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Bournemouth vs Leeds — Premier League

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Bournemouth
Bournemouth
18º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Leeds
Leeds
7º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 3h
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Bournemouth and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bournemouth have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 85% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 85%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Leeds have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 45%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Bournemouth and 1.36 for Leeds. The models give Bournemouth a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leeds win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Bournemouth
—
Leeds
18º
Position
7º
0.50
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.33
2.17
Conceded / game
0.83
85%
BTTS %
55%
8%
Clean sheet %
45%
85%
Over 2.5 %
36%
5.1
Avg corners
4.1
15.5
Avg shots
13.0
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.4
Avg fouls
11.8
50.4%
Avg possession
46.1%

Home vs Away

Bournemouth
Home (3)
—
Leeds
Away (3)
0.67
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.1
Avg corners
4.1
15.5
Avg shots
13.0
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
50.4%
Avg possession
46.1%

Goals Scored

BournemouthHomeAwayLeedsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored92%83%100%91%80%100%
Over 1.5 Scored62%67%57%45%60%33%
Over 2.5 Scored31%50%14%27%40%17%
Failed To Score8%17%0%9%20%0%

Goals Conceded

BournemouthHomeAwayLeedsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded92%83%100%55%40%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded54%17%86%18%0%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%14%9%0%17%
Clean Sheets8%17%0%45%60%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BournemouthLeeds
Over 0.5100%91%
Over 1.592%82%
Over 2.585%36%
Over 3.562%27%
Over 4.531%18%
BTTS85%55%
BTTS & Win31%9%
BTTS & Draw31%27%
BTTS & Over 2.577%27%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BournemouthLeeds
Win 1st Half67%45%
Draw 1st Half25%45%
Loss 1st Half8%9%
Scored 1st Half83%55%
Conceded 1st Half42%18%
Win 2nd Half25%45%
Draw 2nd Half8%27%
Loss 2nd Half67%27%
Scored 2nd Half50%73%
Conceded 2nd Half83%36%
Over 0.5 HT92%64%
Over 1.5 HT50%27%

Recent Venue Form

Bournemouth (H)
LLiverpool0–1
DBrentford2–2
WLincoln4–0
DEverton1–1
WGenoa10–1
WFC St. Pauli4–1
Leeds (A)
LArsenal1–2
LChelsea3–6
DBrighton1–1
WNottingham Forest2–0
WNottingham Forest1–0
DManchester United1–1

Number of Corners

9.4
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
8.3
Corners / Match
8 games
Match CornersBournemouthLeedsLeague Avg
Over 675%75%90%
Over 763%50%68%
Over 850%38%47%
Over 950%38%43%
Over 1038%25%37%
Over 1125%13%23%
Over 1225%13%17%
Over 1313%0%8%

Team Corners

Team CornersBournemouthLeeds
Corners Earned / Match5.14.1
Corners Against / Match4.34.1
Over 2.5 Corners For88%75%
Over 3.5 Corners For38%75%
Over 4.5 Corners For38%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against63%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against50%38%
Over 4.5 Corners Against38%38%

Head to Head · 8 matches

2
Bournemouth
25%
2
Draws
25%
4
Leeds
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
75%
Over 3.5
6/8
88%
BTTS
7/8
22/04/26
Bournemouth
2–2
Leeds
27/09/25
Leeds
2–2
Bournemouth
30/04/23
Bournemouth
4–1
Leeds
05/11/22
Leeds
4–3
Bournemouth
20/01/15
Leeds
1–0
Bournemouth
16/09/14
Bournemouth
1–3
Leeds
25/03/14
Bournemouth
4–1
Leeds
01/10/13
Leeds
2–1
Bournemouth
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City6600+1118
2Arsenal6501+515
3Brighton6411+1313
4Brentford6240+610
5Everton6240+310
6Chelsea6312+210
7Leeds6231+39
8Hull City6231+29
9Liverpool623109
10Ipswich6303-39
11Newcastle6222-38
12Crystal Palace6213-37
13Manchester United613206
14Coventry6204-66
15Nottingham Forest6123-35
16Aston Villa6123-55
17Sunderland6114-64
18Bournemouth6033-63
19Tottenham6033-63
20Fulham6024-42

Team Insights

Bournemouth
  • ●Bournemouth have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Bournemouth failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Bournemouth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●69% of Bournemouth's goals conceded were conceded away.
Leeds
  • ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●63% of Leeds's goals have been scored at home.
LAChelsea6º1–5
LHLiverpool9º0–1
WAReal Sociedad24º2–1
WAReal Sociedad22º2–1
DHBrentford4º2–2
WHLincoln4–0
DANewcastle11º2–2
DHEverton5º1–1
LAManchester City1º1–2
LAArsenal2º1–2
DHCrystal Palace12º0–0
WHNewcastle11º4–1
LAChelsea3–6
DABrighton3º1–1
DHBrentford4º1–1

Season Schedule

Bournemouth
LAChelsea1–5
LHLiverpool0–1
DHBrentford2–2
DANewcastle2–2
DHEverton1–1
LAManchester City1–2
–HSunderland18/10
–AManchester United25/10
–HLeeds31/10
Leeds
LAArsenal1–2
DHCrystal Palace0–0
WHNewcastle4–1
DABrighton1–1
DHBrentford1–1
WANottingham Forest1–0
–HManchester United18/10
–ASunderland25/10
–ABournemouth31/10

Top Scorers

Bournemouth
M. Tavernier3 ⚽
Ryan Christie3 ⚽
Marcus Tavernier2 ⚽
Evanilson2 ⚽
B. Gannon-Doak2 ⚽
Justin Kluivert2 ⚽
Leeds
J. Justin2 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
A. Stach2 ⚽
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
Brenden Aaronson1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bournemouth
4 🟨
Adrien Truffert3 🟨
Justin Kluivert3 🟨
Antonio Silva2 🟨
Adam Smith2 🟨
A. Scott2 🟨
Leeds
Jayden Bogle2 🟨
Ao Tanaka2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
Ethan Ampadu1 🟨
Harry Wilson1 🟨