Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz — Bundesliga
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Lavanttal Arena·Wolfsberg·Austria·9,000
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Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Wolfsberger AC have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.60 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Sturm Graz have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Wolfsberger AC and 1.63 for Sturm Graz. The models give Wolfsberger AC a 33% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Sturm Graz win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Wolfsberger AC—
Sturm Graz10º
Position
4º
0.83
PPG
1.83
17%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
55%
BTTS %
52%
35%
Clean sheet %
35%
65%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.2
Avg corners
5.8
9.5
Avg shots
15.4
2.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.2
Avg fouls
12.6
41.2%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Wolfsberger AC
Home (4)
—
Sturm Graz
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
1.33
25%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.33
1.75
Conceded / game
1.33
54%
BTTS %
44%
31%
Clean sheet %
33%
62%
Over 2.5 %
56%
3.2
Avg corners
5.8
9.5
Avg shots
15.4
2.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.0
41.2%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Wolfsberger AC | Home | Away | Sturm Graz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 85% | 86% | 83% | 86% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 54% | 57% | 57% | 57% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 46% | 29% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Wolfsberger AC | Home | Away | Sturm Graz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 69% | 57% | 65% | 64% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 46% | 43% | 30% | 21% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 23% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 31% | 43% | 35% | 36% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 26% |
| BTTS | 55% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Wolfsberger AC (H)L
Rapid Vienna0–3
Rapid Vienna0–3L
Lask Linz1–3
Lask Linz1–3D
Red Bull Salzburg1–1
Red Bull Salzburg1–1W
Austria Vienna3–0
Austria Vienna3–0W
SV Kapfenberg6–1
SV Kapfenberg6–1D
Hradec Králové1–1
Hradec Králové1–1Sturm Graz (A)LRed Bull Salzburg0–3
Red Bull Salzburg0–3W
Voitsberg4–1
Voitsberg4–1LRapid Vienna1–3
Rapid Vienna1–3W
TSV Hartberg2–0
TSV Hartberg2–0L
Fenerbahçe0–2
Fenerbahçe0–2D
WSG Wattens1–1
WSG Wattens1–1Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
11.0
39 games
11.7
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 91% | 92% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 82% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 64% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 45% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 45% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 36% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 27% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 17% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 83% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 83% | 64% |
Head to Head · 50 matches
21
Wolfsberger AC
42%
8
Draws
16%
21
Sturm Graz
42%
82%
Over 1.5
41/50
58%
Over 2.5
29/50
28%
Over 3.5
14/50
48%
BTTS
24/50
01/03/26Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
2–2Sturm Graz26/10/25Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
1–3Wolfsberger AC24/05/25Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
1–1Wolfsberger AC30/03/25Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
1–1Sturm Graz15/02/25Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
3–0Sturm Graz22/09/24Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
0–3Wolfsberger AC03/03/24Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
4–0Wolfsberger AC08/10/23Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
1–2Sturm Graz16/10/22Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
3–2Wolfsberger AC23/07/22Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
1–1Sturm Graz15/05/22Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
1–4Wolfsberger AC03/04/22Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
0–2Sturm Graz31/10/21Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
0–3Wolfsberger AC01/08/21Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
1–4Sturm Graz22/05/21Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
1–3Sturm Graz21/04/21Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
0–1Wolfsberger AC21/02/21Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
1–2Wolfsberger AC17/01/21Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
0–0Sturm Graz24/06/20Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
2–0Sturm Graz03/06/20Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
1–2Wolfsberger AC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 | Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | WSG Wattens | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Austria Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Grazer AK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 8 | TSV Hartberg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 |  Ried | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 |  SCR Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Wolfsberger AC- ●Wolfsberger AC have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Wolfsberger AC have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Wolfsberger AC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Sturm Graz- ●Sturm Graz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sturm Graz have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Sturm Graz's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Sturm Graz have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Wolfsberger ACLARied1–4
Ried1–4LHRapid Vienna0–3
Rapid Vienna0–3LHLask Linz1–3
Lask Linz1–3DAGrazer AK0–0
Grazer AK0–0LAAustria Lustenau1–2
Austria Lustenau1–2DHRed Bull Salzburg1–1
Red Bull Salzburg1–1–ASCR Altach11/10
SCR Altach11/10–HWSG Wattens18/10
WSG Wattens18/10–ATSV Hartberg25/10
TSV Hartberg25/10Sturm GrazLARed Bull Salzburg0–3
Red Bull Salzburg0–3WHLask Linz2–1
Lask Linz2–1LARapid Vienna1–3
Rapid Vienna1–3DHAustria Lustenau1–1
Austria Lustenau1–1WHSCR Altach1–0
SCR Altach1–0WATSV Hartberg2–0
TSV Hartberg2–0–AAustria Vienna10/10
Austria Vienna10/10–HGrazer AK18/10
Grazer AK18/10–HRied25/10
Ried25/10Top Scorers
Wolfsberger ACG. Vrioni12 ⚽
S. Karamoko6 ⚽
D. Avdijaj6 ⚽
M. Pink6 ⚽
E. Kojzek4 ⚽
A. Schwarz3 ⚽
Sturm GrazS. Wlodarczyk5 ⚽
S. Seidl5 ⚽
B. Beganovic5 ⚽
A. Kayombo4 ⚽
N. Weiper3 ⚽
S. Jatta3 ⚽
Cards Given
Wolfsberger ACO. Mamageishvili3 🟨
R. Behounek2 🟨
Dominik Fitz2 🟨
N. Wimmer2 🟨
M. Sulzner2 🟨
T. Schriebl2 🟨
Sturm GrazJ. Gorenc Stankovic5 🟨
Jurgen Heil3 🟨
A. Vallci3 🟨
F. Ingolitsch2 🟨
J. Heil2 🟨
R. Fosso2 🟨