Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest — Premier League
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Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Bournemouth have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 85% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 85%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Nottingham Forest have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Bournemouth and 1.65 for Nottingham Forest. The models give Bournemouth a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nottingham Forest win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Bournemouth—
Nottingham Forest18º
Position
15º
0.50
PPG
0.83
0%
Win %
17%
1.17
Goals / game
0.83
2.17
Conceded / game
1.33
85%
BTTS %
44%
8%
Clean sheet %
25%
85%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.1
Avg corners
4.0
15.5
Avg shots
16.4
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.7
12.4
Avg fouls
14.3
50.4%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Bournemouth
Home (3)
—
Nottingham Forest
Away (3)
0.67
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.1
Avg corners
4.0
15.5
Avg shots
16.4
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.7
50.4%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Bournemouth | Home | Away | Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 63% | 43% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 57% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 38% | 57% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Bournemouth | Home | Away | Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 75% | 57% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 17% | 86% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bournemouth | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 6% |
| BTTS | 85% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 77% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bournemouth | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 83% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 8% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Bournemouth (H)L
Liverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1D
Brentford2–2
Brentford2–2W
Lincoln4–0
Lincoln4–0D
Everton1–1
Everton1–1W
Genoa10–1
Genoa10–1W
FC St. Pauli4–1
FC St. Pauli4–1Nottingham Forest (A)L
Crystal Palace1–3
Crystal Palace1–3W
Aston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1DLiverpool2–2
Liverpool2–2L
Barcelona0–1
Barcelona0–1L
Udinese0–1
Udinese0–1L
Sporting CP1–4
Sporting CP1–4Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Bournemouth | Nottingham Forest | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 71% | 90% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 57% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 29% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 14% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bournemouth | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 43% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Bournemouth
50%
6
Draws
38%
2
Nottingham Forest
13%
88%
Over 1.5
14/16
44%
Over 2.5
7/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
69%
BTTS
11/16
24/05/26Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1–1Bournemouth26/10/25Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
2–0Nottingham Forest25/01/25Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
5–0Nottingham Forest17/08/24Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1–1Bournemouth04/02/24Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1–1Nottingham Forest23/12/23Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2–3Bournemouth21/01/23Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1–1Nottingham Forest03/09/22Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2–3Bournemouth03/05/22Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1–0Nottingham Forest14/08/21Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1–2Bournemouth13/02/21Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
0–0Bournemouth24/11/20Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
2–0Nottingham Forest25/02/15Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2–1Bournemouth19/08/14Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1–2Nottingham Forest26/04/14Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
4–1Nottingham Forest19/10/13Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1–1Bournemouth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Bournemouth- ●Bournemouth have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bournemouth failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bournemouth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Bournemouth's goals conceded were conceded away.
Nottingham Forest- ●75% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
BournemouthLAChelsea1–5
Chelsea1–5LHLiverpool0–1
Liverpool0–1DHBrentford2–2
Brentford2–2DANewcastle2–2
Newcastle2–2DHEverton1–1
Everton1–1LAManchester City1–2
Manchester City1–2–HSunderland18/10
Sunderland18/10–AManchester United25/10
Manchester United25/10–HLeeds31/10
Leeds31/10Nottingham ForestLACrystal Palace1–3
Crystal Palace1–3LHCoventry0–1
Coventry0–1WAAston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1DHTottenham0–0
Tottenham0–0DALiverpool2–2
Liverpool2–2LHLeeds0–1
Leeds0–1–HArsenal18/10
Arsenal18/10–AIpswich23/10
Ipswich23/10–ABrentford31/10
Brentford31/10Top Scorers
BournemouthM. Tavernier3 ⚽
Ryan Christie3 ⚽
Marcus Tavernier2 ⚽
Evanilson2 ⚽
B. Gannon-Doak2 ⚽
Justin Kluivert2 ⚽
Nottingham ForestIgor Jesus4 ⚽
A. Kalimuendo3 ⚽
D. Ndoye2 ⚽
Dan Ndoye1 ⚽
C. Wood1 ⚽
L. Netz1 ⚽
Cards Given
Bournemouth4 🟨
Adrien Truffert3 🟨
Justin Kluivert3 🟨
Antonio Silva2 🟨
Adam Smith2 🟨
A. Scott2 🟨
Nottingham ForestMurillo Santiago2 🟨
O. Aina2 🟨
Cunha2 🟨
James Mcatee2 🟨
Liam Delap2 🟨
Igor Jesus1 🟨