Brentford vs Manchester City — Premier League
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Brentford and Manchester City meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Brentford have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.64 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Manchester City have won 65% of their 20 matches, with 2.35 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Brentford and 1.41 for Manchester City. The models give Brentford a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Manchester City win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Brentford—
Manchester City7º
Position
2º
1.56
PPG
2.10
33%
Win %
70%
1.78
Goals / game
2.10
1.00
Conceded / game
1.30
71%
BTTS %
65%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
71%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.5
Avg corners
5.7
15.3
Avg shots
15.6
4.9
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.4
13.3
Avg fouls
9.9
50.4%
Avg possession
63.5%
Home vs Away
Brentford
Home (5)
—
Manchester City
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.80
60%
Win %
60%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.60
Conceded / game
1.20
33%
BTTS %
56%
67%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.5
Avg corners
5.7
15.3
Avg shots
15.6
4.9
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.4
50.4%
Avg possession
63.5%
Goals Scored
| Brentford | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 89% | 90% | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 65% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 22% | 45% | 45% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Brentford | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 33% | 100% | 75% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 17% | 56% | 40% | 36% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 67% | 0% | 25% | 18% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brentford | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 35% |
| BTTS | 67% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brentford | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 5% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Brentford (H)W
Nottingham Forest2–0
Nottingham Forest2–0L
Liverpool1–2
Liverpool1–2W
Chelsea3–0
Chelsea3–0D
Sunderland1–1
Sunderland1–1W
Tottenham3–0
Tottenham3–0W
Eintracht Frankfurt7–0
Eintracht Frankfurt7–0Manchester City (A)LNottingham Forest1–3
Nottingham Forest1–3W
RB Leipzig3–2
RB Leipzig3–2L
Aston Villa1–2
Aston Villa1–2WLiverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0W
Manchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0W
FC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.6
95 games
9.3
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | Brentford | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 65% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 59% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 41% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 12% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 12% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brentford | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 35% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Brentford
18%
1
Draws
9%
8
Manchester City
73%
64%
Over 1.5
7/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
36%
BTTS
4/11
09/05/26Brentford
Manchester City
3–0Brentford17/12/25Brentford
Manchester City
2–0Brentford05/10/25Manchester City
Brentford
0–1Manchester City14/01/25Manchester City
Brentford
2–2Manchester City14/09/24Brentford
Manchester City
2–1Brentford20/02/24Brentford
Manchester City
1–0Brentford05/02/24Manchester City
Brentford
1–3Manchester City28/05/23Manchester City
Brentford
1–0Manchester City12/11/22Brentford
Manchester City
1–2Brentford09/02/22Brentford
Manchester City
2–0Brentford29/12/21Manchester City
Brentford
0–1Manchester City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Brentford- ●Brentford have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Brentford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Brentford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Brentford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Brentford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Brentford's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Brentford have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Manchester City have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Manchester City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Manchester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Manchester City have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Manchester City have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Manchester City have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BrentfordLABrighton0–2
Brighton0–2WHNottingham Forest2–0
Nottingham Forest2–0DAHull City1–1
Hull City1–1LHLiverpool1–2
Liverpool1–2DAAston Villa2–2
Aston Villa2–2WHChelsea3–0
Chelsea3–0–HEverton23/11
Everton23/11–AManchester United28/11
Manchester United28/11–HArsenal02/12
Arsenal02/12Manchester CityLANottingham Forest1–3
Nottingham Forest1–3LHBrighton0–1
Brighton0–1LAAston Villa1–2
Aston Villa1–2WHIpswich3–2
Ipswich3–2WALiverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0WHSunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3–HFulham21/11
Fulham21/11–AArsenal29/11
Arsenal29/11–HLeeds02/12
Leeds02/12Top Scorers
BrentfordI. Thiago4 ⚽
K. Schade3 ⚽
Igor Thiago3 ⚽
Callum Wilson2 ⚽
C. Wilson2 ⚽
D. Ouattara2 ⚽
Manchester CityErling Haaland12 ⚽
Rayan Cherki6 ⚽
Phil Foden5 ⚽
Enzo Fernández3 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
Cards Given
BrentfordIgor Thiago5 🟨
Vitaly Janelt5 🟨
Kevin Schade3 🟨
Michael Kayode2 🟨
Kristoffer Ajer2 🟨
Mamadou Sangare2 🟨
Manchester CityJosko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
Ayyoub Bouaddi2 🟨
Abdukodir Khusanov2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨