Manchester United vs Aston Villa — Premier League
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Old Trafford·Manchester·England·76,212
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Manchester United and Aston Villa meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Manchester United have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Aston Villa have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 85%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Manchester United and 1.50 for Aston Villa. The models give Manchester United a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Aston Villa win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Manchester United—
Aston Villa13º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.14
14%
Win %
29%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.43
Conceded / game
1.57
65%
BTTS %
70%
12%
Clean sheet %
20%
47%
Over 2.5 %
85%
5.7
Avg corners
4.6
17.5
Avg shots
14.8
5.3
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.9
9.8
Avg fouls
10.9
51.8%
Avg possession
47.0%
Home vs Away
Manchester United
Home (3)
—
Aston Villa
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
1.75
33%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.50
67%
BTTS %
69%
11%
Clean sheet %
23%
56%
Over 2.5 %
85%
5.7
Avg corners
4.6
17.5
Avg shots
14.8
5.3
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.9
51.8%
Avg possession
47.0%
Goals Scored
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 78% | 75% | 85% | 86% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 56% | 25% | 50% | 57% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 13% | 40% | 29% | 46% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 22% | 25% | 15% | 14% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 89% | 88% | 80% | 86% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 33% | 50% | 55% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 11% | 13% | 20% | 14% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS | 65% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester United (H)D
Tottenham1–1
Tottenham1–1L
Brighton2–3
Brighton2–3L
Manchester City0–1
Manchester City0–1W
Sabah FA4–0
Sabah FA4–0W
Ipswich5–2
Ipswich5–2L
AC Milan2–4
AC Milan2–4Aston Villa (A)W
Newcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0W
Sevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1WTottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2W
Coventry3–1
Coventry3–1W
Club Brugge KV3–2
Club Brugge KV3–2D
Hull City0–0
Hull City0–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.4
71 games
8.7
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Manchester United | Aston Villa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 75% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 45% | 50% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 17% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester United | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 9% | 33% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
20
Manchester United
69%
6
Draws
21%
3
Aston Villa
10%
76%
Over 1.5
22/29
69%
Over 2.5
20/29
48%
Over 3.5
14/29
59%
BTTS
17/29
15/03/26Aston Villa
Manchester United
3–1Aston Villa21/12/25Manchester United
Aston Villa
2–1Manchester United25/05/25Aston Villa
Manchester United
2–0Aston Villa06/10/24Manchester United
Aston Villa
0–0Manchester United11/02/24Manchester United
Aston Villa
1–2Manchester United26/12/23Aston Villa
Manchester United
3–2Aston Villa30/04/23Aston Villa
Manchester United
1–0Aston Villa10/11/22Aston Villa
Manchester United
4–2Aston Villa06/11/22Manchester United
Aston Villa
3–1Manchester United23/07/22Aston Villa
Manchester United
2–2Aston Villa15/01/22Manchester United
Aston Villa
2–2Manchester United10/01/22Aston Villa
Manchester United
1–0Aston Villa25/09/21Aston Villa
Manchester United
0–1Aston Villa09/05/21Manchester United
Aston Villa
1–3Manchester United01/01/21Aston Villa
Manchester United
2–1Aston Villa09/07/20Manchester United
Aston Villa
0–3Manchester United01/12/19Aston Villa
Manchester United
2–2Aston Villa16/04/16Aston Villa
Manchester United
1–0Aston Villa14/08/15Manchester United
Aston Villa
0–1Manchester United04/04/15Aston Villa
Manchester United
3–1Aston Villa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Manchester United- ●Manchester United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Manchester United have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●88% of Aston Villa's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Manchester UnitedDALeeds1–1
Leeds1–1DHTottenham1–1
Tottenham1–1DAFulham1–1
Fulham1–1LHManchester City0–1
Manchester City0–1DAEverton2–2
Everton2–2WHIpswich5–2
Ipswich5–2–HBournemouth25/10
Bournemouth25/10–AChelsea31/10
Chelsea31/10–HAston Villa08/11
Aston Villa08/11Aston VillaWANewcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2WATottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2LHNottingham Forest1–2
Nottingham Forest1–2DAHull City0–0
Hull City0–0LHArsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1–HManchester City24/10
Manchester City24/10–HFulham31/10
Fulham31/10–AManchester United08/11
Manchester United08/11Top Scorers
Manchester UnitedB. Mbeumo4 ⚽
Bryan Mbeumo3 ⚽
B. Fernandes3 ⚽
J. Zirkzee2 ⚽
Benjamin Šeško2 ⚽
Matheus Cunha2 ⚽
Aston VillaNicolas Jackson5 ⚽
B. Madjo4 ⚽
Ross Barkley4 ⚽
Johan Manzambi3 ⚽
Emiliano Buendía3 ⚽
Tammy Abraham3 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester UnitedHarry Maguire2 🟨
A. Heaven2 🟨
Bruno Fernandes2 🟨
Andrey Santos2 🟨
Diogo Dalot2 🟨
Luke Shaw2 🟨
Aston Villa4 🟨
Alysson4 🟨
J. McGinn3 🟨
Joao Gomes3 🟨
Ian Maatsen2 🟨
Emiliano Buendía2 🟨