Liverpool vs Arsenal — Premier League
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Anfield·Liverpool·England·61,276
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Liverpool and Arsenal meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Liverpool have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Arsenal have won 71% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Liverpool and 1.55 for Arsenal. The models give Liverpool a 30% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arsenal win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool—
Arsenal9º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
2.50
33%
Win %
83%
1.17
Goals / game
1.67
1.17
Conceded / game
0.83
50%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
43%
60%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.6
Avg corners
4.6
14.4
Avg shots
14.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.3
13.8
Avg fouls
11.2
53.9%
Avg possession
57.2%
Home vs Away
Liverpool
Home (3)
—
Arsenal
Away (3)
0.67
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
33%
29%
Clean sheet %
50%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.6
Avg corners
4.6
14.4
Avg shots
14.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.3
53.9%
Avg possession
57.2%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Arsenal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 57% | 100% | 93% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 57% | 67% | 64% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 14% | 0% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 43% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool | Home | Away | Arsenal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 71% | 33% | 57% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 29% | 0% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 29% | 67% | 43% | 38% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 21% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool (H)L
Manchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3W
Tottenham3–1
Tottenham3–1D
Fulham0–0
Fulham0–0W
Atletico Madrid2–1
Atletico Madrid2–1D
Nottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2D
Como0–0
Como0–0Arsenal (A)L
Brighton0–3
Brighton0–3W
Ipswich4–2
Ipswich4–2W
Sunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0W
Napoli1–0
Napoli1–0W
Aston Villa1–0
Aston Villa1–0W
Girona4–1
Girona4–1Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
7.3
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Liverpool | Arsenal | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 60% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 30% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 20% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 20% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 10% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 0% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 10% |
Head to Head · 40 matches
15
Liverpool
38%
17
Draws
43%
8
Arsenal
20%
88%
Over 1.5
35/40
60%
Over 2.5
24/40
48%
Over 3.5
19/40
65%
BTTS
26/40
08/01/26Liverpool
Arsenal
0–0Liverpool31/08/25Arsenal
Liverpool
1–0Arsenal11/05/25Arsenal
Liverpool
2–2Arsenal27/10/24Liverpool
Arsenal
2–2Liverpool31/07/24Arsenal
Liverpool
2–1Arsenal04/02/24Liverpool
Arsenal
3–1Liverpool07/01/24Liverpool
Arsenal
0–2Liverpool23/12/23Arsenal
Liverpool
1–1Arsenal09/04/23Arsenal
Liverpool
2–2Arsenal09/10/22Liverpool
Arsenal
3–2Liverpool16/03/22Liverpool
Arsenal
0–2Liverpool20/01/22Liverpool
Arsenal
0–2Liverpool13/01/22Arsenal
Liverpool
0–0Arsenal20/11/21Arsenal
Liverpool
4–0Arsenal03/04/21Liverpool
Arsenal
0–3Liverpool01/10/20Arsenal
Liverpool
0–0Arsenal28/09/20Arsenal
Liverpool
3–1Arsenal29/08/20Liverpool
Arsenal
1–1Liverpool15/07/20Liverpool
Arsenal
2–1Liverpool30/10/19Arsenal
Liverpool
5–5Arsenal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Liverpool- ●Liverpool have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Liverpool's points have been earned away.
Arsenal- ●Arsenal have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●70% of Arsenal's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
LiverpoolLHManchester City0–3
Manchester City0–3WABournemouth1–0
Bournemouth1–0DHFulham0–0
Fulham0–0WAIpswich2–0
Ipswich2–0DHNottingham Forest2–2
Nottingham Forest2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2–ABrentford17/10
Brentford17/10–HBrighton25/10
Brighton25/10–HArsenal01/11
Arsenal01/11ArsenalWHLeeds2–1
Leeds2–1LABrighton0–3
Brighton0–3WASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0WHChelsea2–1
Chelsea2–1WAAston Villa1–0
Aston Villa1–0WHCoventry3–0
Coventry3–0–ANottingham Forest18/10
Nottingham Forest18/10–HEverton24/10
Everton24/10–ALiverpool01/11
Liverpool01/11Top Scorers
LiverpoolAlexander Isak3 ⚽
Alexis Mac Allister2 ⚽
Dominik Szoboszlai2 ⚽
Bradley Barcola2 ⚽
C. Gakpo2 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
ArsenalK. Havertz4 ⚽
M. Odegaard3 ⚽
Bruno Guimarães2 ⚽
C. Tzolis2 ⚽
Bukayo Saka2 ⚽
B. Saka2 ⚽
Cards Given
LiverpoolRonald Araujo2 🟨
Ryan Gravenberch2 🟨
Alexis Mac Allister2 🟨
Milos Kerkez2 🟨
Dominik Szoboszlai1 🟨
Alisson1 🟨
ArsenalKai Havertz2 🟨
Martin Odegaard2 🟨
Gabriel2 🟨
Mikel Merino2 🟨
Christos Tzolis2 🟨
Mikel Arteta1 🟨