Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz — Bundesliga
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Merkur Arena·Graz·Austria·16,764
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Grazer AK and Sturm Graz meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Grazer AK have recorded 9 wins from 26 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Sturm Graz have won 48% of their 31 matches, with 2.06 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Grazer AK and 1.50 for Sturm Graz. The models give Grazer AK a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sturm Graz win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Grazer AK—
Sturm Graz9º
Position
4º
0.91
PPG
1.73
18%
Win %
45%
0.73
Goals / game
1.73
2.45
Conceded / game
1.18
42%
BTTS %
55%
27%
Clean sheet %
32%
58%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.2
Avg corners
5.8
13.6
Avg shots
15.5
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.0
14.7
Avg fouls
13.2
46.2%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Grazer AK
Home (5)
—
Sturm Graz
Away (6)
1.20
PPG
1.33
20%
Win %
33%
0.80
Goals / game
1.17
1.40
Conceded / game
1.33
40%
BTTS %
46%
33%
Clean sheet %
31%
60%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.2
Avg corners
5.8
13.6
Avg shots
15.5
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.0
46.2%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Grazer AK | Home | Away | Sturm Graz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 60% | 64% | 84% | 89% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 47% | 36% | 58% | 61% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 18% | 29% | 39% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 40% | 36% | 16% | 11% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Grazer AK | Home | Away | Sturm Graz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 82% | 68% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 36% | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 27% | 27% | 19% | 11% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 18% | 32% | 33% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grazer AK | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 26% |
| BTTS | 42% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grazer AK | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Grazer AK (H)L
TSV Hartberg0–4
TSV Hartberg0–4L
SCR Altach0–4
SCR Altach0–4D
Red Bull Salzburg0–0
Red Bull Salzburg0–0D
Austria Vienna2–2
Austria Vienna2–2D
Wolfsberger AC0–0
Wolfsberger AC0–0W
Austria Lustenau2–1
Austria Lustenau2–1Sturm Graz (A)DWolfsberger AC1–1
Wolfsberger AC1–1LAustria Lustenau2–3
Austria Lustenau2–3L
Bournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3WAustria Vienna2–0
Austria Vienna2–0LRed Bull Salzburg0–3
Red Bull Salzburg0–3W
Voitsberg4–1
Voitsberg4–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.7
66 games
10.9
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | Grazer AK | Sturm Graz | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 89% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 61% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 39% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 28% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 22% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Grazer AK | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 55% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 73% | 50% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
0
Grazer AK
0%
0
Draws
0%
7
Sturm Graz
100%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
18/10/26Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
6–1Grazer AK07/12/25Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
2–1Grazer AK30/08/25Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
0–3Sturm Graz09/03/25Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
1–2Sturm Graz19/10/24Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
5–2Grazer AK02/11/23Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
2–3Sturm Graz19/10/22Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
0–1Sturm Graz| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +24 | 30 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +23 | 27 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | TSV Hartberg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 |  Ried | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -19 | 10 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 8 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Grazer AK- ●Grazer AK have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Grazer AK have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Grazer AK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Grazer AK failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Grazer AK have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●74% of Grazer AK's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Grazer AK have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Grazer AK have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Sturm Graz- ●Sturm Graz have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sturm Graz have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sturm Graz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sturm Graz failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sturm Graz have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Sturm Graz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Sturm Graz have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Grazer AKLHTSV Hartberg0–4
TSV Hartberg0–4DAWSG Wattens1–1
WSG Wattens1–1LASturm Graz1–6
Sturm Graz1–6DHRed Bull Salzburg0–0
Red Bull Salzburg0–0DHAustria Vienna2–2
Austria Vienna2–2WASCR Altach2–1
SCR Altach2–1–AAustria Lustenau07/11
Austria Lustenau07/11–HRapid Vienna21/11
Rapid Vienna21/11–HSCR Altach27/11
SCR Altach27/11Sturm GrazDAWolfsberger AC1–1
Wolfsberger AC1–1DHRied2–2
Ried2–2WHGrazer AK6–1
Grazer AK6–1WAAustria Vienna2–0
Austria Vienna2–0LARed Bull Salzburg0–3
Red Bull Salzburg0–3WHLask Linz2–1
Lask Linz2–1–HRed Bull Salzburg08/11
Red Bull Salzburg08/11–ASCR Altach22/11
SCR Altach22/11–HWSG Wattens29/11
WSG Wattens29/11Top Scorers
Grazer AKA. Hofleitner6 ⚽
Alexander Hofleitner3 ⚽
D. Maderner2 ⚽
D. Pines2 ⚽
L. Klassen2 ⚽
M. Grosse2 ⚽
Sturm GrazOumar Diakité8 ⚽
S. Seidl6 ⚽
S. Wlodarczyk5 ⚽
B. Beganovic5 ⚽
A. Kayombo4 ⚽
S. Jatta3 ⚽
Cards Given
Grazer AKAlexander Hofleitner4 🟨
D. Pines3 🟨
P. Michorl3 🟨
Leon Klassen2 🟨
L. Klassen2 🟨
Peter Michorl2 🟨
Sturm GrazJ. Gorenc Stankovic5 🟨
Jurgen Heil3 🟨
A. Vallci3 🟨
J. Heil2 🟨
Arjan Malić2 🟨
F. Ingolitsch2 🟨