Baltika vs Rodina Moskva — Premier League
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Rostec Arena·Kaliningrad·Russia·35,212
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Baltika and Rodina Moskva meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Baltika have recorded 13 wins from 30 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Rodina Moskva have won 19% of their 32 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Baltika and 1.14 for Rodina Moskva. The models give Baltika a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rodina Moskva win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Baltika—
Rodina Moskva8º
Position
13º
1.31
PPG
0.86
31%
Win %
21%
1.31
Goals / game
1.07
1.08
Conceded / game
2.07
47%
BTTS %
59%
47%
Clean sheet %
16%
47%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.9
Avg corners
3.2
12.1
Avg shots
8.5
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
16.5
Avg fouls
14.9
43.3%
Avg possession
44.3%
Home vs Away
Baltika
Home (7)
—
Rodina Moskva
Away (8)
1.14
PPG
0.75
29%
Win %
25%
1.14
Goals / game
0.63
1.29
Conceded / game
1.88
63%
BTTS %
55%
31%
Clean sheet %
15%
56%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.9
Avg corners
3.2
12.1
Avg shots
8.5
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
43.3%
Avg possession
44.3%
Goals Scored
| Baltika | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 71% | 86% | 69% | 75% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 47% | 50% | 34% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 17% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 29% | 14% | 31% | 25% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Baltika | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 71% | 36% | 84% | 83% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 29% | 14% | 66% | 58% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 18% | 0% | 41% | 50% | 35% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 29% | 64% | 16% | 17% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Baltika | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 28% |
| BTTS | 45% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Baltika | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Baltika (H)L
Dinamo Makhachkala0–1
Dinamo Makhachkala0–1W
Akron2–1
Akron2–1L
Zenit2–3
Zenit2–3D
FC Rostov0–0
FC Rostov0–0LZenit2–3
Zenit2–3L
Lokomotiv0–1
Lokomotiv0–1Rodina Moskva (A)L
Akhmat0–1
Akhmat0–1L
FC Orenburg1–2
FC Orenburg1–2W
Fakel1–0
Fakel1–0L
CSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3L
Dynamo2–3
Dynamo2–3W
FK Partizan3–2
FK Partizan3–2Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
8.7
108 games
9.5
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | Baltika | Rodina Moskva | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 76% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 59% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 59% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 53% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 41% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 29% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 24% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 24% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Baltika | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 3.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 76% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Baltika
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Rodina Moskva
17%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
30/08/26Baltika
Rodina Moskva
0–3Baltika23/11/24Rodina Moskva
Baltika
2–1Rodina Moskva14/07/24Baltika
Rodina Moskva
0–0Baltika07/04/23Rodina Moskva
Baltika
0–0Rodina Moskva18/09/22Baltika
Rodina Moskva
1–2Baltika10/07/20Rodina Moskva
Baltika
1–2Rodina Moskva| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 30 |
| 3 |  FC Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Rubin | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 |  Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodina Moskva | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 6 |
Team Insights
Baltika- ●Baltika have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Baltika failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Baltika have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Baltika have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Baltika have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Baltika's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Baltika have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Rodina Moskva's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BaltikaLHDinamo Makhachkala0–1
Dinamo Makhachkala0–1WHAkron2–1
Akron2–1DAFC Krasnodar1–1
FC Krasnodar1–1DHFC Rostov0–0
FC Rostov0–0DAAkhmat0–0
Akhmat0–0LHZenit2–3
Zenit2–3–AFC Orenburg21/11
FC Orenburg21/11–HAkhmat28/11
Akhmat28/11–AZenit05/12
Zenit05/12Rodina MoskvaLAAkhmat0–1
Akhmat0–1WHFC Krasnodar2–1
FC Krasnodar2–1WAFakel1–0
Fakel1–0DHFC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2LACSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1–HLokomotiv22/11
Lokomotiv22/11–AFC Orenburg29/11
FC Orenburg29/11–HCSKA Moscow05/12
CSKA Moscow05/12Top Scorers
BaltikaB. Gil5 ⚽
C. Offor3 ⚽
Brayan Gil3 ⚽
Ilya Kirsh2 ⚽
Egor Golenkov2 ⚽
K. Stepanov2 ⚽
Rodina MoskvaA. Maksimenko6 ⚽
Ivan Timoshenko4 ⚽
A. Gharibyan3 ⚽
German Onugkha3 ⚽
I. Pozo2 ⚽
A. Egorychev2 ⚽
Cards Given
BaltikaIvan Belikov4 🟨
Andrey Mendel3 🟨
A. Mourid3 🟨
Eduardo Anderson3 🟨
Eldar Ćivić3 🟨
3 🟨
Rodina Moskva8 🟨
Iker Pozo5 🟨
Yordy Reyna3 🟨
Artem Meshchaninov3 🟨
Soltmurad Bakaev3 🟨
Leon Musaev3 🟨