Manchester City vs Brighton — Premier League
← Back
vs
–
–
Etihad Stadium·Manchester·England·55,097
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Manchester City and Brighton meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Manchester City have recorded 10 wins from 13 matches this season (77% win rate), averaging 2.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Brighton have won 75% of their 12 matches, with 2.75 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 67%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Manchester City and 1.83 for Brighton. The models give Manchester City a 50% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Brighton win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Manchester City—
Brighton1º
Position
3º
3.00
PPG
2.17
100%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
3.00
0.83
Conceded / game
0.83
54%
BTTS %
33%
38%
Clean sheet %
67%
69%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.9
Avg corners
5.9
15.6
Avg shots
19.1
6.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.2
Avg fouls
13.7
62.1%
Avg possession
62.8%
Home vs Away
Manchester City
Home (3)
—
Brighton
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
3.33
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
71%
BTTS %
40%
29%
Clean sheet %
60%
71%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.9
Avg corners
5.9
15.6
Avg shots
19.1
6.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
62.1%
Avg possession
62.8%
Goals Scored
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 83% | 92% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 71% | 67% | 75% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 46% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester City | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS | 54% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 42% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester City | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 69% | 83% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester City (H)L
Paris Saint Germain2–4
Paris Saint Germain2–4W
Sunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3W
Norwich5–0
Norwich5–0W
Coventry1–0
Coventry1–0W
Bournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1W
Atletico Madrid3–1
Atletico Madrid3–1Brighton (A)WSunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0W
Manchester United3–2
Manchester United3–2WCoventry5–0
Coventry5–0L
Chelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4D
Tromso0–0
Tromso0–0L
Leeds0–1
Leeds0–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
10.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Manchester City | Brighton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 56% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 56% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester City | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 90% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 70% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 56% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
13
Manchester City
68%
3
Draws
16%
3
Brighton
16%
89%
Over 1.5
17/19
68%
Over 2.5
13/19
47%
Over 3.5
9/19
58%
BTTS
11/19
07/01/26Brighton
Manchester City
1–1Brighton31/08/25Manchester City
Brighton
2–1Manchester City15/03/25Brighton
Manchester City
2–2Brighton09/11/24Manchester City
Brighton
2–1Manchester City25/04/24Manchester City
Brighton
0–4Manchester City21/10/23Brighton
Manchester City
2–1Brighton24/05/23Manchester City
Brighton
1–1Manchester City22/10/22Brighton
Manchester City
3–1Brighton20/04/22Brighton
Manchester City
3–0Brighton23/10/21Manchester City
Brighton
1–4Manchester City18/05/21Manchester City
Brighton
3–2Manchester City13/01/21Brighton
Manchester City
1–0Brighton11/07/20Manchester City
Brighton
0–5Manchester City31/08/19Brighton
Manchester City
4–0Brighton12/05/19Manchester City
Brighton
1–4Manchester City06/04/19Brighton
Manchester City
1–0Brighton29/09/18Brighton
Manchester City
2–0Brighton09/05/18Brighton
Manchester City
3–1Brighton12/08/17Manchester City
Brighton
0–2Manchester City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
Brighton- ●Brighton have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Brighton have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brighton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Manchester CityWALiverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0WHSunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3WAManchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0WHCoventry1–0
Coventry1–0WACrystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1WHBournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1–HIpswich17/10
Ipswich17/10–AAston Villa24/10
Aston Villa24/10–HBrighton31/10
Brighton31/10BrightonWASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0WHArsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0WACoventry5–0
Coventry5–0DHLeeds1–1
Leeds1–1LAChelsea3–4
Chelsea3–4WHAston Villa4–0
Aston Villa4–0–HCrystal Palace18/10
Crystal Palace18/10–ALiverpool25/10
Liverpool25/10–AManchester City31/10
Manchester City31/10Top Scorers
Manchester CityErling Haaland8 ⚽
Rayan Cherki3 ⚽
Floyd Samba2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
Antoine Semenyo2 ⚽
BrightonPascal Groß3 ⚽
J. Hinshelwood3 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas3 ⚽
O. Boscagli2 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper2 ⚽
M. De Cuyper2 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester CityP. Foden2 🟨
Josko Gvardiol2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨
Enzo Fernández1 🟨
E. Anderson1 🟨
BrightonMaxim De Cuyper3 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨
Costinha1 🟨
Ferdi Kadıoğlu1 🟨
Jaouen Hadjam1 🟨
F. Kadioglu1 🟨