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Chelsea vs Leeds — Premier League

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Chelsea
Chelsea
6º · 1.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
vs
–
–
Leeds
Leeds
7º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 3h
Stamford Bridge·London·England·41,841
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Chelsea and Leeds meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Chelsea have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.79 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Leeds have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 45%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.22 for Chelsea and 1.49 for Leeds. The models give Chelsea a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Leeds win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Chelsea
—
Leeds
6º
Position
7º
1.67
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
33%
2.50
Goals / game
1.33
2.17
Conceded / game
0.83
71%
BTTS %
55%
14%
Clean sheet %
45%
86%
Over 2.5 %
36%
5.9
Avg corners
4.1
15.5
Avg shots
13.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
8.4
Avg fouls
11.8
49.1%
Avg possession
46.1%

Home vs Away

Chelsea
Home (3)
—
Leeds
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
3.67
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
70%
BTTS %
67%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
80%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.9
Avg corners
4.1
15.5
Avg shots
13.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
49.1%
Avg possession
46.1%

Goals Scored

ChelseaHomeAwayLeedsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored86%90%75%91%80%100%
Over 1.5 Scored71%80%50%45%60%33%
Over 2.5 Scored57%60%50%27%40%17%
Failed To Score14%10%25%9%20%0%

Goals Conceded

ChelseaHomeAwayLeedsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded86%80%100%55%40%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded64%50%100%18%0%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded36%30%50%9%0%17%
Clean Sheets14%20%0%45%60%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChelseaLeeds
Over 0.5100%91%
Over 1.593%82%
Over 2.586%36%
Over 3.557%27%
Over 4.543%18%
BTTS71%55%
BTTS & Win43%9%
BTTS & Draw14%27%
BTTS & Over 2.571%27%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChelseaLeeds
Win 1st Half29%45%
Draw 1st Half57%45%
Loss 1st Half14%9%
Scored 1st Half71%55%
Conceded 1st Half64%18%
Win 2nd Half50%45%
Draw 2nd Half14%27%
Loss 2nd Half36%27%
Scored 2nd Half71%73%
Conceded 2nd Half71%36%
Over 0.5 HT79%64%
Over 1.5 HT64%27%

Recent Venue Form

Chelsea (H)
WBournemouth5–1
DHull City2–2
WLeeds6–3
WBrighton4–3
WLuton2–0
WReal Sociedad3–1
Leeds (A)
LArsenal1–2
LChelsea3–6
DBrighton1–1
WNottingham Forest2–0
WNottingham Forest1–0
DManchester United1–1

Number of Corners

11.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
8.3
Corners / Match
8 games
Match CornersChelseaLeedsLeague Avg
Over 6100%75%90%
Over 7100%50%68%
Over 863%38%47%
Over 963%38%43%
Over 1050%25%37%
Over 1138%13%23%
Over 1225%13%17%
Over 1325%0%8%

Team Corners

Team CornersChelseaLeeds
Corners Earned / Match5.94.1
Corners Against / Match5.14.1
Over 2.5 Corners For88%75%
Over 3.5 Corners For63%75%
Over 4.5 Corners For38%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against88%38%
Over 4.5 Corners Against63%38%

Head to Head · 12 matches

8
Chelsea
67%
2
Draws
17%
2
Leeds
17%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
75%
Over 2.5
9/12
58%
Over 3.5
7/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
09/09/26
Chelsea
6–3
Leeds
26/04/26
Chelsea
1–0
Leeds
10/02/26
Chelsea
2–2
Leeds
03/12/25
Leeds
3–1
Chelsea
28/02/24
Chelsea
3–2
Leeds
04/03/23
Chelsea
1–0
Leeds
21/08/22
Leeds
3–0
Chelsea
11/05/22
Leeds
0–3
Chelsea
11/12/21
Chelsea
3–2
Leeds
13/03/21
Leeds
0–0
Chelsea
05/12/20
Chelsea
3–1
Leeds
19/12/12
Leeds
1–5
Chelsea
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City6600+1118
2Arsenal6501+515
3Brighton6411+1313
4Brentford6240+610
5Everton6240+310
6Chelsea6312+210
7Leeds6231+39
8Hull City6231+29
9Liverpool623109
10Ipswich6303-39
11Newcastle6222-38
12Crystal Palace6213-37
13Manchester United613206
14Coventry6204-66
15Nottingham Forest6123-35
16Aston Villa6123-55
17Sunderland6114-64
18Bournemouth6033-63
19Tottenham6033-63
20Fulham6024-42

Team Insights

Chelsea
  • ●Chelsea failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Chelsea have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Chelsea have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Chelsea have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●73% of Chelsea's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Chelsea have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Leeds
  • ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●63% of Leeds's goals have been scored at home.
WHBournemouth18º5–1
LABrentford4º0–3
DHHull City8º2–2
WHLeeds6–3
LAArsenal2º1–2
WHBrighton3º4–3
WHLuton2–0
WAFulham20º3–2
LAArsenal2º1–2
DHCrystal Palace12º0–0
WHNewcastle11º4–1
LAChelsea3–6
DABrighton3º1–1
DHBrentford4º1–1

Season Schedule

Chelsea
WHBournemouth5–1
LABrentford0–3
DHHull City2–2
LAArsenal1–2
WHBrighton4–3
WAFulham3–2
–AEverton17/10
–HTottenham24/10
–HManchester United31/10
Leeds
LAArsenal1–2
DHCrystal Palace0–0
WHNewcastle4–1
DABrighton1–1
DHBrentford1–1
WANottingham Forest1–0
–HManchester United18/10
–ASunderland25/10
–ABournemouth31/10

Top Scorers

Chelsea
Joao Pedro9 ⚽
Morgan Rogers3 ⚽
João Pedro3 ⚽
C. Palmer2 ⚽
Danny Welbeck2 ⚽
Cole Palmer2 ⚽
Leeds
J. Justin2 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
A. Stach2 ⚽
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
Brenden Aaronson1 ⚽

Cards Given

Chelsea
R. Lavia2 🟨
G. Quenda1 🟨
João Pedro1 🟨
L. Colwill1 🟨
L. Delap1 🟨
Estevao1 🟨
Leeds
Jayden Bogle2 🟨
Ao Tanaka2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
Ethan Ampadu1 🟨
Harry Wilson1 🟨