Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC — Premiership
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Ballymena United and Crusaders FC meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Ballymena United have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Crusaders FC have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Ballymena United and 1.12 for Crusaders FC. The models give Ballymena United a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Crusaders FC win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Ballymena United—
Crusaders FC8º
Position
6º
1.20
PPG
1.36
30%
Win %
45%
1.50
Goals / game
1.36
1.40
Conceded / game
1.91
65%
BTTS %
56%
30%
Clean sheet %
28%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ballymena United
Home (3)
—
Crusaders FC
Away (5)
1.33
PPG
0.60
33%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
0.80
1.00
Conceded / game
2.40
40%
BTTS %
71%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ballymena United | Home | Away | Crusaders FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 64% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 18% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Ballymena United | Home | Away | Crusaders FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 73% | 72% | 55% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 39% | 27% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 9% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 27% | 28% | 45% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ballymena United | Crusaders FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 65% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ballymena United | Crusaders FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 59% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Ballymena United (H)W
Portadown2–0
Portadown2–0D
Carrick Rangers1–1
Carrick Rangers1–1L
Glentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2L
Loughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2W
Strabane Athletic6–0
Strabane Athletic6–0LPortadown1–2
Portadown1–2Crusaders FC (A)LCarrick Rangers0–4
Carrick Rangers0–4L
Linfield0–1
Linfield0–1L
Coleraine FC1–4
Coleraine FC1–4WGlentoran2–1
Glentoran2–1L
Cliftonville FC1–2
Cliftonville FC1–2L
Moyola Park1–2
Moyola Park1–2Head to Head · 36 matches
7
Ballymena United
19%
5
Draws
14%
24
Crusaders FC
67%
75%
Over 1.5
27/36
61%
Over 2.5
22/36
31%
Over 3.5
11/36
56%
BTTS
20/36
15/08/26Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
2–1Ballymena United25/04/26Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
3–2Ballymena United17/02/26Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
2–0Crusaders FC22/11/25Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
2–2Crusaders FC20/09/25Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
1–1Ballymena United15/02/25Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
3–1Ballymena United26/10/24Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
1–0Ballymena United20/08/24Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
0–1Crusaders FC09/03/24Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
2–4Crusaders FC13/10/23Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
1–0Ballymena United11/08/23Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
1–2Crusaders FC07/05/23Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
0–4Crusaders FC25/02/23Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
0–0Crusaders FC14/11/22Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
0–1Ballymena United23/09/22Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
3–0Ballymena United07/05/22Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
1–2Crusaders FC15/03/22Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
2–1Ballymena United27/11/21Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
2–0Crusaders FC13/10/21Ballymena United
Crusaders FC
2–3Ballymena United09/10/21Crusaders FC
Ballymena United
0–1Crusaders FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 | Linfield | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Larne | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Crusaders FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Dungannon Swifts | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Limavady United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 |  Bangor | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 5 |
Team Insights
Ballymena United- ●Ballymena United have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ballymena United have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ballymena United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ballymena United have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Ballymena United's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Ballymena United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●67% of Ballymena United's points have been earned away.
Crusaders FC- ●Crusaders FC have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Crusaders FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Crusaders FC's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Ballymena UnitedLALimavady United2–3
Limavady United2–3WACliftonville FC1–0
Cliftonville FC1–0WHPortadown2–0
Portadown2–0DADungannon Swifts1–1
Dungannon Swifts1–1DHCarrick Rangers1–1
Carrick Rangers1–1LAColeraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3–HCrusaders FC17/10
Crusaders FC17/10–AGlentoran24/10
Glentoran24/10–HBangor31/10
Bangor31/10Crusaders FCLHLarne0–3
Larne0–3LACarrick Rangers0–4
Carrick Rangers0–4WHBangor2–1
Bangor2–1LALinfield0–1
Linfield0–1WHDungannon Swifts3–0
Dungannon Swifts3–0LHLimavady United1–2
Limavady United1–2–ABallymena United17/10
Ballymena United17/10–HColeraine FC24/10
Coleraine FC24/10–ALimavady United31/10
Limavady United31/10Top Scorers
Ballymena UnitedI. Rutkowski10 ⚽
7 ⚽
C. McKee3 ⚽
J. Archer3 ⚽
F. Thorndike2 ⚽
C. Allen2 ⚽
Crusaders FCA. Brooks8 ⚽
O. Wardell4 ⚽
R. Weir2 ⚽
A. Reid2 ⚽
L. Anderson2 ⚽
E. Dunlop2 ⚽
Cards Given
Ballymena United3 🟨
D. Toure2 🟨
C. McKee2 🟨
S. Whiteside1 🟨
K. Lyons-Foster1 🟨
J. Hood1 🟨
Crusaders FC4 🟨
G. Kelly2 🟨
L. Anderson2 🟨
K. Forsythe2 🟨
R. Weir2 🟨
K. McKechnie1 🟨