Arsenal vs Manchester City — Premier League
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Emirates Stadium·London·England·60,383
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Arsenal and Manchester City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Arsenal have recorded 13 wins from 19 matches this season (68% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Manchester City have won 67% of their 18 matches, with 2.39 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Arsenal and 1.44 for Manchester City. The models give Arsenal a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Manchester City win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Arsenal—
Manchester City1º
Position
2º
2.67
PPG
2.33
89%
Win %
78%
1.56
Goals / game
2.22
0.56
Conceded / game
1.11
47%
BTTS %
61%
47%
Clean sheet %
28%
58%
Over 2.5 %
72%
5.2
Avg corners
5.8
14.6
Avg shots
16.1
5.1
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.4
10.1
Avg fouls
10.3
57.2%
Avg possession
62.5%
Home vs Away
Arsenal
Home (4)
—
Manchester City
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
2.25
100%
Win %
75%
2.25
Goals / game
2.25
0.50
Conceded / game
0.75
56%
BTTS %
43%
44%
Clean sheet %
43%
78%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.2
Avg corners
5.8
14.6
Avg shots
16.1
5.1
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.4
57.2%
Avg possession
62.5%
Goals Scored
| Arsenal | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 90% | 89% | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 78% | 40% | 67% | 73% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 33% | 20% | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 56% | 50% | 72% | 82% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 22% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 22% | 10% | 17% | 18% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 44% | 50% | 28% | 18% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 33% |
| BTTS | 47% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 68% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Arsenal (H)W
Everton2–0
Everton2–0W
Lille3–0
Lille3–0W
Leeds2–1
Leeds2–1W
Chelsea2–1
Chelsea2–1W
Coventry3–0
Coventry3–0WManchester City3–0
Manchester City3–0Manchester City (A)L
Aston Villa1–2
Aston Villa1–2W
Liverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0W
Manchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0W
FC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0W
Crystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1LArsenal0–3
Arsenal0–3Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
9.4
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Arsenal | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 47% | 73% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 47% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 13% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 13% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 33% |
Head to Head · 42 matches
10
Arsenal
24%
10
Draws
24%
22
Manchester City
52%
79%
Over 1.5
33/42
57%
Over 2.5
24/42
29%
Over 3.5
12/42
48%
BTTS
20/42
16/08/26Manchester City
Arsenal
3–0Manchester City19/04/26Arsenal
Manchester City
2–1Arsenal22/03/26Manchester City
Arsenal
0–2Manchester City21/09/25Manchester City
Arsenal
1–1Manchester City02/02/25Manchester City
Arsenal
5–1Manchester City22/09/24Arsenal
Manchester City
2–2Arsenal31/03/24Arsenal
Manchester City
0–0Arsenal08/10/23Manchester City
Arsenal
1–0Manchester City06/08/23Manchester City
Arsenal
1–1Manchester City26/04/23Arsenal
Manchester City
4–1Arsenal15/02/23Manchester City
Arsenal
1–3Manchester City27/01/23Arsenal
Manchester City
1–0Arsenal01/01/22Manchester City
Arsenal
1–2Manchester City28/08/21Arsenal
Manchester City
5–0Arsenal21/02/21Manchester City
Arsenal
0–1Manchester City22/12/20Manchester City
Arsenal
1–4Manchester City17/10/20Arsenal
Manchester City
1–0Arsenal18/07/20Manchester City
Arsenal
2–0Manchester City17/06/20Arsenal
Manchester City
3–0Arsenal15/12/19Manchester City
Arsenal
0–3Manchester City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Arsenal- ●Arsenal have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arsenal have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arsenal have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arsenal have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arsenal have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Arsenal's goals have been scored at home.
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Manchester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Manchester City's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Manchester City have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ArsenalWALiverpool1–0
Liverpool1–0WHEverton2–0
Everton2–0WANottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0WHLeeds2–1
Leeds2–1LABrighton0–3
Brighton0–3WASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0–HHull City07/11
Hull City07/11–ANewcastle21/11
Newcastle21/11–HManchester City29/11
Manchester City29/11Manchester CityLHBrighton0–1
Brighton0–1LAAston Villa1–2
Aston Villa1–2WHIpswich3–2
Ipswich3–2WALiverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0WHSunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3WAManchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0–ANottingham Forest07/11
Nottingham Forest07/11–HFulham21/11
Fulham21/11–AArsenal29/11
Arsenal29/11Top Scorers
ArsenalK. Havertz4 ⚽
Martin Odegaard3 ⚽
M. Odegaard3 ⚽
Kai Havertz3 ⚽
Bruno Guimarães2 ⚽
Eberechi Eze2 ⚽
Manchester CityErling Haaland11 ⚽
Rayan Cherki5 ⚽
Phil Foden5 ⚽
Enzo Fernández2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
Cards Given
ArsenalKai Havertz3 🟨
Mikel Arteta2 🟨
Christos Tzolis2 🟨
Gabriel2 🟨
Martin Odegaard2 🟨
Mikel Merino2 🟨
Manchester CityJosko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
Ayyoub Bouaddi2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨