Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — Premier League
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Nottingham Forest and Manchester City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Nottingham Forest have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Manchester City have won 83% of their 12 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Nottingham Forest and 1.62 for Manchester City. The models give Nottingham Forest a 22% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Manchester City win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Nottingham Forest—
Manchester City15º
Position
1º
0.83
PPG
3.00
17%
Win %
100%
0.83
Goals / game
2.67
1.33
Conceded / game
0.83
44%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
42%
44%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.0
Avg corners
5.3
16.4
Avg shots
14.3
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
14.3
Avg fouls
11.3
49.1%
Avg possession
63.0%
Home vs Away
Nottingham Forest
Home (3)
—
Manchester City
Away (3)
0.33
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.00
Goals / game
2.67
0.67
Conceded / game
0.33
14%
BTTS %
33%
43%
Clean sheet %
50%
29%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.0
Avg corners
5.3
16.4
Avg shots
14.3
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
49.1%
Avg possession
63.0%
Goals Scored
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 43% | 78% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 43% | 44% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 14% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 57% | 22% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 57% | 89% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 14% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 22% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 43% | 11% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 42% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Nottingham Forest (H)L
Coventry0–1
Coventry0–1D
Tottenham0–0
Tottenham0–0L
Leeds0–2
Leeds0–2LLeeds0–1
Leeds0–1W
Stade Brestois 292–0
Stade Brestois 292–0W
Bayer Leverkusen2–1
Bayer Leverkusen2–1Manchester City (A)W
Liverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0W
Manchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0W
FC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0W
Crystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1L
Arsenal0–3
Arsenal0–3W
K-League Stars3–1
K-League Stars3–1Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 78% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 29% | 56% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 44% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 11% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nottingham Forest | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 43% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 43% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 44% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Nottingham Forest
11%
2
Draws
22%
6
Manchester City
67%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
04/03/26Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
2–2Nottingham Forest27/12/25Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
1–2Manchester City27/04/25Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
0–2Manchester City08/03/25Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
1–0Manchester City04/12/24Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
3–0Nottingham Forest28/04/24Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
0–2Manchester City23/09/23Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
2–0Nottingham Forest18/02/23Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
1–1Manchester City31/08/22Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
6–0Nottingham Forest| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nottingham Forest- ●75% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Nottingham ForestLACrystal Palace1–3
Crystal Palace1–3LHCoventry0–1
Coventry0–1WAAston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1DHTottenham0–0
Tottenham0–0DALiverpool2–2
Liverpool2–2LHLeeds0–1
Leeds0–1–HArsenal18/10
Arsenal18/10–AIpswich23/10
Ipswich23/10–ABrentford31/10
Brentford31/10Manchester CityWALiverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0WHSunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3WAManchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0WHCoventry1–0
Coventry1–0WACrystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1WHBournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1–HIpswich17/10
Ipswich17/10–AAston Villa24/10
Aston Villa24/10–HBrighton31/10
Brighton31/10Top Scorers
Nottingham ForestIgor Jesus4 ⚽
A. Kalimuendo3 ⚽
D. Ndoye2 ⚽
Dan Ndoye1 ⚽
C. Wood1 ⚽
L. Netz1 ⚽
Manchester CityErling Haaland7 ⚽
Rayan Cherki3 ⚽
Floyd Samba2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
Antoine Semenyo2 ⚽
Cards Given
Nottingham ForestMurillo Santiago2 🟨
O. Aina2 🟨
Cunha2 🟨
James Mcatee2 🟨
Liam Delap2 🟨
Igor Jesus1 🟨
Manchester CityP. Foden2 🟨
Josko Gvardiol2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨
Enzo Fernández1 🟨
E. Anderson1 🟨