Manchester United vs Brentford — Premier League
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Manchester United and Brentford meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Manchester United have recorded 4 wins from 19 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Brentford have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 2.64 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Manchester United and 1.71 for Brentford. The models give Manchester United a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Brentford win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Brentford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 73% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 55% | 22% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 27% | 11% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Brentford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 91% | 89% | 71% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 45% | 56% | 36% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 27% | 11% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 9% | 11% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 29% |
| BTTS | 60% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 79% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Manchester United | Brentford | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 75% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 54% | 58% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 58% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 58% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 42% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 25% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 8% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 8% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester United | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 85% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 62% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 46% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 15% | 42% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Manchester United have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Brentford have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Brentford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●63% of Brentford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Brentford's goals conceded were conceded away.