Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea — Premier League
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Nottingham Forest and Chelsea meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Nottingham Forest have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Chelsea have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 2.73 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Nottingham Forest and 1.39 for Chelsea. The models give Nottingham Forest a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Chelsea win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Nottingham Forest—
Chelsea18º
Position
4º
0.71
PPG
1.86
14%
Win %
57%
0.71
Goals / game
2.43
1.29
Conceded / game
1.86
41%
BTTS %
67%
24%
Clean sheet %
20%
41%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.5
Avg corners
6.0
16.1
Avg shots
15.8
3.5
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
14.3
Avg fouls
9.1
46.3%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Nottingham Forest
Home (4)
—
Chelsea
Away (4)
0.25
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
0.00
Goals / game
1.50
0.75
Conceded / game
1.75
13%
BTTS %
60%
38%
Clean sheet %
20%
25%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.5
Avg corners
6.0
16.1
Avg shots
15.8
3.5
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.3%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Chelsea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 38% | 78% | 87% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 38% | 44% | 73% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 53% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 63% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Chelsea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 63% | 89% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 13% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 30% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 38% | 11% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nottingham Forest | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 40% |
| BTTS | 41% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nottingham Forest | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Nottingham Forest (H)L
Arsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1L
Coventry0–1
Coventry0–1D
Tottenham0–0
Tottenham0–0L
Leeds0–2
Leeds0–2LLeeds0–1
Leeds0–1W
Stade Brestois 292–0
Stade Brestois 292–0Chelsea (A)W
Everton2–0
Everton2–0L
Brentford0–3
Brentford0–3LArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2W
Fulham3–2
Fulham3–2D
Johor Darul Takzim FC3–3
Johor Darul Takzim FC3–3L
Sunderland1–2
Sunderland1–2Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
69 games
11.1
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Nottingham Forest | Chelsea | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 67% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 56% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 44% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 22% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nottingham Forest | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Nottingham Forest
18%
3
Draws
27%
6
Chelsea
55%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
36%
Over 3.5
4/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
04/05/26Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
1–3Nottingham Forest18/10/25Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
0–3Chelsea25/05/25Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
0–1Chelsea06/10/24Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
1–1Nottingham Forest11/05/24Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
2–3Chelsea02/09/23Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
0–1Nottingham Forest13/05/23Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
2–2Nottingham Forest01/01/23Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1–1Chelsea05/01/20Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
2–0Nottingham Forest05/01/19Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
2–0Nottingham Forest20/09/17Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
5–1Nottingham Forest| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Team Insights
Nottingham Forest- ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
Chelsea- ●Chelsea have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chelsea have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●65% of Chelsea's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Nottingham ForestLHArsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1LACrystal Palace1–3
Crystal Palace1–3LHCoventry0–1
Coventry0–1WAAston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1DHTottenham0–0
Tottenham0–0DALiverpool2–2
Liverpool2–2–AIpswich23/10
Ipswich23/10–ABrentford31/10
Brentford31/10–HManchester City07/11
Manchester City07/11ChelseaWAEverton2–0
Everton2–0WHBournemouth5–1
Bournemouth5–1LABrentford0–3
Brentford0–3DHHull City2–2
Hull City2–2LAArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2WHBrighton4–3
Brighton4–3–HTottenham24/10
Tottenham24/10–HManchester United31/10
Manchester United31/10–ASunderland08/11
Sunderland08/11Top Scorers
Nottingham ForestIgor Jesus4 ⚽
A. Kalimuendo3 ⚽
D. Ndoye2 ⚽
Dan Ndoye1 ⚽
C. Wood1 ⚽
L. Netz1 ⚽
ChelseaJoao Pedro9 ⚽
Pedro Neto3 ⚽
João Pedro3 ⚽
Morgan Rogers3 ⚽
Danny Welbeck2 ⚽
C. Palmer2 ⚽
Cards Given
Nottingham ForestMurillo Santiago2 🟨
O. Aina2 🟨
Cunha2 🟨
James Mcatee2 🟨
Liam Delap2 🟨
Igor Jesus1 🟨
ChelseaR. Lavia2 🟨
Morgan Rogers2 🟨
Cole Palmer2 🟨
G. Quenda1 🟨
L. Colwill1 🟨
João Pedro1 🟨