Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva — Premier League
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Akhmat and Rodina Moskva meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Akhmat have recorded 13 wins from 28 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Rodina Moskva have won 15% of their 26 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Akhmat and 1.26 for Rodina Moskva. The models give Akhmat a 54% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Rodina Moskva win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Akhmat—
Rodina Moskva11º
Position
15º
1.10
PPG
0.50
20%
Win %
10%
1.30
Goals / game
1.00
1.30
Conceded / game
2.50
50%
BTTS %
58%
36%
Clean sheet %
15%
54%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.8
Avg corners
3.6
12.0
Avg shots
8.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
2.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.7
Avg fouls
14.1
48.8%
Avg possession
42.6%
Home vs Away
Akhmat
Home (5)
—
Rodina Moskva
Away (6)
1.60
PPG
0.50
40%
Win %
17%
2.20
Goals / game
0.67
1.60
Conceded / game
2.33
56%
BTTS %
59%
44%
Clean sheet %
12%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.8
Avg corners
3.6
12.0
Avg shots
8.1
3.8
Avg shots on target
2.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
48.8%
Avg possession
42.6%
Goals Scored
| Akhmat | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 94% | 58% | 65% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 63% | 17% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 50% | 8% | 12% | 22% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 6% | 42% | 35% | 33% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Akhmat | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 56% | 75% | 85% | 78% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 38% | 25% | 69% | 56% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 8% | 46% | 56% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 44% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Akhmat | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 31% |
| BTTS | 50% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Akhmat | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 54% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Akhmat (H)L
Dynamo1–2
Dynamo1–2D
Baltika0–0
Baltika0–0W
Dinamo Makhachkala3–2
Dinamo Makhachkala3–2D
Krylia Sovetov3–3
Krylia Sovetov3–3W
FC Rostov4–1
FC Rostov4–1W
Fakel2–1
Fakel2–1Rodina Moskva (A)L
CSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3LDynamo2–3
Dynamo2–3W
FK Partizan3–2
FK Partizan3–2LKrylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2LDinamo Makhachkala0–2
Dinamo Makhachkala0–2L
Spartak Moscow1–3
Spartak Moscow1–3Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
8.8
80 games
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Akhmat | Rodina Moskva | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 91% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 73% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 73% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 64% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 45% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 27% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 27% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 27% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Akhmat | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 82% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Zenit | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 6 |  Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 |  FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Lokomotiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Akron | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
Team Insights
Akhmat- ●Akhmat have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Akhmat failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Akhmat failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●85% of Akhmat's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Akhmat have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
AkhmatDHBaltika0–0
Baltika0–0LAAkron0–2
Akron0–2WHDinamo Makhachkala3–2
Dinamo Makhachkala3–2DARubin1–1
Rubin1–1DHKrylia Sovetov3–3
Krylia Sovetov3–3WHFC Rostov4–1
FC Rostov4–1–AZenit18/10
Zenit18/10–HFC Orenburg23/10
FC Orenburg23/10–ADynamo31/10
Dynamo31/10Rodina MoskvaLACSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1LAKrylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2LADinamo Makhachkala0–2
Dinamo Makhachkala0–2LHBaltika0–3
Baltika0–3LADynamo1–3
Dynamo1–3–HFC Orenburg19/10
FC Orenburg19/10–AFakel24/10
Fakel24/10–HFC Krasnodar31/10
FC Krasnodar31/10Top Scorers
AkhmatG. Melkadze9 ⚽
E. Cacintura8 ⚽
L. Sadulaev5 ⚽
M. Samorodov3 ⚽
Egas Cacintura2 ⚽
E. Maksuti2 ⚽
Rodina MoskvaA. Maksimenko6 ⚽
A. Gharibyan3 ⚽
A. Egorychev2 ⚽
I. Timoshenko2 ⚽
Ivan Timoshenko2 ⚽
M. Abdusalamov2 ⚽
Cards Given
Akhmat6 🟨
Ismael Silva3 🟨
K. Cake2 🟨
G. Melkadze2 🟨
Júlio Romão2 🟨
Georgiy Melkadze2 🟨
Rodina Moskva8 🟨
I. Timoshenko2 🟨
A. Egorychev2 🟨
I. Dyatlov2 🟨
Artem Meshchaninov2 🟨
I. Pozo2 🟨