Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City — League Two
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Kelty Hearts and Elgin City meet in the League Two 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Kelty Hearts have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Elgin City have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 2.30 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Kelty Hearts and 1.80 for Elgin City. The models give Kelty Hearts a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Elgin City win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Kelty Hearts—
Elgin City5º
Position
3º
1.20
PPG
1.70
40%
Win %
50%
1.40
Goals / game
2.70
2.00
Conceded / game
1.70
65%
BTTS %
52%
9%
Clean sheet %
30%
78%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
13.0
Avg fouls
10.0
18.0%
Avg possession
31.0%
Home vs Away
Kelty Hearts
Home (4)
—
Elgin City
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
1.40
75%
Win %
40%
2.25
Goals / game
2.20
1.75
Conceded / game
1.60
82%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
91%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
18.0%
Avg possession
31.0%
Goals Scored
| Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | Elgin City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 82% | 67% | 83% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 73% | 17% | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 45% | 8% | 39% | 45% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 18% | 33% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | Elgin City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 70% | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 73% | 67% | 43% | 36% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 45% | 33% | 22% | 18% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 27% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kelty Hearts | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 39% |
| BTTS | 65% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kelty Hearts | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 74% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Kelty Hearts (H)W
Montrose2–1
Montrose2–1L
Hearts U213–5
Hearts U213–5L
Edinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3W
Annan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1L
Clydebank2–4
Clydebank2–4W
Dumbarton3–1
Dumbarton3–1Elgin City (A)W
Forfar Athletic2–1
Forfar Athletic2–1W
Peterhead1–0
Peterhead1–0LAnnan Athletic0–2
Annan Athletic0–2LDumbarton1–2
Dumbarton1–2W
Clachnacuddin2–0
Clachnacuddin2–0D
Spartans3–3
Spartans3–3Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Kelty Hearts | Elgin City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kelty Hearts | Elgin City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 13.0 | 9.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Kelty Hearts
33%
3
Draws
33%
3
Elgin City
33%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
15/08/26Kelty Hearts
Elgin City
4–1Kelty Hearts30/11/24Kelty Hearts
Elgin City
3–2Kelty Hearts07/09/24Elgin City
Kelty Hearts
3–1Elgin City16/07/24Kelty Hearts
Elgin City
1–1Kelty Hearts19/03/22Kelty Hearts
Elgin City
0–0Kelty Hearts05/02/22Elgin City
Kelty Hearts
4–0Elgin City25/01/22Kelty Hearts
Elgin City
2–0Kelty Hearts11/09/21Elgin City
Kelty Hearts
1–1Elgin City20/07/21Kelty Hearts
Elgin City
1–3Kelty Hearts| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 |  Clyde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Spartans | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Stirling Albion | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 | Edinburgh City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
Team Insights
Kelty Hearts- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Kelty Hearts's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Elgin City- ●Elgin City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Elgin City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Kelty HeartsLAStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2WASpartans2–0
Spartans2–0LHEdinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3LAClyde1–4
Clyde1–4WHAnnan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1LAStranraer0–2
Stranraer0–2–HForfar Athletic17/10
Forfar Athletic17/10–HElgin City31/10
Elgin City31/10–AAnnan Athletic07/11
Annan Athletic07/11Elgin CityWAForfar Athletic2–1
Forfar Athletic2–1WHClyde6–2
Clyde6–2LHStranraer1–5
Stranraer1–5LAAnnan Athletic0–2
Annan Athletic0–2LADumbarton1–2
Dumbarton1–2WHStirling Albion4–0
Stirling Albion4–0–HEdinburgh City17/10
Edinburgh City17/10–AKelty Hearts31/10
Kelty Hearts31/10–HDumbarton07/11
Dumbarton07/11Top Scorers
Kelty HeartsI. Murray5 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Elgin CityJ. MacIver6 ⚽
O. Colloty6 ⚽
K. Hester5 ⚽
K. Girvan4 ⚽
M. Gallagher4 ⚽
R. Dingwall4 ⚽
Cards Given
Kelty HeartsA. Ferguson5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
G. Walker4 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨
C. Flatman2 🟨
Elgin CityK. Girvan5 🟨
M. Grant4 🟨
J. Murray4 🟨
J. MacIver2 🟨
M. Gallagher2 🟨
O. Cairns1 🟨