Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts — League Two
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Annan Athletic and Kelty Hearts meet in the League Two 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Annan Athletic have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Kelty Hearts have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Annan Athletic and 1.45 for Kelty Hearts. The models give Annan Athletic a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kelty Hearts win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Annan Athletic—
Kelty Hearts10º
Position
5º
0.90
PPG
1.20
30%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.40
1.70
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
65%
25%
Clean sheet %
9%
58%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
13.0
0.0%
Avg possession
18.0%
Home vs Away
Annan Athletic
Home (6)
—
Kelty Hearts
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
0.83
2.17
Conceded / game
2.17
50%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
17%
64%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
18.0%
Goals Scored
| Annan Athletic | Home | Away | Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 71% | 60% | 74% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 20% | 43% | 73% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 14% | 10% | 26% | 45% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 29% | 40% | 26% | 18% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Annan Athletic | Home | Away | Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 64% | 90% | 91% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 43% | 50% | 70% | 73% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 30% | 39% | 45% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Annan Athletic | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 30% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Annan Athletic | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 74% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Annan Athletic (H)D
Alloa Athletic0–0
Alloa Athletic0–0L
Stranraer1–6
Stranraer1–6L
Stirling Albion0–1
Stirling Albion0–1W
Hibernian U212–1
Hibernian U212–1W
Elgin City2–0
Elgin City2–0W
Motherwell U214–0
Motherwell U214–0Kelty Hearts (A)L
East Kilbride1–2
East Kilbride1–2LStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2W
Spartans2–0
Spartans2–0L
Clyde1–4
Clyde1–4W
Cumbernauld Colts3–0
Cumbernauld Colts3–0LStranraer0–2
Stranraer0–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Annan Athletic | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 13.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
4
Annan Athletic
25%
4
Draws
25%
8
Kelty Hearts
50%
94%
Over 1.5
15/16
69%
Over 2.5
11/16
31%
Over 3.5
5/16
81%
BTTS
13/16
05/09/26Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
2–1Annan Athletic12/08/25Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
1–0Annan Athletic29/03/25Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
2–1Kelty Hearts01/02/25Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
1–3Annan Athletic16/11/24Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
0–2Kelty Hearts28/09/24Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
3–0Annan Athletic23/03/24Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
3–2Kelty Hearts13/01/24Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
1–1Annan Athletic04/11/23Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
2–2Kelty Hearts02/09/23Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
1–1Annan Athletic23/09/22Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
1–2Kelty Hearts30/04/22Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
1–2Kelty Hearts26/02/22Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
3–1Annan Athletic26/12/21Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
5–1Kelty Hearts02/10/21Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
2–1Annan Athletic13/08/19Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
1–1Kelty Hearts| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 | Clyde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Spartans | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 |  Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | Stirling Albion | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 |  Edinburgh City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
Team Insights
Annan Athletic- ●Annan Athletic have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Annan Athletic have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Annan Athletic have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Annan Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Annan Athletic have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●80% of Annan Athletic's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Annan Athletic's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Kelty Hearts- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Kelty Hearts's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Annan AthleticLHStranraer1–6
Stranraer1–6LHStirling Albion0–1
Stirling Albion0–1LAForfar Athletic0–1
Forfar Athletic0–1WHElgin City2–0
Elgin City2–0LAKelty Hearts1–2
Kelty Hearts1–2WHDumbarton2–0
Dumbarton2–0–AClyde17/10
Clyde17/10–ASpartans31/10
Spartans31/10–HKelty Hearts07/11
Kelty Hearts07/11Kelty HeartsLAStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2WASpartans2–0
Spartans2–0LHEdinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3LAClyde1–4
Clyde1–4WHAnnan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1LAStranraer0–2
Stranraer0–2–HForfar Athletic17/10
Forfar Athletic17/10–HElgin City31/10
Elgin City31/10–AAnnan Athletic07/11
Annan Athletic07/11Top Scorers
Annan AthleticC. Maxwell7 ⚽
A. Roy5 ⚽
T. Muir4 ⚽
A. Smith4 ⚽
R. Muir3 ⚽
C. O'Donnell2 ⚽
Kelty HeartsI. Murray5 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Cards Given
Annan AthleticK. Watson3 🟨
A. Smith3 🟨
C. Clark3 🟨
C. Cooper3 🟨
C. Maxwell3 🟨
W. Gibson3 🟨
Kelty HeartsA. Ferguson5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
G. Walker4 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨
C. Flatman2 🟨