Manchester City vs Ipswich — Premier League
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Manchester City and Ipswich meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Manchester City have recorded 9 wins from 11 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Ipswich have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Manchester City and 1.50 for Ipswich. The models give Manchester City a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Ipswich win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Ipswich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 80% | 77% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 40% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Ipswich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 67% | 60% | 85% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 54% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 33% | 40% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester City | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS | 55% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 45% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester City | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Manchester City | Ipswich | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 86% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 71% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 29% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 14% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 14% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester City | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 29% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 43% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 | |
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Manchester City have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of Manchester City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ipswich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●73% of Ipswich's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Ipswich have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.