Liverpool vs Brighton — Premier League
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Anfield·Liverpool·England·61,276
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Liverpool and Brighton meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Liverpool have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Brighton have won 75% of their 12 matches, with 2.75 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 67%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Liverpool and 1.91 for Brighton. The models give Liverpool a 32% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Brighton win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool—
Brighton9º
Position
3º
1.50
PPG
2.17
33%
Win %
67%
1.17
Goals / game
3.00
1.17
Conceded / game
0.83
50%
BTTS %
33%
40%
Clean sheet %
67%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.6
Avg corners
5.9
14.4
Avg shots
19.1
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.8
Avg fouls
13.7
53.9%
Avg possession
62.8%
Home vs Away
Liverpool
Home (3)
—
Brighton
Away (3)
0.67
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
3.33
1.67
Conceded / game
1.33
57%
BTTS %
40%
29%
Clean sheet %
60%
71%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.6
Avg corners
5.9
14.4
Avg shots
19.1
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.1
53.9%
Avg possession
62.8%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 57% | 100% | 92% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 57% | 67% | 75% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 14% | 0% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 43% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 71% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 29% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 29% | 67% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 42% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool (H)L
Manchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3W
Tottenham3–1
Tottenham3–1D
Fulham0–0
Fulham0–0W
Atletico Madrid2–1
Atletico Madrid2–1D
Nottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2D
Como0–0
Como0–0Brighton (A)W
Sunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0W
Manchester United3–2
Manchester United3–2W
Coventry5–0
Coventry5–0L
Chelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4D
Tromso0–0
Tromso0–0L
Leeds0–1
Leeds0–1Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
10.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Liverpool | Brighton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 56% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 56% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 56% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
14
Liverpool
61%
4
Draws
17%
5
Brighton
22%
87%
Over 1.5
20/23
74%
Over 2.5
17/23
39%
Over 3.5
9/23
65%
BTTS
15/23
21/03/26Liverpool
Brighton
2–1Liverpool14/02/26Brighton
Liverpool
3–0Brighton13/12/25Brighton
Liverpool
2–0Brighton19/05/25Liverpool
Brighton
3–2Liverpool02/11/24Brighton
Liverpool
2–1Brighton30/10/24Liverpool
Brighton
2–3Liverpool31/03/24Brighton
Liverpool
2–1Brighton08/10/23Liverpool
Brighton
2–2Liverpool29/01/23Liverpool
Brighton
2–1Liverpool14/01/23Liverpool
Brighton
3–0Liverpool01/10/22Brighton
Liverpool
3–3Brighton12/03/22Liverpool
Brighton
0–2Liverpool30/10/21Brighton
Liverpool
2–2Brighton03/02/21Brighton
Liverpool
0–1Brighton28/11/20Liverpool
Brighton
1–1Liverpool08/07/20Liverpool
Brighton
1–3Liverpool30/11/19Brighton
Liverpool
2–1Brighton12/01/19Liverpool
Brighton
0–1Liverpool25/08/18Brighton
Liverpool
1–0Brighton13/05/18Brighton
Liverpool
4–0Brighton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Liverpool- ●Liverpool have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Liverpool's points have been earned away.
Brighton- ●Brighton have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Brighton have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
LiverpoolLHManchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3WABournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0DHFulham0–0
Fulham0–0WAIpswich2–0
Ipswich2–0DHNottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2–ABrentford17/10
Brentford17/10–HBrighton25/10
Brighton25/10–HArsenal01/11
Arsenal01/11BrightonWASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0WHArsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0WACoventry5–0
Coventry5–0DHLeeds1–1
Leeds1–1LAChelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4WHAston Villa4–0
Aston Villa4–0–HCrystal Palace18/10
Crystal Palace18/10–ALiverpool25/10
Liverpool25/10–AManchester City31/10
Manchester City31/10Top Scorers
LiverpoolAlexander Isak3 ⚽
Alexis Mac Allister2 ⚽
Dominik Szoboszlai2 ⚽
Bradley Barcola2 ⚽
C. Gakpo2 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
BrightonPascal Groß3 ⚽
J. Hinshelwood3 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas3 ⚽
O. Boscagli2 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper2 ⚽
M. De Cuyper2 ⚽
Cards Given
LiverpoolRonald Araujo2 🟨
Ryan Gravenberch2 🟨
Alexis Mac Allister2 🟨
Milos Kerkez2 🟨
Dominik Szoboszlai1 🟨
Alisson1 🟨
BrightonMaxim De Cuyper3 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨
Costinha1 🟨
Ferdi Kadıoğlu1 🟨
Jaouen Hadjam1 🟨
F. Kadioglu1 🟨