Elgin City vs Edinburgh City — League Two
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Elgin City and Edinburgh City meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Elgin City have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.32 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Edinburgh City have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Elgin City and 1.70 for Edinburgh City. The models give Elgin City a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Edinburgh City win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Elgin City | Home | Away | Edinburgh City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 89% | 80% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 44% | 50% | 47% | 30% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 44% | 40% | 26% | 20% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 11% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Elgin City | Home | Away | Edinburgh City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 70% | 68% | 70% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 33% | 60% | 42% | 30% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 22% | 30% | 32% | 30% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 33% | 30% | 32% | 30% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Elgin City | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 26% |
| BTTS | 53% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 32% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Elgin City | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 16% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 68% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Elgin City | Edinburgh City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 16 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 9 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Elgin City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Elgin City have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Elgin City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Elgin City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Elgin City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Elgin City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.