Leeds vs Ipswich — Premier League
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Leeds and Ipswich meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Leeds have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Ipswich have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Leeds and 1.42 for Ipswich. The models give Leeds a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ipswich win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Leeds—
Ipswich12º
Position
14º
1.22
PPG
1.22
22%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.56
0.89
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
71%
43%
Clean sheet %
12%
29%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.0
Avg corners
3.1
12.5
Avg shots
11.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.6
Avg fouls
11.4
49.2%
Avg possession
45.4%
Home vs Away
Leeds
Home (4)
—
Ipswich
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
1.50
Goals / game
1.80
0.75
Conceded / game
2.60
50%
BTTS %
75%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.0
Avg corners
3.1
12.5
Avg shots
11.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.2%
Avg possession
45.4%
Goals Scored
| Leeds | Home | Away | Ipswich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 83% | 75% | 82% | 89% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 25% | 65% | 56% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 13% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Leeds | Home | Away | Ipswich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 63% | 88% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 38% | 53% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 38% | 12% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leeds | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS | 50% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leeds | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Leeds (H)D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1D
Crystal Palace0–0
Crystal Palace0–0W
Newcastle4–1
Newcastle4–1D
Brentford1–1
Brentford1–1W
FC Augsburg4–0
FC Augsburg4–0W
RB Leipzig2–0
RB Leipzig2–0Ipswich (A)D
Hull City2–2
Hull City2–2L
Manchester City2–3
Manchester City2–3L
Everton0–1
Everton0–1WCrystal Palace3–2
Crystal Palace3–2LManchester United2–5
Manchester United2–5W
Union Berlin4–2
Union Berlin4–2Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
7.5
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Leeds | Ipswich | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 73% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 55% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 27% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 9% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 9% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 9% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leeds | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 55% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
9
Leeds
50%
2
Draws
11%
7
Ipswich
39%
83%
Over 1.5
15/18
61%
Over 2.5
11/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
61%
BTTS
11/18
23/12/23Ipswich
Leeds
4–0Ipswich26/08/23Leeds
Ipswich
3–4Leeds05/05/19Leeds
Ipswich
3–2Leeds24/10/18Ipswich
Leeds
2–0Ipswich13/01/18Leeds
Ipswich
1–0Leeds23/09/17Ipswich
Leeds
3–2Ipswich18/02/17Leeds
Ipswich
1–1Leeds24/09/16Ipswich
Leeds
1–0Ipswich12/01/16Leeds
Ipswich
2–1Leeds15/09/15Ipswich
Leeds
0–1Ipswich04/03/15Ipswich
Leeds
2–1Ipswich06/12/14Leeds
Ipswich
4–1Leeds28/01/14Ipswich
Leeds
1–1Ipswich24/08/13Leeds
Ipswich
1–2Leeds30/03/13Leeds
Ipswich
3–0Leeds15/12/12Ipswich
Leeds
2–0Ipswich21/01/12Ipswich
Leeds
3–1Ipswich27/08/11Leeds
Ipswich
2–1Leeds| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Leeds- ●Leeds have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Leeds have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Leeds's goals have been scored at home.
Ipswich- ●Ipswich have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ipswich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ipswich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ipswich failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Ipswich's goals have been scored away.
- ●72% of Ipswich's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LeedsLABournemouth0–2
Bournemouth0–2DASunderland0–0
Sunderland0–0DHManchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1LAArsenal1–2
Arsenal1–2DHCrystal Palace0–0
Crystal Palace0–0WHNewcastle4–1
Newcastle4–1–HTottenham07/11
Tottenham07/11–AChelsea21/11
Chelsea21/11–HCoventry28/11
Coventry28/11IpswichDAHull City2–2
Hull City2–2DHNottingham Forest1–1
Nottingham Forest1–1LAManchester City2–3
Manchester City2–3WHFulham2–1
Fulham2–1LAEverton0–1
Everton0–1WACrystal Palace3–2
Crystal Palace3–2–HBournemouth08/11
Bournemouth08/11–ATottenham21/11
Tottenham21/11–HAston Villa28/11
Aston Villa28/11Top Scorers
LeedsDominic Calvert-Lewin3 ⚽
Jayden Bogle2 ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin2 ⚽
A. Stach2 ⚽
J. Justin2 ⚽
Brenden Aaronson1 ⚽
IpswichEmersonn4 ⚽
L. Davis3 ⚽
C. Akpom3 ⚽
J. Clarke2 ⚽
Julio Enciso2 ⚽
M. Nunez2 ⚽
Cards Given
LeedsEthan Ampadu4 🟨
Jayden Bogle3 🟨
Daniel Farke2 🟨
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 🟨
Ao Tanaka2 🟨
E. Ampadu1 🟨
IpswichAbdul Fatawu Issahaku3 🟨
Leif Davis2 🟨
J. Greaves2 🟨
Issa Diop2 🟨
Julio Enciso2 🟨
Exequiel Palacios1 🟨