MatchPulse

Nottingham Forest vs Brighton — Premier League

← Back
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
19º · 0.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Brighton
Brighton
3º · 2.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Nottingham Forest and Brighton meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Nottingham Forest have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Brighton have won 67% of their 18 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 28%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 67%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Nottingham Forest and 1.39 for Brighton. The models give Nottingham Forest a 28% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Brighton win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Nottingham Forest
—
Brighton
19º
Position
3º
0.67
PPG
2.11
11%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
2.67
1.33
Conceded / game
0.78
42%
BTTS %
28%
21%
Clean sheet %
67%
37%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.5
Avg corners
6.1
16.1
Avg shots
19.4
3.4
Avg shots on target
5.6
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
14.2
Avg fouls
13.5
47.9%
Avg possession
61.1%

Home vs Away

Nottingham Forest
Home (4)
—
Brighton
Away (5)
0.25
PPG
1.80
0%
Win %
60%
0.00
Goals / game
2.20
0.75
Conceded / game
1.20
13%
BTTS %
33%
38%
Clean sheet %
56%
25%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.5
Avg corners
6.1
16.1
Avg shots
19.4
3.4
Avg shots on target
5.6
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
47.9%
Avg possession
61.1%

Goals Scored

Nottingham ForestHomeAwayBrightonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored58%38%73%83%100%67%
Over 1.5 Scored37%38%36%67%78%56%
Over 2.5 Scored5%13%0%56%78%33%
Failed To Score42%63%27%17%0%33%

Goals Conceded

Nottingham ForestHomeAwayBrightonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%63%91%33%22%44%
Over 1.5 Conceded26%13%36%28%11%44%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%18%11%11%11%
Clean Sheets21%38%9%67%78%56%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Nottingham ForestBrighton
Over 0.595%89%
Over 1.568%78%
Over 2.537%61%
Over 3.516%50%
Over 4.55%28%
BTTS42%28%
BTTS & Win16%11%
BTTS & Draw16%11%
BTTS & Over 2.532%22%
BTTS No & Over 2.55%39%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Nottingham ForestBrighton
Win 1st Half32%44%
Draw 1st Half47%33%
Loss 1st Half21%22%
Scored 1st Half53%67%
Conceded 1st Half37%33%
Win 2nd Half21%67%
Draw 2nd Half32%33%
Loss 2nd Half47%0%
Scored 2nd Half32%72%
Conceded 2nd Half58%17%
Over 0.5 HT68%78%
Over 1.5 HT26%61%

Recent Venue Form

Nottingham Forest (H)
LArsenal0–1
LCoventry0–1
DTottenham0–0
LLeeds0–2
LLeeds0–1
WStade Brestois 292–0
Brighton (A)
WManchester City1–0
DManchester City2–2
LLiverpool0–2
DFK Jablonec0–0
WSunderland2–0
WManchester United3–2

Number of Corners

8.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
10.2
Corners / Match
15 games
Match CornersNottingham ForestBrightonLeague Avg
Over 670%93%89%
Over 750%73%73%
Over 830%67%54%
Over 930%60%47%
Over 1030%47%39%
Over 1130%33%26%
Over 1220%27%18%
Over 1310%7%11%

Team Corners

Team CornersNottingham ForestBrighton
Corners Earned / Match4.56.1
Corners Against / Match3.94.1
Over 2.5 Corners For80%87%
Over 3.5 Corners For60%73%
Over 4.5 Corners For50%73%
Over 2.5 Corners Against60%73%
Over 3.5 Corners Against40%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against40%47%

Head to Head · 21 matches

5
Nottingham Forest
24%
7
Draws
33%
9
Brighton
43%
67%
Over 1.5
14/21
57%
Over 2.5
12/21
33%
Over 3.5
7/21
48%
BTTS
10/21
01/03/26
Brighton
2–1
Nottingham Forest
30/11/25
Nottingham Forest
0–2
Brighton
29/03/25
Brighton
0–0
Nottingham Forest
01/02/25
Nottingham Forest
7–0
Brighton
22/09/24
Brighton
2–2
Nottingham Forest
10/03/24
Brighton
1–0
Nottingham Forest
25/11/23
Nottingham Forest
2–3
Brighton
26/04/23
Nottingham Forest
3–1
Brighton
18/10/22
Brighton
0–0
Nottingham Forest
04/03/17
Nottingham Forest
3–0
Brighton
12/08/16
Brighton
3–0
Nottingham Forest
11/04/16
Nottingham Forest
1–2
Brighton
07/08/15
Brighton
1–0
Nottingham Forest
07/02/15
Brighton
2–3
Nottingham Forest
27/09/14
Nottingham Forest
0–0
Brighton
03/05/14
Nottingham Forest
1–2
Brighton
05/10/13
Brighton
1–3
Nottingham Forest
30/03/13
Nottingham Forest
2–2
Brighton
15/12/12
Brighton
0–0
Nottingham Forest
24/03/12
Nottingham Forest
1–1
Brighton
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal9801+924
2Manchester City9702+1021
3Brighton9612+1719
4Chelsea9513+416
5Liverpool9432+215
6Brentford9351+714
7Everton9342013
8Bournemouth9333+112
9Tottenham9333012
10Aston Villa9333-312
11Hull City9252+111
12Leeds9252+111
13Newcastle9324-311
14Ipswich9324-411
15Fulham9234-29
16Coventry9306-79
17Manchester United9144-57
18Crystal Palace9216-127
19Nottingham Forest9135-66
20Sunderland9126-105

Team Insights

Nottingham Forest
  • ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Nottingham Forest failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Nottingham Forest's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●83% of Nottingham Forest's points have been earned away.
Brighton
  • ●Brighton have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Brighton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Brighton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Brighton have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
LABrentford6º0–2
DAIpswich14º1–1
LHArsenal1º0–1
LACrystal Palace18º1–3
LHCoventry16º0–1
WAAston Villa10º2–1
DHTottenham9º0–0
DALiverpool5º2–2
LHLeeds0–2
LHLeeds12º0–1
WAManchester City2º1–0
LALiverpool5º0–2
DAFK Jablonec19º0–0
DAFK Jablonec24º0–0
WHCrystal Palace18º5–0
WHKauno Žalgiris21º4–0
WHKauno Žalgiris36º4–0
WASunderland20º2–0
WHArsenal1º3–0

Season Schedule

Nottingham Forest
LABrentford0–2
DAIpswich1–1
LHArsenal0–1
LACrystal Palace1–3
LHCoventry0–1
WAAston Villa2–1
–HManchester City07/11
–ABournemouth21/11
–HChelsea27/11
Brighton
WAManchester City1–0
LALiverpool0–2
WHCrystal Palace5–0
WASunderland2–0
WHArsenal3–0
WACoventry5–0
–HBrentford08/11
–AHull City22/11
–HNewcastle29/11

Top Scorers

Nottingham Forest
Igor Jesus4 ⚽
A. Kalimuendo3 ⚽
D. Ndoye2 ⚽
L. Netz1 ⚽
Liam Delap1 ⚽
M. Gibbs-White1 ⚽
Brighton
Pascal Groß4 ⚽
J. Hinshelwood4 ⚽
Charalampos Kostoulas4 ⚽
G. Rutter3 ⚽
Maxim De Cuyper3 ⚽
Yasin Ayari3 ⚽

Cards Given

Nottingham Forest
James Mcatee3 🟨
Murillo Santiago3 🟨
Nikola Milenković2 🟨
Liam Delap2 🟨
Cunha2 🟨
O. Aina2 🟨
Brighton
Maxim De Cuyper4 🟨
Pascal Groß3 🟨
Chema Andrés3 🟨
Costinha3 🟨
Olivier Boscagli2 🟨
Pascal Struijk2 🟨