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Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer — League Two

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Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
5º · 1.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h
vs
–
–
Stranraer
Stranraer
1º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h
New Central Park·Kelty·Scotland·3,000
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Kelty Hearts and Stranraer meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Kelty Hearts have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Stranraer have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Kelty Hearts and 2.10 for Stranraer. The models give Kelty Hearts a 33% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Stranraer win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.

Season Statistics

Kelty Hearts
—
Stranraer
5º
Position
1º
1.20
PPG
2.00
40%
Win %
60%
1.40
Goals / game
2.30
2.00
Conceded / game
0.90
65%
BTTS %
52%
9%
Clean sheet %
35%
78%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
14.0
18.0%
Avg possession
33.0%

Home vs Away

Kelty Hearts
Home (4)
—
Stranraer
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
2.00
75%
Win %
60%
2.25
Goals / game
3.40
1.75
Conceded / game
1.40
82%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
91%
Over 2.5 %
90%
0.0
Avg corners
3.0
2.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
18.0%
Avg possession
33.0%

Goals Scored

Kelty HeartsHomeAwayStranraerHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored74%82%67%74%69%80%
Over 1.5 Scored43%73%17%61%62%60%
Over 2.5 Scored26%45%8%39%46%30%
Failed To Score26%18%33%26%31%20%

Goals Conceded

Kelty HeartsHomeAwayStranraerHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded91%100%83%65%54%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded70%73%67%48%38%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded39%45%33%30%31%30%
Clean Sheets9%0%17%35%46%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Kelty HeartsStranraer
Over 0.5100%87%
Over 1.596%78%
Over 2.578%70%
Over 3.543%52%
Over 4.530%30%
BTTS65%52%
BTTS & Win26%17%
BTTS & Draw4%13%
BTTS & Over 2.561%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.517%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Kelty HeartsStranraer
Win 1st Half39%43%
Draw 1st Half13%35%
Loss 1st Half48%22%
Scored 1st Half52%61%
Conceded 1st Half74%35%
Win 2nd Half26%39%
Draw 2nd Half35%26%
Loss 2nd Half39%35%
Scored 2nd Half61%61%
Conceded 2nd Half65%43%
Over 0.5 HT96%74%
Over 1.5 HT57%43%

Recent Venue Form

Kelty Hearts (H)
WMontrose2–1
LHearts U213–5
LEdinburgh City1–3
WAnnan Athletic2–1
LClydebank2–4
WDumbarton3–1
Stranraer (A)
WAnnan Athletic6–1
LBerwick Rangers2–3
WElgin City5–1
WForfar Athletic3–0
DStirling Albion2–2
LAlloa Athletic1–2

Number of Corners

13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
7.0
Corners / Match
1 games
Match CornersKelty HeartsStranraerLeague Avg
Over 6100%100%—
Over 7100%0%—
Over 8100%0%—
Over 9100%0%—
Over 10100%0%—
Over 11100%0%—
Over 12100%0%—
Over 130%0%—

Team Corners

Team CornersKelty HeartsStranraer
Corners Earned / Match0.03.0
Corners Against / Match13.04.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 8 matches

6
Kelty Hearts
75%
0
Draws
0%
2
Stranraer
25%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
29/08/26
Stranraer
2–0
Kelty Hearts
06/09/25
Kelty Hearts
3–0
Stranraer
25/07/23
Kelty Hearts
2–0
Stranraer
16/04/22
Stranraer
0–3
Kelty Hearts
29/01/22
Kelty Hearts
3–2
Stranraer
18/12/21
Stranraer
0–4
Kelty Hearts
25/09/21
Kelty Hearts
1–0
Stranraer
09/01/21
Kelty Hearts
2–3
Stranraer
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer10622+1420
2Clyde10622+620
3Elgin City10523+1017
4Spartans10433+415
5Kelty Hearts10406-612
6Dumbarton10406-612
7Forfar Athletic10325-711
8Stirling Albion10325-1011
9Edinburgh City10433+210
10Annan Athletic10307-79

Team Insights

Kelty Hearts
  • ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●64% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●65% of Kelty Hearts's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Stranraer
  • ●Stranraer have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
  • ●Stranraer have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Stranraer have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Stranraer failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Stranraer have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●74% of Stranraer's goals have been scored away.
  • ●78% of Stranraer's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Stranraer have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
LAStirling Albion8º1–2
WASpartans4º2–0
WHMontrose2–1
LHHearts U213–5
LHEdinburgh City9º1–3
LAClyde2º1–4
WHAnnan Athletic10º2–1
LAStranraer1º0–2
WAAnnan Athletic10º6–1
DHEdinburgh City9º0–0
WAElgin City3º5–1
WHDumbarton6º3–1
WAForfar Athletic7º3–0
LHCeltic II3–4
WHKelty Hearts5º2–0

Season Schedule

Kelty Hearts
LAStirling Albion1–2
WASpartans2–0
LHEdinburgh City1–3
LAClyde1–4
WHAnnan Athletic2–1
LAStranraer0–2
–HForfar Athletic17/10
–HElgin City31/10
–AAnnan Athletic07/11
Stranraer
WAAnnan Athletic6–1
DHEdinburgh City0–0
WAElgin City5–1
WHDumbarton3–1
WAForfar Athletic3–0
WHKelty Hearts2–0
–ASpartans17/10
–HClyde31/10
–HStirling Albion07/11

Top Scorers

Kelty Hearts
I. Murray5 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Stranraer
L. Dobbie7 ⚽
E. Dunne6 ⚽
A. Quigg6 ⚽
D. Clelland5 ⚽
S. Mason4 ⚽
A. Traynor3 ⚽

Cards Given

Kelty Hearts
A. Ferguson5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
G. Walker4 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨
C. Flatman2 🟨
Stranraer
E. Dunne3 🟨
K. Nair3 🟨
A. Traynor3 🟨
A. Quigg2 🟨
B. Coll2 🟨
L. Gillie2 🟨