Nottingham Forest vs Brighton — Premier League
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Nottingham Forest and Brighton meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Nottingham Forest have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Brighton have won 67% of their 18 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 28%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 67%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Nottingham Forest and 1.39 for Brighton. The models give Nottingham Forest a 28% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Brighton win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 38% | 73% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 38% | 36% | 67% | 78% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 13% | 0% | 56% | 78% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 63% | 27% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Brighton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 63% | 91% | 33% | 22% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 13% | 36% | 28% | 11% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 18% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 38% | 9% | 67% | 78% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nottingham Forest | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 28% |
| BTTS | 42% | 28% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 39% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nottingham Forest | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Nottingham Forest | Brighton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 93% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 73% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 30% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 47% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 33% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 27% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 7% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nottingham Forest | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 47% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Nottingham Forest's points have been earned away.
- ●Brighton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brighton have won 3 of their 5 away matches.