Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava — Czech Liga
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Zbrojovka Brno and Baník Ostrava meet in the Czech Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Zbrojovka Brno have recorded 18 wins from 27 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.30 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Baník Ostrava have won 42% of their 24 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.22 for Baník Ostrava. The models give Zbrojovka Brno a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Baník Ostrava win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Zbrojovka Brno—
Baník Ostrava8º
Position
12º
1.60
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
0.70
1.30
Conceded / game
1.80
48%
BTTS %
46%
26%
Clean sheet %
33%
56%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.8
Avg corners
5.1
11.4
Avg shots
12.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.7
Avg fouls
12.6
46.4%
Avg possession
46.8%
Home vs Away
Zbrojovka Brno
Home (6)
—
Baník Ostrava
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.67
67%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
65%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
28%
59%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.8
Avg corners
5.1
11.4
Avg shots
12.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
46.4%
Avg possession
46.8%
Goals Scored
| Zbrojovka Brno | Home | Away | Baník Ostrava | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 82% | 60% | 79% | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 71% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 17% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 18% | 40% | 21% | 17% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Zbrojovka Brno | Home | Away | Baník Ostrava | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 82% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 6% | 50% | 46% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 10% | 25% | 17% | 28% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 18% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Zbrojovka Brno | Baník Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS | 48% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 41% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Zbrojovka Brno | Baník Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 52% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Zbrojovka Brno (H)L
FK Jablonec0–1
FK Jablonec0–1W
Skalica5–1
Skalica5–1W
Artis2–1
Artis2–1W
Hradec Králové1–0
Hradec Králové1–0W
Zlin3–2
Zlin3–2L
Slovan Liberec0–1
Slovan Liberec0–1Baník Ostrava (A)L
Bohemians 19050–1
Bohemians 19050–1D
GKS Katowice1–1
GKS Katowice1–1W
Kladno2–1
Kladno2–1D
Slovácko2–2
Slovácko2–2LFK Jablonec0–3
FK Jablonec0–3L
Mlada Boleslav0–4
Mlada Boleslav0–4Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.9
78 games
9.7
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Zbrojovka Brno | Baník Ostrava | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 70% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 40% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 20% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 20% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 20% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 20% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Zbrojovka Brno | Baník Ostrava |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 90% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 40% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Zbrojovka Brno
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Baník Ostrava
40%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
06/05/23Zbrojovka Brno
Baník Ostrava
4–0Zbrojovka Brno18/02/23Baník Ostrava
Zbrojovka Brno
2–1Baník Ostrava31/08/22Zbrojovka Brno
Baník Ostrava
1–2Zbrojovka Brno01/05/21Zbrojovka Brno
Baník Ostrava
1–1Zbrojovka Brno23/12/20Baník Ostrava
Zbrojovka Brno
0–1Baník Ostrava| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 26 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Teplice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Zbrojovka Brno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Hradec Králové | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Artis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pardubice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 |  Karviná | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Zlin | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Zbrojovka Brno- ●Zbrojovka Brno have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Zbrojovka Brno failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●75% of Zbrojovka Brno's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Zbrojovka Brno's points have been earned at home.
Baník Ostrava- ●Baník Ostrava have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Baník Ostrava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Baník Ostrava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Baník Ostrava failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Baník Ostrava have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Baník Ostrava's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Zbrojovka BrnoLHFK Jablonec0–1
FK Jablonec0–1LAMlada Boleslav0–2
Mlada Boleslav0–2WHArtis2–1
Artis2–1LASlavia Praha0–4
Slavia Praha0–4WHHradec Králové1–0
Hradec Králové1–0WHZlin3–2
Zlin3–2–ASlovácko18/10
Slovácko18/10–HBohemians 190524/10
Bohemians 190524/10–ASigma Olomouc31/10
Sigma Olomouc31/10Baník OstravaLABohemians 19050–1
Bohemians 19050–1DASlovácko2–2
Slovácko2–2LHPardubice1–2
Pardubice1–2LAFK Jablonec0–3
FK Jablonec0–3LAMlada Boleslav0–4
Mlada Boleslav0–4WHSigma Olomouc1–0
Sigma Olomouc1–0–HSparta Praha18/10
Sparta Praha18/10–ASlovan Liberec24/10
Slovan Liberec24/10–HPlzen01/11
Plzen01/11Top Scorers
Zbrojovka BrnoO. Velich10 ⚽
D. Vasulin7 ⚽
T. Vachousek5 ⚽
B. Kanakimana5 ⚽
M. Gjorgievski4 ⚽
P. Zitny4 ⚽
Baník OstravaV. Skrkon7 ⚽
V. Jurecka6 ⚽
F. Sancl3 ⚽
M. Chalus3 ⚽
A. Gning3 ⚽
M. Kohut3 ⚽
Cards Given
Zbrojovka BrnoA. Dante3 🟨
A. Vanicek2 🟨
P. Cavos2 🟨
M. Svedik2 🟨
J. Janetzky1 🟨
F. Vedral1 🟨
Baník OstravaY. Skyba3 🟨
R. Nogha3 🟨
Jiri Micek2 🟨
Jiri Boula2 🟨
M. Chalus2 🟨
Filip Kubala1 🟨