AHull City11/10
HChelsea17/10
Chelsea
DHHull City22
LAArsenal12
WHBrighton43
WAFulham32
ABrentford18/09
HBournemouth10/10
AEverton17/10

Top Scorers

Everton
T. Barry7
I. Ndiaye2
Beto1
D. McNeil1
H. Foster1
J. Tarkowski1
Chelsea
Joao Pedro9
C. Palmer2
Cole Palmer2
L. Delap2
Danny Welbeck2
M. Rogers2

Cards Given

Everton
C. Alcaraz2 🟨
2 🟨
J. Garner1 🟨
Brennan Johnson1 🟨
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall1 🟨
Merlin Röhl1 🟨
Chelsea
R. Lavia2 🟨
G. Quenda1 🟨
João Pedro1 🟨
L. Colwill1 🟨
L. Delap1 🟨
Estevao1 🟨