Sunderland vs Leeds — Premier League
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Stadium of Light·Sunderland·England·49,000
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Sunderland and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sunderland have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Leeds have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Sunderland and 1.35 for Leeds. The models give Sunderland a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Leeds win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Sunderland—
Leeds14º
Position
6º
1.00
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
50%
0.75
Goals / game
1.75
1.25
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
56%
40%
Clean sheet %
44%
40%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.7
Avg corners
4.2
13.8
Avg shots
13.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.2
Avg fouls
10.7
49.5%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
Sunderland
Home (2)
—
Leeds
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
0.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
20%
BTTS %
60%
60%
Clean sheet %
40%
20%
Over 2.5 %
20%
5.7
Avg corners
4.2
13.8
Avg shots
13.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.3
49.5%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| Sunderland | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 80% | 100% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 20% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sunderland | Home | Away | Leeds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 40% | 80% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 70% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Sunderland (H)W
AZ Alkmaar1–0
AZ Alkmaar1–0L
Arsenal0–2
Arsenal0–2W
Hull City1–0
Hull City1–0W
Fulham1–0
Fulham1–0W
Rennes2–1
Rennes2–1LLeeds0–1
Leeds0–1Leeds (A)L
Chelsea3–6
Chelsea3–6D
Brighton1–1
Brighton1–1W
Nottingham Forest2–0
Nottingham Forest2–0WNottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1W
Liverpool4–2
Liverpool4–2Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.4
46 games
8.7
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Sunderland | Leeds | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 17% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 17% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sunderland | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 50% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Sunderland
30%
4
Draws
40%
3
Leeds
30%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
10%
Over 3.5
1/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
30/07/26Leeds
Sunderland
0–1Leeds03/03/26Sunderland
Leeds
0–1Sunderland28/12/25Leeds
Sunderland
1–1Leeds17/02/25Sunderland
Leeds
2–1Sunderland04/10/24Leeds
Sunderland
2–2Leeds09/04/24Sunderland
Leeds
0–0Sunderland12/12/23Leeds
Sunderland
1–0Leeds07/04/18Sunderland
Leeds
1–1Sunderland19/08/17Leeds
Sunderland
0–2Leeds04/01/15Leeds
Sunderland
1–0Leeds| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 7 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sunderland- ●Sunderland have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●80% of Sunderland's goals conceded were conceded away.
Leeds- ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
SunderlandLAManchester City3–5
Manchester City3–5LHArsenal0–2
Arsenal0–2DABrentford1–1
Brentford1–1WHFulham1–0
Fulham1–0LAIpswich1–2
Ipswich1–2–HBrighton10/10
Brighton10/10–ABournemouth18/10
Bournemouth18/10–HLeeds25/10
Leeds25/10LeedsDHCrystal Palace0–0
Crystal Palace0–0WHNewcastle4–1
Newcastle4–1DABrighton1–1
Brighton1–1DHBrentford1–1
Brentford1–1WANottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0–AArsenal10/10
Arsenal10/10–HManchester United18/10
Manchester United18/10–ASunderland25/10
Sunderland25/10Top Scorers
SunderlandBrian Brobbey3 ⚽
E. Le Fee3 ⚽
T. Hume2 ⚽
W. Isidor2 ⚽
N. Angulo1 ⚽
T. Proctor1 ⚽
LeedsA. Stach2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
J. Justin2 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
Noah Okafor1 ⚽
Cards Given
SunderlandGranit Xhaka2 🟨
Reinildo Isnard Mandava2 🟨
Dan Ballard1 🟨
Dayann Methalie1 🟨
L. O'Nien1 🟨
D. Ballard1 🟨
LeedsJayden Bogle2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
D. Calvert-Lewin1 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
Harry Wilson1 🟨
A. Tanaka1 🟨