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Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC — Bundesliga

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Austria · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
5º · 1.58 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 76d 0h
vs
–
–
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
12º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 77d 21h
Merkur Arena·Graz·Austria·16,764
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Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger AC meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 23 January 2027. Sturm Graz have recorded 15 wins from 33 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 2.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Wolfsberger AC have won 41% of their 27 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.40 for Sturm Graz and 1.17 for Wolfsberger AC. The models give Sturm Graz a 66% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Wolfsberger AC win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Sturm Graz
—
Wolfsberger AC
5º
Position
12º
1.58
PPG
0.50
42%
Win %
8%
1.83
Goals / game
0.67
1.42
Conceded / game
2.17
58%
BTTS %
48%
30%
Clean sheet %
26%
61%
Over 2.5 %
59%
5.9
Avg corners
4.1
16.1
Avg shots
11.0
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.2
Avg fouls
13.1
46.0%
Avg possession
42.5%

Home vs Away

Sturm Graz
Home (6)
—
Wolfsberger AC
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
0.17
50%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
0.33
1.50
Conceded / game
2.67
65%
BTTS %
36%
30%
Clean sheet %
27%
65%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.9
Avg corners
4.1
16.1
Avg shots
11.0
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.1
46.0%
Avg possession
42.5%

Goals Scored

Sturm GrazHomeAwayWolfsberger ACHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored85%90%77%70%81%55%
Over 1.5 Scored61%65%54%44%50%36%
Over 2.5 Scored30%40%15%30%38%18%
Failed To Score15%10%23%30%19%45%

Goals Conceded

Sturm GrazHomeAwayWolfsberger ACHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded70%70%69%74%75%73%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%30%46%44%44%45%
Over 2.5 Conceded24%20%31%22%19%27%
Clean Sheets30%30%31%26%25%27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Over 0.597%96%
Over 1.585%85%
Over 2.561%59%
Over 3.548%41%
Over 4.530%30%
BTTS58%48%
BTTS & Win18%19%
BTTS & Draw24%19%
BTTS & Over 2.545%37%
BTTS No & Over 2.515%22%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Win 1st Half33%44%
Draw 1st Half42%22%
Loss 1st Half24%33%
Scored 1st Half67%52%
Conceded 1st Half55%44%
Win 2nd Half48%37%
Draw 2nd Half30%30%
Loss 2nd Half21%33%
Scored 2nd Half70%56%
Conceded 2nd Half39%59%
Over 0.5 HT79%81%
Over 1.5 HT55%48%

Recent Venue Form

Sturm Graz (H)
LRed Bull Salzburg3–4
LCelje2–3
DRied2–2
WMarseille1–0
WGrazer AK6–1
WFloridsdorfer AC3–1
Wolfsberger AC (A)
LRapid Vienna0–6
LWSPG Wels0–1
LTSV Hartberg0–1
LSCR Altach0–3
LRied1–4
DParndorf2–2

Number of Corners

10.7
Corners / Match
20 games
League Avg
10.4
72 games
10.1
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersSturm GrazWolfsberger ACLeague Avg
Over 685%100%90%
Over 775%75%79%
Over 875%58%68%
Over 960%50%54%
Over 1040%33%39%
Over 1135%33%31%
Over 1230%25%22%
Over 1325%17%17%

Team Corners

Team CornersSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Corners Earned / Match5.94.1
Corners Against / Match4.86.0
Over 2.5 Corners For80%75%
Over 3.5 Corners For70%58%
Over 4.5 Corners For55%25%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%92%
Over 3.5 Corners Against60%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against45%58%

Head to Head · 51 matches

21
Sturm Graz
41%
9
Draws
18%
21
Wolfsberger AC
41%
82%
Over 1.5
42/51
57%
Over 2.5
29/51
27%
Over 3.5
14/51
49%
BTTS
25/51
01/11/26
Wolfsberger AC
1–1
Sturm Graz
01/03/26
Wolfsberger AC
2–2
Sturm Graz
26/10/25
Sturm Graz
1–3
Wolfsberger AC
24/05/25
Sturm Graz
1–1
Wolfsberger AC
30/03/25
Wolfsberger AC
1–1
Sturm Graz
15/02/25
Wolfsberger AC
3–0
Sturm Graz
22/09/24
Sturm Graz
0–3
Wolfsberger AC
03/03/24
Sturm Graz
4–0
Wolfsberger AC
08/10/23
Wolfsberger AC
1–2
Sturm Graz
16/10/22
Sturm Graz
3–2
Wolfsberger AC
23/07/22
Wolfsberger AC
1–1
Sturm Graz
15/05/22
Sturm Graz
1–4
Wolfsberger AC
03/04/22
Wolfsberger AC
0–2
Sturm Graz
31/10/21
Sturm Graz
0–3
Wolfsberger AC
01/08/21
Wolfsberger AC
1–4
Sturm Graz
22/05/21
Wolfsberger AC
1–3
Sturm Graz
21/04/21
Sturm Graz
0–1
Wolfsberger AC
21/02/21
Sturm Graz
1–2
Wolfsberger AC
17/01/21
Wolfsberger AC
0–0
Sturm Graz
24/06/20
Wolfsberger AC
2–0
Sturm Graz
Bundesliga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

Team Insights

Sturm Graz
  • ●Sturm Graz have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Sturm Graz have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Sturm Graz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Sturm Graz have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Sturm Graz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Sturm Graz have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Sturm Graz have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●68% of Sturm Graz's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Sturm Graz have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Wolfsberger AC
  • ●Wolfsberger AC have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Wolfsberger AC have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●75% of Wolfsberger AC's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●83% of Wolfsberger AC's points have been earned at home.
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
LHRed Bull Salzburg2º3–4
LHCelje29º2–3
LHCelje25º2–3
DAWolfsberger AC12º1–1
LAAustria Lustenau2–3
DHRied6º2–2
WHMarseille32º1–0
WHMarseille31º1–0
WHGrazer AK10º6–1
LABournemouth10º0–3
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
LARapid Vienna1º0–6
DHSturm Graz5º1–1
LAWSPG Wels0–1
LATSV Hartberg4º0–1
LHWSG Wattens7º0–2
LASCR Altach9º0–3
WHVoitsberg2–1
LARied6º1–4
LHRapid Vienna1º0–3
DAParndorf2–2

Season Schedule

Sturm Graz
LHRed Bull Salzburg3–4
DAWolfsberger AC1–1
DHRied2–2
WHGrazer AK6–1
WAAustria Vienna2–0
LARed Bull Salzburg0–3
–ASCR Altach22/11
–HWSG Wattens29/11
–HAustria Vienna06/12
Wolfsberger AC
LARapid Vienna0–6
DHSturm Graz1–1
LATSV Hartberg0–1
LHWSG Wattens0–2
LASCR Altach0–3
LARied1–4
–HRied22/11
–AAustria Vienna28/11
–HAustria Lustenau06/12

Top Scorers

Sturm Graz
Oumar Diakité12 ⚽
S. Seidl6 ⚽
S. Wlodarczyk5 ⚽
B. Beganovic5 ⚽
A. Kayombo4 ⚽
S. Jatta3 ⚽
Wolfsberger AC
G. Vrioni12 ⚽
S. Karamoko6 ⚽
D. Avdijaj6 ⚽
M. Pink6 ⚽
E. Kojzek4 ⚽
A. Schwarz3 ⚽

Cards Given

Sturm Graz
J. Gorenc Stankovic5 🟨
Oumar Diakité3 🟨
Jurgen Heil3 🟨
Arjan Malić3 🟨
A. Vallci3 🟨
J. Heil2 🟨
Wolfsberger AC
Dominik Fitz5 🟨
M. Sulzner4 🟨
O. Mamageishvili3 🟨
Marco Alessandro Sulzner2 🟨
F. Wohlmuth2 🟨
M. Schabauer2 🟨