Kelty Hearts vs Spartans — League Two
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Kelty Hearts and Spartans meet in the League Two 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Kelty Hearts have recorded 10 wins from 27 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Spartans have won 38% of their 24 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Kelty Hearts and 1.60 for Spartans. The models give Kelty Hearts a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Spartans win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Kelty Hearts—
Spartans5º
Position
4º
1.25
PPG
1.50
42%
Win %
42%
1.33
Goals / game
2.08
1.83
Conceded / game
1.83
63%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
21%
74%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
6.0
2.0
Avg shots
12.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
13.0
Avg fouls
12.0
18.0%
Avg possession
51.0%
Home vs Away
Kelty Hearts
Home (6)
—
Spartans
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.80
67%
Win %
60%
1.83
Goals / game
1.80
1.50
Conceded / game
1.40
77%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
30%
85%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
6.0
2.0
Avg shots
12.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
18.0%
Avg possession
51.0%
Goals Scored
| Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | Spartans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 77% | 71% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 69% | 14% | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 38% | 7% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 23% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Kelty Hearts | Home | Away | Spartans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 79% | 79% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 62% | 64% | 58% | 71% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 38% | 36% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kelty Hearts | Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kelty Hearts | Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Kelty Hearts (H)L
Elgin City0–1
Elgin City0–1W
Forfar Athletic2–1
Forfar Athletic2–1W
Montrose2–1
Montrose2–1L
Hearts U213–5
Hearts U213–5L
Edinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3W
Annan Athletic2–1
Annan Athletic2–1Spartans (A)W
Lochee United2–1
Lochee United2–1WEdinburgh City3–1
Edinburgh City3–1D
Gala Fairydean Rovers0–0
Gala Fairydean Rovers0–0L
Dumbarton0–3
Dumbarton0–3W
Stirling Albion2–0
Stirling Albion2–0L
Stranraer0–1
Stranraer0–1Number of Corners
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Kelty Hearts | Spartans | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kelty Hearts | Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 13.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Kelty Hearts
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Spartans
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
03/10/26Kelty Hearts
Spartans
0–2Kelty Hearts15/12/20Kelty Hearts
Spartans
0–4Kelty Hearts| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Clyde | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 7 | Edinburgh City | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 9 | Forfar Athletic | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -11 | 9 |
Team Insights
Kelty Hearts- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kelty Hearts have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Kelty Hearts's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Kelty Hearts's points have been earned at home.
Spartans- ●Spartans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Spartans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Spartans failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spartans failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Spartans have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Spartans's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Spartans's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Kelty HeartsLHElgin City0–1
Elgin City0–1WHForfar Athletic2–1
Forfar Athletic2–1LAStirling Albion1–2
Stirling Albion1–2WASpartans2–0
Spartans2–0LHEdinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3LAClyde1–4
Clyde1–4–AAnnan Athletic07/11
Annan Athletic07/11–HStranraer14/11
Stranraer14/11–AEdinburgh City21/11
Edinburgh City21/11SpartansWHAnnan Athletic3–2
Annan Athletic3–2LHStranraer0–2
Stranraer0–2WAEdinburgh City3–1
Edinburgh City3–1LHKelty Hearts0–2
Kelty Hearts0–2LADumbarton0–3
Dumbarton0–3WHForfar Athletic5–1
Forfar Athletic5–1–AClyde07/11
Clyde07/11–AForfar Athletic14/11
Forfar Athletic14/11–HDumbarton21/11
Dumbarton21/11Top Scorers
Kelty HeartsI. Murray7 ⚽
J. Hislop5 ⚽
R. Shanley5 ⚽
R. Cole4 ⚽
L. Moore3 ⚽
G. Walker2 ⚽
SpartansM. McNulty10 ⚽
M. Stowe9 ⚽
B. Whyte4 ⚽
R. Dinanga3 ⚽
C. Russell3 ⚽
J. Craigen2 ⚽
Cards Given
Kelty HeartsA. Ferguson7 🟨
G. Walker5 🟨
J. Brydon4 🟨
R. Shanley4 🟨
C. Hannah3 🟨
C. Flatman3 🟨
SpartansB. Whyte6 🟨
J. Tapping3 🟨
M. McNulty3 🟨
S. Welsh3 🟨
C. Russell2 🟨
A. Sonkur2 🟨