Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers — Premiership
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Crusaders FC and Carrick Rangers meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 13 November 2026. Crusaders FC have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Carrick Rangers have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 2.28 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Crusaders FC and 1.61 for Carrick Rangers. The models give Crusaders FC a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carrick Rangers win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Crusaders FC—
Carrick Rangers7º
Position
5º
1.25
PPG
1.42
42%
Win %
42%
1.33
Goals / game
1.75
1.92
Conceded / game
1.58
60%
BTTS %
44%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
70%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Crusaders FC
Home (6)
—
Carrick Rangers
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.67
67%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
1.83
1.50
Conceded / game
1.17
45%
BTTS %
56%
45%
Clean sheet %
22%
55%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Crusaders FC | Home | Away | Carrick Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 78% | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 64% | 33% | 56% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 18% | 0% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Crusaders FC | Home | Away | Carrick Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 55% | 100% | 67% | 56% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 27% | 67% | 44% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 9% | 33% | 22% | 33% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 45% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS | 60% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Crusaders FC (H)L
Larne0–3
Larne0–3W
Bangor2–1
Bangor2–1W
Dungannon Swifts3–0
Dungannon Swifts3–0L
Limavady United1–2
Limavady United1–2W
Portadown3–2
Portadown3–2W
Ballymena United2–1
Ballymena United2–1Carrick Rangers (A)WDungannon Swifts4–2
Dungannon Swifts4–2L
Glentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2DBallymena United1–1
Ballymena United1–1L
Linfield0–1
Linfield0–1WBangor4–0
Bangor4–0WLimavady United2–1
Limavady United2–1Head to Head · 27 matches
16
Crusaders FC
59%
4
Draws
15%
7
Carrick Rangers
26%
89%
Over 1.5
24/27
78%
Over 2.5
21/27
48%
Over 3.5
13/27
52%
BTTS
14/27
03/10/26Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
4–0Crusaders FC28/03/26Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
6–1Crusaders FC30/12/25Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–2Carrick Rangers08/11/25Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
1–2Crusaders FC09/08/25Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
3–4Carrick Rangers30/12/24Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–0Crusaders FC16/11/24Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
3–0Crusaders FC31/08/24Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–1Carrick Rangers01/05/24Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
3–1Carrick Rangers30/12/23Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–0Carrick Rangers08/12/23Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–1Crusaders FC22/08/23Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
9–0Carrick Rangers25/03/23Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
3–0Carrick Rangers02/01/23Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–3Crusaders FC01/10/22Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
4–3Crusaders FC19/02/22Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–1Carrick Rangers01/01/22Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
0–0Carrick Rangers16/11/21Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–2Crusaders FC14/08/21Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
4–1Crusaders FC06/04/21Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
1–1Crusaders FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coleraine FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | Linfield | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 29 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Larne | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Crusaders FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 8 | Dungannon Swifts | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Cliftonville FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
Team Insights
Crusaders FC- ●Crusaders FC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Crusaders FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Crusaders FC's points have been earned at home.
Carrick Rangers- ●Carrick Rangers have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Crusaders FCLABallymena United1–2
Ballymena United1–2LHLarne0–3
Larne0–3LACarrick Rangers0–4
Carrick Rangers0–4WHBangor2–1
Bangor2–1LALinfield0–1
Linfield0–1WHDungannon Swifts3–0
Dungannon Swifts3–0–HColeraine FC24/10
Coleraine FC24/10–ALimavady United31/10
Limavady United31/10–ABangor07/11
Bangor07/11Carrick RangersDHLinfield2–2
Linfield2–2WADungannon Swifts4–2
Dungannon Swifts4–2WHCrusaders FC4–0
Crusaders FC4–0LAGlentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2LHLarne2–5
Larne2–5DABallymena United1–1
Ballymena United1–1–HLimavady United24/10
Limavady United24/10–ACliftonville FC31/10
Cliftonville FC31/10–HGlentoran07/11
Glentoran07/11Top Scorers
Crusaders FCA. Brooks8 ⚽
O. Wardell4 ⚽
A. Reid3 ⚽
L. Anderson2 ⚽
E. Dunlop2 ⚽
R. Weir2 ⚽
Carrick Rangers13 ⚽
D. Gibson8 ⚽
P. Heatley5 ⚽
D. O'Conchubhair3 ⚽
A. Steele3 ⚽
J. Crowe2 ⚽
Cards Given
Crusaders FC4 🟨
L. Anderson3 🟨
R. Weir3 🟨
T. Maguire2 🟨
K. Forsythe2 🟨
G. Kelly2 🟨
Carrick Rangers3 🟨
J. Callacher3 🟨
A. Steele3 🟨
J. Crowe3 🟨
M. Snoddy2 🟨
J. Forsythe2 🟨