Tottenham vs Arsenal — Premier League
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Tottenham Hotspur Stadium·London·England·62,850
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Tottenham and Arsenal meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Tottenham have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Arsenal have won 70% of their 20 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Tottenham and 1.32 for Arsenal. The models give Tottenham a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Arsenal win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Tottenham—
Arsenal9º
Position
1º
1.33
PPG
2.67
33%
Win %
89%
1.11
Goals / game
1.56
1.11
Conceded / game
0.56
50%
BTTS %
50%
39%
Clean sheet %
45%
44%
Over 2.5 %
60%
8.3
Avg corners
5.0
16.8
Avg shots
14.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.3
Avg fouls
10.1
62.5%
Avg possession
57.1%
Home vs Away
Tottenham
Home (5)
—
Arsenal
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
2.40
40%
Win %
80%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
0.60
55%
BTTS %
45%
36%
Clean sheet %
45%
45%
Over 2.5 %
45%
8.3
Avg corners
5.0
16.8
Avg shots
14.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.4
62.5%
Avg possession
57.1%
Goals Scored
| Tottenham | Home | Away | Arsenal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 82% | 71% | 95% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 55% | 43% | 60% | 78% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 27% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 18% | 29% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Tottenham | Home | Away | Arsenal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 64% | 57% | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 9% | 29% | 15% | 22% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 36% | 43% | 45% | 44% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tottenham | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 15% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tottenham | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 65% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Tottenham (H)W
Crystal Palace2–0
Crystal Palace2–0W
Coventry3–1
Coventry3–1L
Aston Villa2–3
Aston Villa2–3D
Everton0–0
Everton0–0L
Newcastle0–2
Newcastle0–2W
Charlton5–1
Charlton5–1Arsenal (A)W
Slavia Praha2–1
Slavia Praha2–1W
Liverpool1–0
Liverpool1–0D
Fleetwood Town1–1
Fleetwood Town1–1D
Bayern München2–2
Bayern München2–2W
Nottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0L
Brighton0–3
Brighton0–3Number of Corners
12.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.6
90 games
8.4
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Tottenham | Arsenal | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 69% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 44% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 82% | 31% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 82% | 31% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 64% | 25% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 55% | 13% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 13% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 36% | 13% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Tottenham | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 91% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 19% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
12
Tottenham
32%
8
Draws
22%
17
Arsenal
46%
84%
Over 1.5
31/37
57%
Over 2.5
21/37
35%
Over 3.5
13/37
65%
BTTS
24/37
22/02/26Arsenal
Tottenham
1–4Arsenal23/11/25Tottenham
Arsenal
4–1Tottenham31/07/25Tottenham
Arsenal
0–1Tottenham15/01/25Tottenham
Arsenal
2–1Tottenham15/09/24Arsenal
Tottenham
0–1Arsenal28/04/24Arsenal
Tottenham
2–3Arsenal24/09/23Tottenham
Arsenal
2–2Tottenham15/01/23Arsenal
Tottenham
0–2Arsenal01/10/22Tottenham
Arsenal
3–1Tottenham12/05/22Arsenal
Tottenham
3–0Arsenal26/09/21Tottenham
Arsenal
3–1Tottenham08/08/21Arsenal
Tottenham
1–0Arsenal14/03/21Tottenham
Arsenal
2–1Tottenham06/12/20Arsenal
Tottenham
2–0Arsenal12/07/20Arsenal
Tottenham
2–1Arsenal01/09/19Tottenham
Arsenal
2–2Tottenham02/03/19Arsenal
Tottenham
1–1Arsenal19/12/18Tottenham
Arsenal
0–2Tottenham02/12/18Tottenham
Arsenal
4–2Tottenham10/02/18Arsenal
Tottenham
1–0Arsenal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Tottenham- ●Tottenham have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Tottenham have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Tottenham have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tottenham have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tottenham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tottenham have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Tottenham's goals have been scored at home.
Arsenal- ●Arsenal have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arsenal have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arsenal have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arsenal have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arsenal have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Arsenal's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
TottenhamWHCrystal Palace2–0
Crystal Palace2–0WAChelsea2–0
Chelsea2–0WHCoventry3–1
Coventry3–1DAManchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1LHAston Villa2–3
Aston Villa2–3DHEverton0–0
Everton0–0–ALeeds07/11
Leeds07/11–HIpswich21/11
Ipswich21/11–ASunderland29/11
Sunderland29/11ArsenalWALiverpool1–0
Liverpool1–0WHEverton2–0
Everton2–0WANottingham Forest1–0
Nottingham Forest1–0WHLeeds2–1
Leeds2–1LABrighton0–3
Brighton0–3WASunderland2–0
Sunderland2–0–HHull City07/11
Hull City07/11–ANewcastle21/11
Newcastle21/11–HManchester City29/11
Manchester City29/11Top Scorers
TottenhamB. Davies3 ⚽
L. Williams-Barnett3 ⚽
Conor Gallagher2 ⚽
Jan Paul van Hecke2 ⚽
D. Scarlett2 ⚽
Richarlison2 ⚽
ArsenalK. Havertz4 ⚽
Noni Madueke3 ⚽
M. Odegaard3 ⚽
Kai Havertz3 ⚽
Martin Odegaard3 ⚽
Viktor Gyökeres3 ⚽
Cards Given
TottenhamMateus Fernandes2 🟨
Conor Gallagher2 🟨
C. Gallagher2 🟨
Archie Gray2 🟨
Jan Paul van Hecke2 🟨
Roberto De Zerbi2 🟨
ArsenalKai Havertz3 🟨
Declan Rice2 🟨
Ezri Konsa 2 🟨
Gabriel2 🟨
Christos Tzolis2 🟨
Martin Odegaard2 🟨