Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts — League Two
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Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts meet in the League Two 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Edinburgh City have recorded 10 wins from 25 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Kelty Hearts have won 36% of their 25 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 2.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Edinburgh City and 1.50 for Kelty Hearts. The models give Edinburgh City a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kelty Hearts win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Edinburgh City—
Kelty Hearts8º
Position
5º
1.45
PPG
1.36
36%
Win %
45%
1.82
Goals / game
1.45
1.64
Conceded / game
1.91
44%
BTTS %
68%
32%
Clean sheet %
8%
52%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
13.0
0.0%
Avg possession
18.0%
Home vs Away
Edinburgh City
Home (5)
—
Kelty Hearts
Away (6)
1.40
PPG
0.50
40%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.83
2.40
Conceded / game
2.17
54%
BTTS %
54%
23%
Clean sheet %
15%
54%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
2.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
18.0%
Goals Scored
| Edinburgh City | Home | Away | Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 77% | 58% | 76% | 83% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 31% | 50% | 44% | 75% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 42% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 23% | 42% | 24% | 17% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Edinburgh City | Home | Away | Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 77% | 58% | 92% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 38% | 50% | 68% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 38% | 25% | 40% | 42% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 23% | 42% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Edinburgh City | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 32% |
| BTTS | 44% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Edinburgh City | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 16% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 76% |
| Win 2nd Half | 16% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Edinburgh City (H)WKelty Hearts4–1
Kelty Hearts4–1L
St. Mirren U210–5
St. Mirren U210–5L
Spartans1–3
Spartans1–3W
Dundee United II1–0
Dundee United II1–0W
Stirling Albion7–3
Stirling Albion7–3D
Queen of the South1–1
Queen of the South1–1Kelty Hearts (A)LEdinburgh City1–4
Edinburgh City1–4L
East Kilbride1–2
East Kilbride1–2LStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2WSpartans2–0
Spartans2–0L
Clyde1–4
Clyde1–4W
Cumbernauld Colts3–0
Cumbernauld Colts3–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Edinburgh City | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 13.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
5
Edinburgh City
33%
3
Draws
20%
7
Kelty Hearts
47%
93%
Over 1.5
14/15
73%
Over 2.5
11/15
60%
Over 3.5
9/15
73%
BTTS
11/15
24/10/26Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
4–1Kelty Hearts19/09/26Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
1–3Edinburgh City30/03/24Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
3–1Edinburgh City13/02/24Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
3–2Edinburgh City03/02/24Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
0–3Kelty Hearts07/10/23Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
1–4Kelty Hearts19/07/23Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
3–5Kelty Hearts22/04/23Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
2–2Kelty Hearts04/03/23Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
1–2Edinburgh City08/10/22Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
2–0Kelty Hearts30/07/22Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
0–2Edinburgh City01/04/22Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
1–1Kelty Hearts15/01/22Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
2–2Edinburgh City15/10/21Kelty Hearts
Edinburgh City
2–3Kelty Hearts21/08/21Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
1–0Edinburgh City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 2 | Clyde | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Elgin City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 | Spartans | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 7 | Stirling Albion | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Forfar Athletic | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 |  Annan Athletic | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
Team Insights
Edinburgh City- ●Edinburgh City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Edinburgh City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Edinburgh City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Edinburgh City's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Edinburgh City have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Kelty Hearts- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Edinburgh CityDAElgin City0–0
Elgin City0–0LHSpartans1–3
Spartans1–3DAStranraer0–0
Stranraer0–0WAKelty Hearts3–1
Kelty Hearts3–1WHStirling Albion7–3
Stirling Albion7–3LAClyde2–3
Clyde2–3–HDumbarton31/10
Dumbarton31/10–AForfar Athletic07/11
Forfar Athletic07/11–HClyde14/11
Clyde14/11Kelty HeartsWHForfar Athletic2–1
Forfar Athletic2–1LAStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2WASpartans2–0
Spartans2–0LHEdinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3LAClyde1–4
Clyde1–4WHAnnan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1–HElgin City31/10
Elgin City31/10–AAnnan Athletic07/11
Annan Athletic07/11–HStranraer14/11
Stranraer14/11Top Scorers
Edinburgh CityI. Lawson9 ⚽
M. Aiken5 ⚽
J. Leitch4 ⚽
K. Foster4 ⚽
L. Walker4 ⚽
J. Jarvis3 ⚽
Kelty HeartsI. Murray6 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
Cards Given
Edinburgh CityI. Lawson6 🟨
J. McGregor6 🟨
J. Grigor5 🟨
J. Leitch5 🟨
G. Allen3 🟨
J. Jarvis2 🟨
Kelty HeartsA. Ferguson6 🟨
G. Walker5 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
C. Flatman3 🟨
F. Moffett2 🟨