Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion — League Two
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Dumbarton and Stirling Albion meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Dumbarton have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 2.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Stirling Albion have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.51 for Dumbarton and 1.29 for Stirling Albion. The models give Dumbarton a 59% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Stirling Albion win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Dumbarton—
Stirling Albion8º
Position
10º
1.13
PPG
0.63
38%
Win %
13%
1.00
Goals / game
1.25
1.75
Conceded / game
2.75
56%
BTTS %
53%
17%
Clean sheet %
6%
78%
Over 2.5 %
53%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
10.0
Avg shots
5.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
6.0
Avg fouls
12.0
47.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Home vs Away
Dumbarton
Home (4)
—
Stirling Albion
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
0.00
75%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
1.25
1.00
Conceded / game
4.25
44%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
78%
Over 2.5 %
75%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
10.0
Avg shots
5.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
47.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Goals Scored
| Dumbarton | Home | Away | Stirling Albion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 78% | 67% | 59% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 56% | 22% | 47% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 22% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 22% | 33% | 41% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Dumbarton | Home | Away | Stirling Albion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 94% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 56% | 100% | 59% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 56% | 33% | 78% | 24% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dumbarton | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 24% |
| BTTS | 56% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dumbarton | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 67% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Dumbarton (H)W
Kilmarnock II3–2
Kilmarnock II3–2W
Spartans3–0
Spartans3–0W
Elgin City2–1
Elgin City2–1D
Celtic II2–2
Celtic II2–2L
Edinburgh City0–3
Edinburgh City0–3L
Airdrie United1–3
Airdrie United1–3Stirling Albion (A)LEdinburgh City3–7
Edinburgh City3–7LElgin City0–4
Elgin City0–4WAirdrie United3–1
Airdrie United3–1L
Forfar Athletic0–3
Forfar Athletic0–3L
Kelty Hearts2–3
Kelty Hearts2–3L
Arbroath0–1
Arbroath0–1Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
5.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Dumbarton | Stirling Albion | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dumbarton | Stirling Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
4
Dumbarton
31%
5
Draws
38%
4
Stirling Albion
31%
77%
Over 1.5
10/13
54%
Over 2.5
7/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
01/08/26Dumbarton
Stirling Albion
2–0Dumbarton11/04/26Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
2–1Stirling Albion28/02/26Dumbarton
Stirling Albion
1–1Dumbarton27/12/25Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
1–2Stirling Albion04/10/25Dumbarton
Stirling Albion
2–2Dumbarton15/07/25Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
1–0Stirling Albion11/05/24Dumbarton
Stirling Albion
0–0Dumbarton07/05/24Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
2–1Stirling Albion18/04/23Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
0–0Stirling Albion25/03/23Dumbarton
Stirling Albion
2–2Dumbarton08/10/22Dumbarton
Stirling Albion
6–0Dumbarton30/07/22Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
2–0Stirling Albion09/07/22Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
1–2Stirling Albion| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Clyde | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 2 |  Stranraer | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Spartans | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 5 | Forfar Athletic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 6 | Edinburgh City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Annan Athletic | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Stirling Albion | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Dumbarton- ●Dumbarton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dumbarton have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dumbarton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Dumbarton's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Dumbarton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Dumbarton's points have been earned at home.
Stirling Albion- ●Stirling Albion have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Stirling Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Stirling Albion have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stirling Albion have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●77% of Stirling Albion's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Stirling Albion have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DumbartonWHSpartans3–0
Spartans3–0LAStranraer1–3
Stranraer1–3WHElgin City2–1
Elgin City2–1LAAnnan Athletic0–2
Annan Athletic0–2LAKelty Hearts1–3
Kelty Hearts1–3LHEdinburgh City0–3
Edinburgh City0–3–HForfar Athletic03/10
Forfar Athletic03/10–AClyde10/10
Clyde10/10–HStirling Albion17/10
Stirling Albion17/10Stirling AlbionDHClyde1–1
Clyde1–1LAEdinburgh City3–7
Edinburgh City3–7LHSpartans0–2
Spartans0–2LAElgin City0–4
Elgin City0–4DHStranraer2–2
Stranraer2–2LAForfar Athletic0–3
Forfar Athletic0–3–AAnnan Athletic03/10
Annan Athletic03/10–HKelty Hearts10/10
Kelty Hearts10/10–ADumbarton17/10
Dumbarton17/10Top Scorers
DumbartonL. McIntosh5 ⚽
S. Honeyman4 ⚽
D. Lang3 ⚽
A. Gilfedder2 ⚽
C. Campbell2 ⚽
J. Sowa2 ⚽
Stirling AlbionR. McLean8 ⚽
J. Allan6 ⚽
D. Dobbie2 ⚽
R. Raine2 ⚽
R. McNab1 ⚽
C. Crane1 ⚽
Cards Given
DumbartonM. Doyle3 🟨
D. Craig3 🟨
T. Robson2 🟨
K. Webster1 🟨
A. Spalding1 🟨
O. Hartington1 🟨
Stirling AlbionK. Banner4 🟨
J. Allan3 🟨
M. Thomas3 🟨
S. Denham3 🟨
R. McNab2 🟨
C. Crane2 🟨