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Elgin City vs Dumbarton — League Two

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Elgin City
Elgin City
3º · 1.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 24d 20h
vs
–
–
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
6º · 1.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 24d 20h
Borough Briggs·Elgin·Scotland·3,927
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Elgin City and Dumbarton meet in the League Two 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Elgin City have recorded 11 wins from 23 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 2.30 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Dumbarton have won 32% of their 22 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 2.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.48 for Elgin City and 1.29 for Dumbarton. The models give Elgin City a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Dumbarton win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Elgin City
—
Dumbarton
3º
Position
6º
1.70
PPG
1.20
50%
Win %
40%
2.70
Goals / game
1.10
1.70
Conceded / game
1.70
52%
BTTS %
59%
30%
Clean sheet %
14%
70%
Over 2.5 %
82%
3.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
10.0
Avg fouls
6.0
31.0%
Avg possession
47.0%

Home vs Away

Elgin City
Home (5)
—
Dumbarton
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.00
60%
Win %
0%
3.20
Goals / game
0.60
1.80
Conceded / game
2.40
55%
BTTS %
64%
27%
Clean sheet %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
82%
3.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
31.0%
Avg possession
47.0%

Goals Scored

Elgin CityHomeAwayDumbartonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%82%83%73%82%64%
Over 1.5 Scored48%45%50%41%64%18%
Over 2.5 Scored39%45%33%23%27%18%
Failed To Score17%18%17%27%18%36%

Goals Conceded

Elgin CityHomeAwayDumbartonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded70%73%67%86%73%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded43%36%50%77%55%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded22%18%25%50%27%73%
Clean Sheets30%27%33%14%27%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Elgin CityDumbarton
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.587%95%
Over 2.570%82%
Over 3.552%55%
Over 4.539%27%
BTTS52%59%
BTTS & Win17%18%
BTTS & Draw13%5%
BTTS & Over 2.543%59%
BTTS No & Over 2.526%23%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Elgin CityDumbarton
Win 1st Half48%23%
Draw 1st Half22%9%
Loss 1st Half30%68%
Scored 1st Half70%45%
Conceded 1st Half52%73%
Win 2nd Half35%32%
Draw 2nd Half35%18%
Loss 2nd Half30%50%
Scored 2nd Half52%59%
Conceded 2nd Half57%73%
Over 0.5 HT96%91%
Over 1.5 HT57%50%

Recent Venue Form

Elgin City (H)
LAberdeen U210–1
WClyde6–2
WDundee II3–0
LStranraer1–5
WFraserburgh7–0
WStirling Albion4–0
Dumbarton (A)
LClydebank0–4
LClyde1–2
LStranraer1–3
LCove Rangers1–6
LAnnan Athletic0–2
LKelty Hearts1–3

Number of Corners

12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
Match CornersElgin CityDumbartonLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%—
Over 7100%100%—
Over 8100%100%—
Over 9100%100%—
Over 10100%0%—
Over 11100%0%—
Over 120%0%—
Over 130%0%—

Team Corners

Team CornersElgin CityDumbarton
Corners Earned / Match3.03.0
Corners Against / Match9.07.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%100%

Head to Head · 13 matches

4
Elgin City
31%
4
Draws
31%
5
Dumbarton
38%
77%
Over 1.5
10/13
46%
Over 2.5
6/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
05/09/26
Dumbarton
2–1
Elgin City
14/03/26
Elgin City
1–1
Dumbarton
24/01/26
Dumbarton
2–2
Elgin City
15/11/25
Elgin City
2–0
Dumbarton
16/08/25
Dumbarton
1–1
Elgin City
27/04/24
Dumbarton
2–2
Elgin City
27/01/24
Elgin City
0–1
Dumbarton
18/11/23
Dumbarton
1–0
Elgin City
16/09/23
Elgin City
2–0
Dumbarton
29/04/23
Elgin City
1–0
Dumbarton
25/02/23
Dumbarton
1–2
Elgin City
12/11/22
Elgin City
0–4
Dumbarton
27/08/22
Dumbarton
2–1
Elgin City
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer10622+1420
2Clyde10622+620
3Elgin City10523+1017
4Spartans10433+415
5Kelty Hearts10406-612
6Dumbarton10406-612
7Forfar Athletic10325-711
8Stirling Albion10325-1011
9Edinburgh City10433+210
10Annan Athletic10307-79

Team Insights

Elgin City
  • ●Elgin City have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Elgin City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Elgin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Dumbarton
  • ●Dumbarton have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Dumbarton have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●73% of Dumbarton's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●71% of Dumbarton's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●100% of Dumbarton's points have been earned at home.
WAForfar Athletic7º2–1
WHClyde2º6–2
WAPeterhead1–0
WHDundee II3–0
LHStranraer1º1–5
LAAnnan Athletic10º0–2
LADumbarton6º1–2
WHStirling Albion8º4–0
LAClydebank0–4
LAClyde2º1–2
WHForfar Athletic7º2–1
WHSpartans4º3–0
LAStranraer1º1–3
WHElgin City3º2–1
LAAnnan Athletic10º0–2

Season Schedule

Elgin City
WAForfar Athletic2–1
WHClyde6–2
LHStranraer1–5
LAAnnan Athletic0–2
LADumbarton1–2
WHStirling Albion4–0
–HEdinburgh City17/10
–AKelty Hearts31/10
–HDumbarton07/11
Dumbarton
LAClyde1–2
WHForfar Athletic2–1
WHSpartans3–0
LAStranraer1–3
WHElgin City2–1
LAAnnan Athletic0–2
–HStirling Albion17/10
–AEdinburgh City31/10
–AElgin City07/11

Top Scorers

Elgin City
J. MacIver6 ⚽
O. Colloty6 ⚽
K. Hester5 ⚽
K. Girvan4 ⚽
M. Gallagher4 ⚽
R. Dingwall4 ⚽
Dumbarton
L. McIntosh7 ⚽
S. Honeyman5 ⚽
D. Lang4 ⚽
A. Gilfedder2 ⚽
C. Campbell2 ⚽
J. Sowa2 ⚽

Cards Given

Elgin City
K. Girvan5 🟨
M. Grant4 🟨
J. Murray4 🟨
J. MacIver2 🟨
M. Gallagher2 🟨
O. Cairns1 🟨
Dumbarton
M. Doyle3 🟨
T. Lang3 🟨
D. Craig3 🟨
T. Robson2 🟨
L. McIntosh2 🟨
K. Webster1 🟨