Maribor vs Nafta — 1. SNL
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Ljudski vrt·Maribor·Slovenia·12,994
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Maribor and Nafta meet in the 1. SNL 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Maribor have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Nafta have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Maribor and 1.36 for Nafta. The models give Maribor a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Nafta win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Maribor—
Nafta1º
Position
4º
2.00
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
76%
BTTS %
47%
24%
Clean sheet %
20%
53%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Maribor
Home (1)
—
Nafta
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
3.00
Goals / game
3.00
0.00
Conceded / game
0.00
80%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Maribor | Home | Away | Nafta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 86% | 67% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 50% | 57% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 20% | 43% | 27% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 30% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Maribor | Home | Away | Nafta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 80% | 71% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 30% | 29% | 53% | 70% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 10% | 14% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 20% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maribor | Nafta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS | 76% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 47% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maribor | Nafta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Maribor (H)D
HNK Gorica1–1
HNK Gorica1–1D
Aluminij2–2
Aluminij2–2D
Mura1–1
Mura1–1W
Bravo3–1
Bravo3–1W
Koper2–0
Koper2–0W
Brinje-Grosuplje3–0
Brinje-Grosuplje3–0Nafta (A)LKoper0–2
Koper0–2WBrinje-Grosuplje2–1
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1L
Olimpija Ljubljana0–1
Olimpija Ljubljana0–1DAluminij1–1
Aluminij1–1WBravo3–0
Bravo3–0D
Primorje0–0
Primorje0–0Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Maribor
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Nafta
17%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
30/08/26Maribor
Nafta
2–3Maribor25/05/25Nafta
Maribor
0–1Nafta16/04/25Maribor
Nafta
1–1Maribor08/12/24Nafta
Maribor
4–0Nafta22/09/24Maribor
Nafta
0–3Maribor16/01/24Maribor
Nafta
0–3Maribor| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Koper | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 19 |
| 3 | Bravo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 4 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 |
| 10 |  Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Maribor- ●Maribor have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Maribor have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Maribor have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Maribor have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Maribor have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Maribor have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maribor have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Maribor have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maribor have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Maribor have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Maribor have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Nafta- ●Nafta have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nafta have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nafta failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Nafta failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Nafta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Nafta's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
MariborWABrinje-Grosuplje2–1
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1DHAluminij2–2
Aluminij2–2WARadomlje3–0
Radomlje3–0DHMura1–1
Mura1–1WANafta3–2
Nafta3–2WHBravo3–1
Bravo3–1–HCelje18/10
Celje18/10–AKoper27/10
Koper27/10–HOlimpija Ljubljana31/10
Olimpija Ljubljana31/10NaftaWHBravo1–0
Bravo1–0LAKoper0–2
Koper0–2WABrinje-Grosuplje2–1
Brinje-Grosuplje2–1WHRadomlje3–1
Radomlje3–1LHMaribor2–3
Maribor2–3LAOlimpija Ljubljana0–1
Olimpija Ljubljana0–1–AMura17/10
Mura17/10–HAluminij28/10
Aluminij28/10–ACelje01/11
Celje01/11Top Scorers
MariborT. Cipot5 ⚽
I. Tshipamba5 ⚽
Z. Repas4 ⚽
A. Reghba2 ⚽
B. Feta2 ⚽
L. Zahovic2 ⚽
NaftaJ. Zorica7 ⚽
A. Marosa6 ⚽
L. Pihler2 ⚽
L. Poredos2 ⚽
R. Pirtovsek1 ⚽
S. Omrani1 ⚽
Cards Given
MariborZ. Karnicnik3 🟨
2 🟨
T. Cipot2 🟨
Z. Jevsenak2 🟨
I. Tshipamba1 🟨
C. Bumbic1 🟨
NaftaK. Lavrencic3 🟨
A. Pihler3 🟨
J. Zorica3 🟨
M. Vidnyanszky2 🟨
R. Pirtovsek2 🟨
S. Omrani1 🟨