FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva — Premier League
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FC Orenburg and Rodina Moskva meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. FC Orenburg have recorded 14 wins from 29 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Rodina Moskva have won 17% of their 30 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for FC Orenburg and 1.16 for Rodina Moskva. The models give FC Orenburg a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Rodina Moskva win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
FC Orenburg—
Rodina Moskva6º
Position
15º
1.33
PPG
0.75
25%
Win %
17%
1.17
Goals / game
1.08
1.00
Conceded / game
2.25
59%
BTTS %
60%
24%
Clean sheet %
17%
52%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.0
Avg corners
3.5
11.7
Avg shots
8.4
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.0
3.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
18.6
Avg fouls
13.7
39.8%
Avg possession
43.5%
Home vs Away
FC Orenburg
Home (6)
—
Rodina Moskva
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
0.86
33%
Win %
29%
1.50
Goals / game
0.71
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
53%
BTTS %
58%
29%
Clean sheet %
16%
53%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.0
Avg corners
3.5
11.7
Avg shots
8.4
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.0
3.2
Avg yellow cards
2.5
39.8%
Avg possession
43.5%
Goals Scored
| FC Orenburg | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 76% | 75% | 70% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 53% | 33% | 33% | 45% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 18% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 24% | 25% | 30% | 27% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Orenburg | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 71% | 83% | 83% | 82% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 18% | 33% | 70% | 64% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 8% | 43% | 55% | 37% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS | 59% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 54% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Orenburg (H)WRodina Moskva2–1
Rodina Moskva2–1W
Dinamo Makhachkala4–0
Dinamo Makhachkala4–0W
Tekstilshchik3–2
Tekstilshchik3–2D
FC Krasnodar0–0
FC Krasnodar0–0D
Akron2–2
Akron2–2D
Rubin1–1
Rubin1–1Rodina Moskva (A)LFC Orenburg1–2
FC Orenburg1–2W
Fakel1–0
Fakel1–0L
CSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3L
Dynamo2–3
Dynamo2–3W
FK Partizan3–2
FK Partizan3–2L
Krylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
8.8
96 games
10.2
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 87% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 47% | 67% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 60% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 47% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 27% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 27% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 47% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 87% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 80% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
FC Orenburg
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Rodina Moskva
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
28/10/26Rodina Moskva
FC Orenburg
2–1Rodina Moskva19/10/26FC Orenburg
Rodina Moskva
2–2FC Orenburg18/08/26FC Orenburg
Rodina Moskva
1–4FC Orenburg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 27 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  FC Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Baltika | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Lokomotiv | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
FC Orenburg- ●FC Orenburg have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Orenburg have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Orenburg have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●FC Orenburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●64% of FC Orenburg's goals have been scored at home.
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Rodina Moskva's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Rodina Moskva's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FC OrenburgWAAkhmat1–0
Akhmat1–0DARodina Moskva2–2
Rodina Moskva2–2WHDinamo Makhachkala4–0
Dinamo Makhachkala4–0DHFC Krasnodar0–0
FC Krasnodar0–0LADynamo0–1
Dynamo0–1DHAkron2–2
Akron2–2–HCSKA Moscow01/11
CSKA Moscow01/11–AKrylia Sovetov08/11
Krylia Sovetov08/11–HBaltika21/11
Baltika21/11Rodina MoskvaWAFakel1–0
Fakel1–0DHFC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2LACSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1LAKrylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2LADinamo Makhachkala0–2
Dinamo Makhachkala0–2–HFC Krasnodar31/10
FC Krasnodar31/10–AAkhmat07/11
Akhmat07/11–HLokomotiv22/11
Lokomotiv22/11Top Scorers
FC OrenburgJordhy Thompson4 ⚽
A. Kasadzhikov3 ⚽
Alexandre Jesus3 ⚽
Gedeon Guzina3 ⚽
Danila Khotulev2 ⚽
D. Puebla2 ⚽
Rodina MoskvaA. Maksimenko6 ⚽
Ivan Timoshenko4 ⚽
A. Gharibyan3 ⚽
I. Pozo2 ⚽
German Onugkha2 ⚽
A. Egorychev2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC OrenburgEgor Nazarenko4 🟨
Andrey Kasadzhikov4 🟨
Evgeniy Bolotov3 🟨
A. Tataev3 🟨
Aleksey Tataev3 🟨
J. Palacios3 🟨
Rodina Moskva8 🟨
Iker Pozo4 🟨
Artem Meshchaninov3 🟨
I. Pozo2 🟨
I. Dyatlov2 🟨
A. Egorychev2 🟨