Zenit vs Fakel — Premier League
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Zenit and Fakel meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Zenit have recorded 25 wins from 36 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Fakel have won 23% of their 31 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Zenit and 1.14 for Fakel. The models give Zenit a 62% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Fakel win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Zenit—
Fakel2º
Position
16º
2.31
PPG
0.43
77%
Win %
7%
2.31
Goals / game
0.64
1.00
Conceded / game
1.64
47%
BTTS %
52%
47%
Clean sheet %
23%
61%
Over 2.5 %
42%
6.1
Avg corners
4.5
14.8
Avg shots
10.1
5.9
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.6
Avg fouls
15.1
58.4%
Avg possession
46.1%
Home vs Away
Zenit
Home (6)
—
Fakel
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.50
67%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.83
1.17
Conceded / game
1.67
57%
BTTS %
53%
43%
Clean sheet %
20%
61%
Over 2.5 %
40%
6.1
Avg corners
4.5
14.8
Avg shots
10.1
5.9
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
58.4%
Avg possession
46.1%
Goals Scored
| Zenit | Home | Away | Fakel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 69% | 65% | 56% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 65% | 54% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 35% | 46% | 10% | 19% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 31% | 35% | 44% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Zenit | Home | Away | Fakel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 57% | 46% | 77% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 22% | 38% | 32% | 31% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 43% | 54% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Zenit | Fakel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS | 47% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Zenit | Fakel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 66% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 34% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Zenit (H)D
FC Rostov2–2
FC Rostov2–2W
Dinamo Makhachkala2–0
Dinamo Makhachkala2–0W
Akhmat3–2
Akhmat3–2W
Bate Borisov1–0
Bate Borisov1–0W
Lokomotiv2–1
Lokomotiv2–1L
CSKA Moscow1–2
CSKA Moscow1–2Fakel (A)L
Rubin0–1
Rubin0–1W
Krylia Sovetov2–1
Krylia Sovetov2–1W
FC Krasnodar2–0
FC Krasnodar2–0L
Spartak Moscow0–1
Spartak Moscow0–1LFC Rostov1–3
FC Rostov1–3LAkhmat1–2
Akhmat1–2Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
8.7
108 games
9.3
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | Zenit | Fakel | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 76% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 76% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 59% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 53% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 24% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 18% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 12% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Zenit | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 81% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 47% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
9
Zenit
82%
2
Draws
18%
0
Fakel
0%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
18%
Over 2.5
2/11
9%
Over 3.5
1/11
27%
BTTS
3/11
29/08/26Zenit
Fakel
0–1Zenit08/03/25Zenit
Fakel
0–2Zenit22/10/24Zenit
Fakel
0–1Zenit21/09/24Fakel
Zenit
3–1Fakel30/07/24Fakel
Zenit
3–0Fakel06/05/24Zenit
Fakel
1–1Zenit13/08/23Fakel
Zenit
2–0Fakel03/06/23Fakel
Zenit
1–0Fakel16/11/22Zenit
Fakel
0–2Zenit08/10/22Zenit
Fakel
1–1Zenit31/08/22Fakel
Zenit
2–0Fakel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 30 |
| 3 | FC Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodina Moskva | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 14 |  Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 6 |
Team Insights
Zenit- ●Zenit have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Zenit have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Zenit have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Zenit have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Zenit have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Zenit have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Zenit have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Zenit have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Zenit failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Zenit have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Zenit have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Zenit have won 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Zenit have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Fakel- ●Fakel have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fakel have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Fakel have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Fakel have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Fakel have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fakel have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
ZenitDHFC Rostov2–2
FC Rostov2–2WAKrylia Sovetov3–0
Krylia Sovetov3–0WHDinamo Makhachkala2–0
Dinamo Makhachkala2–0WHAkhmat3–2
Akhmat3–2WAFC Krasnodar3–2
FC Krasnodar3–2WABaltika3–2
Baltika3–2–ARubin21/11
Rubin21/11–ACSKA Moscow28/11
CSKA Moscow28/11–HBaltika05/12
Baltika05/12FakelLHDynamo1–2
Dynamo1–2LARubin0–1
Rubin0–1LHRodina Moskva0–1
Rodina Moskva0–1WAKrylia Sovetov2–1
Krylia Sovetov2–1LHLokomotiv0–5
Lokomotiv0–5LASpartak Moscow0–1
Spartak Moscow0–1–AAkron21/11
Akron21/11–HSpartak Moscow30/11
Spartak Moscow30/11–HFC Rostov06/12
FC Rostov06/12Top Scorers
ZenitA. Sobolev12 ⚽
Felipe Augusto8 ⚽
Aleksandr Sobolev7 ⚽
M. Glushenkov6 ⚽
Jhon Jhon5 ⚽
Maksim Glushenkov5 ⚽
FakelM. Turishchev3 ⚽
Maksim Turishchev2 ⚽
Abdula Bagamaev2 ⚽
A. Gnapi Dable2 ⚽
B. Pusi2 ⚽
Ravil Netfullin2 ⚽
Cards Given
Zenit5 🟨
Wendel5 🟨
M. Glushenkov5 🟨
R. Vega5 🟨
Aleksandr Sobolev3 🟨
Roman Vega3 🟨
FakelAlbert Gabaraev6 🟨
Matvey Bardachev3 🟨
B. Magomedov2 🟨
Abdula Bagamaev2 🟨
Aleksandr Koksharov2 🟨
Aleksey Sutormin2 🟨