Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic — League Two
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Kelty Hearts and Forfar Athletic meet in the League Two 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Kelty Hearts have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Forfar Athletic have won 26% of their 23 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Kelty Hearts and 1.39 for Forfar Athletic. The models give Kelty Hearts a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Forfar Athletic win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Kelty Hearts—
Forfar Athletic5º
Position
7º
1.20
PPG
1.10
40%
Win %
30%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.70
64%
BTTS %
43%
9%
Clean sheet %
17%
77%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
8.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
13.0
Avg fouls
11.0
18.0%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
Kelty Hearts
Home (4)
—
Forfar Athletic
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
0.40
75%
Win %
0%
2.25
Goals / game
0.80
1.75
Conceded / game
2.40
82%
BTTS %
63%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
91%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
8.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
18.0%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | Forfar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 82% | 64% | 61% | 60% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 73% | 18% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 45% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 18% | 36% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | Forfar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 82% | 83% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 73% | 64% | 57% | 53% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 41% | 45% | 36% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kelty Hearts | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 9% |
| BTTS | 64% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 35% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kelty Hearts | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 32% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Kelty Hearts (H)W
Montrose2–1
Montrose2–1L
Hearts U213–5
Hearts U213–5L
Edinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3W
Annan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1L
Clydebank2–4
Clydebank2–4W
Dumbarton3–1
Dumbarton3–1Forfar Athletic (A)LDumbarton1–2
Dumbarton1–2L
Spartans1–5
Spartans1–5D
Banks O' Dee1–1
Banks O' Dee1–1DEdinburgh City1–1
Edinburgh City1–1L
Clyde0–3
Clyde0–3D
Elgin City1–1
Elgin City1–1Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Kelty Hearts | Forfar Athletic | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kelty Hearts | Forfar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 13.0 | 9.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Kelty Hearts
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Forfar Athletic
33%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
01/08/26Kelty Hearts
Forfar Athletic
1–0Kelty Hearts23/08/22Kelty Hearts
Forfar Athletic
1–2Kelty Hearts23/04/22Forfar Athletic
Kelty Hearts
1–1Forfar Athletic19/02/22Kelty Hearts
Forfar Athletic
1–0Kelty Hearts13/11/21Forfar Athletic
Kelty Hearts
1–0Forfar Athletic14/08/21Kelty Hearts
Forfar Athletic
2–2Kelty Hearts| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 | Clyde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Spartans | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Stirling Albion | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 | Edinburgh City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
Team Insights
Kelty Hearts- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Kelty Hearts's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Forfar Athletic- ●Forfar Athletic have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Forfar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Forfar Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Forfar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Forfar Athletic's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●82% of Forfar Athletic's points have been earned at home.
- ●Forfar Athletic have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Kelty HeartsLAStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2WASpartans2–0
Spartans2–0LHEdinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3LAClyde1–4
Clyde1–4WHAnnan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1LAStranraer0–2
Stranraer0–2–HForfar Athletic17/10
Forfar Athletic17/10–HElgin City31/10
Elgin City31/10–AAnnan Athletic07/11
Annan Athletic07/11Forfar AthleticLHElgin City1–2
Elgin City1–2LADumbarton1–2
Dumbarton1–2WHAnnan Athletic1–0
Annan Athletic1–0LASpartans1–5
Spartans1–5LHStranraer0–3
Stranraer0–3DAEdinburgh City1–1
Edinburgh City1–1–AKelty Hearts17/10
Kelty Hearts17/10–AStirling Albion31/10
Stirling Albion31/10–HEdinburgh City07/11
Edinburgh City07/11Top Scorers
Kelty HeartsJ. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
I. Murray4 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Forfar AthleticS. Shepherd5 ⚽
L. Perrie4 ⚽
M. Rennie4 ⚽
A. Mailer2 ⚽
1 ⚽
A. Brown1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kelty HeartsA. Ferguson5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
G. Walker4 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨
C. Flatman2 🟨
Forfar AthleticA. Mailer3 🟨
M. Lemon3 🟨
A. Lynas3 🟨
A. Arnott2 🟨
C. Wilson1 🟨
A. Haddow1 🟨